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Utah State vs San Diego State Odds, Spread & Picks for Mountain West Championship Game

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in College Basketball

Updated Mar 11, 2023 · 7:14 AM PST

San Diego State Aztecs forward Keshad Johnson
Mar 4, 2023; San Diego, California, USA; San Diego State Aztecs forward Keshad Johnson (0) reacts after cutting the net following the victory over the Wyoming Cowboys and earning the Mountain West Conference regular season championship at Viejas Arena. Mandatory Credit: Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports
  • San Diego State is 1.5-point favorite over Utah State in Mountain West Conference Tournament championship game
  • Utah State is on a seven-game winning streak
  • A look at the Utah State vs San Diego State matchup and odds can be found below with a pick

The Mountain West Conference Tournament championship is on the line when #20 San Diego State meets Utah State at 6 p.m. ET Saturday at the Thomas & Mack Stadium in Las Vegas. Read on for an analysis of Utah State vs San Diego State.

San Diego State (26-6), the tourney’s top seed, has won three games in a row and nine of its last 10 after beating San Jose State 64-49 on Friday in the semifinals. Third-seeded Utah State (26-7) extended its winning streak to seven games by rallying past Boise State 72-62 in the other semifinal.

CBS will televise the game.

 Utah State vs San Diego State Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Utah State +105 +1.5 (-110) Over 136.5 (-115)
San Diego State -126 -1.5 (-110) Under 136.5 (-105)

San Diego State is a 1.5-point favorite and a -126 choice on the moneyline in the college basketball odds, giving it a 55.75% implied win probability.

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Odds as of March 11th at FanDuel.

Utah State Outlook

Junior guard Max Shulga helped Utah State rally in the second half Friday against Boise State by scoring 14 of his team-best 19 points in the final 20 minutes. He also had five assists.

Utah State outrebounded Boise State 39-30 and forced the Broncos into 15 turnovers.

Shulga is averaging 12.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 4.1 assists a game.

Junior guard Steven Ashworth is scoring a team-high 16.4 points and dishing 4.6 assists a game, which ranks fourth in the MWC. On Friday night, Ashworth had 14 points despite shooting just 3 of 10 from three-point range.

Senior guard RJ Eytle-Rock added 13 points for the Aggies and senior guard Sean Bairstow finished with 12 points, six rebounds, and three assists.

Utah State is getting 13.6 points and 5.4 rebounds a game from senior forward Taylor Funk, a transfer from Saint Joseph’s. Senior forward Dan Akin is averaging 12.1 points and 6.9 rebounds and Bairstow has averages of 10.5 points, 5.2 rebounds, and 2.6 assists.

The Aggies are one of the top offensive teams in the country, ranking third in three-point shooting (40.0%), 19th in field goal percentage (48.3), 23rd in free throw shooting (77.0%), and 27th in scoring (79.2).

San Diego State Betting Outlook

San Diego State will be playing in its sixth straight MWC final and has a 41-17 all-time record in the event.

The Aztecs held San Jose State to 34.3% (19 of 55) shooting overall and 26.3% (5 of 19) on three-pointers on Friday night. They also limited the Spartans’ leading scorer, Omari Moore, to seven points on 3-of-13 shooting after he entered the game averaging 17.8 points a game.

San Diego State stands 14th in Division I in three-point defense (29.8%) and 29th in points allowed (63.8).

Senior forward Keshad Johnson and senior guard Darrion Trammell scored 15 points each to lead San Diego State on Friday. Johnson made 6 of 7 field goal attempts.

Senior guard Matt Bradley is the only San Diego State player scoring in double figures with a 12.8 average. He had just eight points Friday, going 3 for 10 from the field.

Eight Aztecs are scoring at least 6.4 points a game.

Utah State vs San Diego State Prediction

San Diego State has won three games in a row against Utah State, including sweeping the regular-season series this year.

The Aztecs won 85-75 on Jan. 25 at home and 63-61 on Feb. 8 on the road. In the first game, Adam Seiko came off the bench to lead San Diego State with 25 points in 27 minutes while Funk had a team-high 22 points for Utah State. The Aztecs’ Bradley and the Aggies’ Ashworth had 18 points to tie for scoring honors in the rematch.

It is hard to beat a team three times in the same season and Utah State is as hot as just about any team in the country. Look for the Aggies to spring a mild upset.

Pick: Utah State +105 ML

Season record: 32-27 (+2.4 units) ATS, 4-9 (-4.5 units) ML

 

 

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