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North Carolina vs Indiana Odds, Spread and Picks (Nov. 30)

Jack Magruder

by Jack Magruder in College Basketball

Nov 29, 2022 · 8:16 PM PST

Indiana's Trayce Jackson-Davis talking to Trey Galloway on the bench
Indiana's Trayce Jackson-Davis (23) talks with Trey Galloway (32) during the second half during the Indiana versus Jackson State men's basketball game at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall on Friday, Nov. 25, 2022. Iu Js Bb 2h Tjd Galloway
  • Bluebloods Indiana and North Carolina meet in the annual ACC/Big Ten Challenge on Wednesday, November 30.
  • No. 10 Indiana is a 6.5-point home favorite over the No. 18 Tar Heels.
  •  Read below for North Carolina vs Indiana odds and prediction.

No. 10 Indiana (6-0) is a 6.5-point home favorite over North Carolina (5-2) in the Big Ten/ACC Challenge at the Assembly Hall n Bloomington, Ind., at 9:15 pm ET Wednesday on ESPN.

No. 18 North Carolina (5-2) was ranked No. 1 in the AP preseason poll but has plummeted after successive losses to Iowa State and Alabama in the Phil Knight Invitational last Saturday and Sunday in Portland, Oregon. The 103-101 loss to Alabama went four overtimes.

North Carolina vs Indiana Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
North Carolina Tar Heels +6.5 (-108) +230 Over 145.5 (-110)
Indiana Hoosiers -6.5 (-114) -285 Under 145.5 (-110)

Odds from FanDuel on Nov. 29. Claim a FanDuel Sportsbook bonus.  

Indiana is a 6.5-point home favorite over North Carolina.  At -285 on the moneyline, the Hoosiers have a 74 percent implied win probability. Indiana is 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS in the six games played between the two, the last in 2016-17 regular season. The Tar Heels beat the Hoosiers 101-86 in the 2016 NCAA tournament Sweet Sixteen as the No. 1 seed in the East Region.



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North Carolina is 1-6 ATS, covering only as a 12.5-point home favorite in a 80-64 victory over James Madison on Nov. 22.  The Heels were a 1.5-point underdog against Alabama in the fifth-place game at the Phil Knight Invitational. Indiana is 4-1-1 ATS, pushing as a 2-point favorite in an 81-79 victory at Xavier on Nov. 18. The Hoosiers were favored by at least 24.5 points in their other five games, all at home.

North Carolina Skidding

Preseason No. 1 North Carolina has underwhelmed in its first seven games, covering only once, and the Tar Heels enter Assembly Hall on a two-game losing streak after a sixth-place finish in the Phil Knight Invitational in Portland last weekend. They made only minor tweaks to the roster that lost to Kansas in the NCAA championship game last year, but the transition from 6’9 Brady Manek (the only starter who did not return) to Northwestern 6’11 transfer Pete Nance has taken a minute, and the Tar Heels are not deep.

The Tar Heels are shooting only 46.5 percent from the field and 30.8 percent from behind the arc, and coach Hubert Davis addressed their shot selection in practice Tuesday. Neither guard Caleb Love (20 points per game) nor RJ Davis (15.7 ) points are shooting above 42 from the field, and they are averaging 31 shots a game while double-double center Armando Bacot (16.7 points, 11.3 rebounds) is getting only 9.6 shots per. Bacot missed time late in the Alabama game with a right ankle injury, but Davis said both he and defensive whiz Leaky Black practiced Tuesday and are expected to play.

North Carolina also has had trouble defending the perimeter.  Alabama was 16 of 38 from distance and the three opponents in Portland were 37 of 90 (41.1 percent).

Indiana Faces Second Test

The unbeaten Hoosiers have been tested only once this season, that in an 81-79 road victory at Xavier on Nov. 18, in a cupcake pre-conference schedule that has included no team other than the Musketeers ranked better than 250 in the KenPom ratings.  Arizona and Kansas are on the horizon, too.

Forward Trayce Jackson-Davis (18.8 points, 8.0 rebounds) is the go-to guy on a team that has spread the scoring and the playing time around early because of the blowouts. Sophomore 6’5 guard Tamar Bates had a career-high 25 points in 90-51 thrashing of Jackson State the last time out Friday. Jackson-Davis missed the 87-68 victory over Arkansas-Little Rock last Wednesday because of a back injury. He said Tuesday he is not 100 percent but will play against North Carolina.

The Hoosiers have won by shooting 55.9 percent from the field, second in Division I. They shooting 38.3 percent from three-point range, but it is a weapon they seldom use. They have made more than seven threes in a game twice.

North Carolina vs Indiana Prediction

The early-season schedules do not compare. Iowa State and Alabama are very good teams that slipped under the radar entering the year, while Indiana has not had to work up much of a sweat. The Tar Heels will break their two-game losing streak here, and playing the moneyline might provide extra benefit.

  • Pick: North Carolina +6.5 (-108)
  • Season CBK: 5-1 ATS


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