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San Diego State vs FAU Picks, Player Props & Same-Game Parlay

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in College Basketball

Updated Apr 1, 2023 · 5:51 AM PDT

Florida Atlantic Owls celebration
Mar 25, 2023; New York, NY, USA; Florida Atlantic Owls center Vladislav Goldin, center, reacts as he holds the East Regional Champion trophy following their 79-76 victory against the Kansas State Wildcats in an NCAA tournament East Regional final at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
  • Check out the San Diego State vs FAU Same-Game Parlay picks for the Final Four matchup on Saturday
  •  San Diego State is yielding just 57 points per game during the NCAA Tournament
  • See our San Diego State vs FAU Same-Game parlay picks and analysis below

It’s not the Final Four that anyone predicted, but this weekend at the NCAA Tournament should produce plenty of entertainment. The action gets underway at 6:09 pm ET on Saturday at NRG Stadium in Houston, TX, as Florida Atlantic challenges San Diego State.

The Owls are this year’s Cinderella, becoming just the third No. 9 seed ever to reach the Final Four, while the Aztecs have ridden one of the nation’s top defenses to get this far. Defense will be a common theme in our San Diego State vs FAU same-game parlay, as the Owls are tough in their own end as well.

San Diego State vs FAU Same-Game Parlay Picks

Pick Odds
Game Total Under 131.5 Points -120
Johnell Davis 10+ Points -360
FAU +4.5 -155
Same-Game Parlay Odds +300

Our San Diego State vs FAU same-game parlay features only three legs, but pays out +300 odds if it hits. The SGP starts with a play on the under, which has been an incredibly profitable wager to target in SDSU games.



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Odds as of March 31 at DraftKings Sportsbook. See full list of March Madness betting promos

SGP Pick #1:  Game Total Under 131.5 Points

Let’s start with the trends. The under has hit in each of the Aztecs last 12 games. Their contest versus Creighton fell 21.5 points under the total, while six of their last eight games have come in at least 11 points under the number.

San Diego State is relentless on defense, holding opponents to just 57 points through four games at the NCAA Tournament. It’s the primary reason they’ve advanced this far in the March Madness bracket, as their offense doesn’t instill fear in any opponent.

The Aztecs ranked 178th in points per game this season, and have failed to reach 64 points in two of four NCAA Tournament games.

The Owls meanwhile, have seen five of their past seven outings fall under the total, and are nearly as tough on enemy shooters as SDSU. FAU has held three of its past seven opponents below 57 points, and rank 15th in all of college hoops in opponent effective field goal percentage.

SGP Pick #2: Johnell Davis 10+ Points

As good as the Aztecs defense is, they’ll be hard pressed to hold Johnell Davis below 10 points. The 6-4 sophomore has scored in double-figures in 10 straight, and sees a ton of usage out of the FAU back court.

Davis leads the team in scoring and gets to the free throw line at a much greater clip than any of his teammates. He doesn’t settle for jump shots and is willing to attack the rim. That will be key against the Aztecs as they lack size and secondary rim protectors in the front court outside of Nathan Mensah.

Johnell Davis Points – Last 5 Games

Opponent Pts
Kansas State 13
Tennessee 16
FDU 29
Memphis 12
UAB 18

Davis has gotten to line 23 times over the last three games, making 20 of the free throws. That kind of volume and efficiency will help get him to double figures, even if he struggles from the field.

SGP Pick #3: FAU +4.5

We referred to the Owls as Cinderella earlier, but it should be noted they have won the most games in college hoops this season. FAU has arguably beaten a stronger case of opponents than SDSU during March Madness, despite the Aztecs taking down Alabama, the pre-tournament favorites in the NCAA Tournament odds.

The Owls are the more balanced team, grading out in the top-30 in both offensive and defensive efficiency, and enter play having won 11 straight. They’ve won outright in each of their past four games as underdogs, and have lost by more than four points only once since November 11th.

The Aztecs on the other hand, struggle to find offense in key moments. In the Elite Eight, they were bailed out by their offensive rebounding late in the game, which helped overshadow a horrific 37% shooting performance. That was versus a Creighton defense that was far weaker than FAU’s, which should make bettors feel even more bullish that the Owls surprising run can continue.


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