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Alabama vs LSU Opening Odds – Crimson Tide 12.5-Point Road Favorites in Week 10

Jack Magruder

by Jack Magruder in College Football

Oct 30, 2022 · 10:48 AM PDT

LSU players celebrate a TD
Quarterback Jayden Daniels celebrates after scoring a touchdown as the LSU Tigers take on the Ole Miss Rebels at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, USA.Saturday October 22, 2022 Lsu Vs Ole Miss Football V1 7393
  • No. 6 Alabama and No. 14 LSU meet in a pivotal SEC West game in Baton Rouge
  • Alabama opened as a 12.5-point favorite in a game for the West lead
  • Read below for the opening Alabama vs LSU odds and projected line movement for Week 10

No. 6 Alabama (7-1, 4-1 SEC West) opened as a 12.5-point road favorite against LSU at 7:00 pm ET Saturday, Nov. 5, in a game game that will determine the leader in the SEC West. The Crimson Tide had a bye last week after stopping then-No. 24 Mississippi State 30-6 on Oct. 22.

No. 18 LSU (6-2, 4-1) has won six of seven since a season-opening loss to Florida State. The Tigers have not played since beating then-No. 7 Ole Miss 45-20 on Oct. 22.

Alabama vs LSU Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Alabama Crimson Tide -12.5 (-110) -xxx Over xx (-115)
LSU Tigers -12.5 (-110) +xxx Under xx (-105)

Odds from FanDuel on Oct 30. Claim the FanDuel Sportsbook bonus code

Alabama opened as a 12.5-point road favorite in a game that will put the winner in the driver’s seat in the SEC West conference title odds.


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Alabama is 10-1 SU and 6-4-1 ATS in the yearly series since its 21-0 victory in the 2011 BCS title game that ruined LSU’s undefeated season. Both teams are 5-3 ATS this season. LSU is 4-2 ATS at home and Alabama 1-2 ATS on the road.

The Tide is 7-1 SU and 5-2-1 ATS after a week off since 2014, with five of those byes coming before the LSU game. The Tide is 1-0-1 in the two games played in Baton Rouge during that streak. LSU is 4-1 SU and 5-0 after a bye since 2019, 2-0 ATS against Alabama with both games in Tuscaloosa. The Tigers  covered as a 29-point underdog in a 20-14 loss at Alabama last season.

Alabama ‘D’ Recovers

After being torched for 556 yards total offense in a 52-49 loss on a last-second field goal at Tennessee on Oct. 15, the Crimson Tide held then-No. 24 Mississippi State and prolific quarterback Will Rogers scoreless until the final play of the game in a 30-6 victory before last week’s bye. Rogers was sacked four times.

At the same time, Alabama’s offense struggled to move the ball the last time out. Defending Heisman winner Bryce Young, who has fallen some in this year’s Heisman Trophy odds, passed for 249 yards and two touchdowns, but the ground game led by Jahmyr Gibbs did not get going. Gibbs had 37 yards rushing, but because of sacks and a fumble the Tide had only 29 yards rushing as a team.

Senior defensive tackle DJ Dale and freshman nose tackle Jaheim Oatis are day-to-day with undisclosed injuries, although coach Nick Saban said he expects at least one to return “for sure.” Oatis has 20 tackles and one of the Tide’s 23 sacks. Dale has two sacks. Neither played against Mississippi State.

QB Daniels Sparks LSU

Transfer quarterback Jayden Daniels accounted for five touchdowns, three passing, when the Bayou Bengals overcame a 14-point deficit in a 45-20 victory over Ole Miss the last time out.

Daniels, who has 1,812 yards passing, also had 309 passing/rushing yards and two touchdowns when LSU overcome a 13-0 deficit to beat Mississippi State 31-16 at home Sept. 17. Daniels has one interception in 236 pass attempts.

The Tigers have scored 45 points in each of their last two wins, beating Florida 45-35 on Oct. 15 when Daniels passed for 349 yards and had six touchdowns, three passing and three rushing. Daniels has a nine rushing touchdowns, a school record for quarterbacks. Reserve running back John Emery Jr. is questionable with an Achilles injury.

Expected Line Movement

Like all public teams, the Crimson Tide line starts out high and usually goes higher. (See Ohio State-Penn State last week). It could happen again. The Crimson Tide and Tigers have both lost to Tennessee and beaten Mississippi State, Alabama was a larger favorite and had an easier time in both.


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