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Arkansas vs Texas A&M Opening Odds – Aggies 6-Point Favorites Against Razorbacks in Week 4 at Jerry World

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in College Football

Updated Sep 19, 2021 · 2:25 PM PDT

Texas A&M head coach calling a play with a player during a college football game.
Texas A&M head coach Jimbo Fisher calls a play against New Mexico during the first half of an NCAA college football game on Saturday, Sept. 18, 2021, in College Station, Texas. (AP Photo/Sam Craft)
  • No. 7 Texas A&M opens as a 6.0-point neutral favorite against No. 16 Arkansas
  • Both the Aggies and Razorbacks are 3-0 straight up but only Arkansas is 3-0 ATS.
  • Arkansas has scored 123 points in three games this season.

No. 7 Texas A&M is listed as a 6.0-point favorite against No. 16 Arkansas as the two prepare to meet in the SEC opener for both teams. Texas A&M has beaten Arkansas nine times in a row, including a 42-31 home win last season. The Aggies find ways to defeat the Razorbacks no matter their record.

Arkansas has scored 123 points in its first three games,  which included a dominating 40-21 win over a top-15 team in Texas. Meanwhile, Texas A&M has mostly struggled aside from the 34-0 drubbing last week against New Mexico. However, they did defeat Kent State 41-10 in the opener.

Arkansas vs Texas A&M Opening Spread/Odds/Line

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Arkansas Razorbacks TBD +6,0  (-110) O 47.5 (-110)
Texas A&M Aggies TBD -6.0  (-110) U 47.5 (-110)

Odds as of September 19th at Caesar’s Sportsbook.

Texas A&M is still a favorite

Texas A&M is a favorite at the neutral-field site (Cowboys Stadium) on Saturday afternoon and they did hold Kent State (one of the most prolific offenses to ten points). Overall, the Aggies have won 12 of their last 13 games and finished fourth overall last year. Jimbo Fisher has been the guiding force in what has been a trying start for the Aggies.

Quarterback Haynes King was pretty solid against Kent State, completing 22 of 35 passes for 300 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions. He made mistakes but was able to keep downfield coverage honest. Unfortunately, King was injured on the second drive against Colorado. Zach Calzada struggled most of that game but calmed since.

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With Calzada getting the nod to start again due to injury, the Aggies quarterback will be up against his biggest challenge. Arkansas is again a team that can score. Can Calzada and Texas A&M keep up?

The Aggies thankfully have a pretty accomplished running game. Isaiah Spiller has 250 yards and a touchdown while Devon Achane gained 203 yards on the ground and two scores. Calzada does have several targets to choose from. They include  Ainias Smith and Chase Lane who could be game-breakers.

Then there is Arkansas…

Head Coach Sam Pittman has had some success before. But, this three-game run has emboldened the Razorbacks going into this showdown on Saturday. Arkansas ranks in the top-30 as far as both offense and defense (24th/28th). Starting quarterback K.J. Jefferson has been okay to good with 632 yards along with four touchdowns and two interceptions.

The Razorbacks had 471 yards total offense and 333 yards rushing against Texas during their best game of the season. Jefferson threw for less than 150 yards but the running game was incredible versus the Longhorns. Jefferson would break out last week against Georgia Southern with 364 yards and three touchdowns.

Arkansas has five runners with over 100 yards including their quarterback. Treion Smith leads the way with 216 yards and three scores. Raheem Sanders has 137 yards and a touchdown among rushers with the most carries. The Razorbacks did not run the ball as well against Georgia Southern. That could be a problem against Texas.

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Texas A&M comes in allowing just 5.7 points per game on the season which leads college football. Arkansas has yielded just 264 yards per game defensively. This could go one of two ways but the lean may be to more of a defensive struggle at first. That could impact the under and the spread.

The line should drop; Arkansas has the offense and enough of a defense to give Texas A&M a ton of trouble.

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