Upcoming Match-ups

2020 College Football Win Totals Are Back! See Odds for All ACC, Big 12, SEC Teams

Nick Saban speaking to the crowd
Nick Saban's Alabama Crimson Tide don't have the highest win total in the SEC, which isn't going to sit well with a certain section of the Cotton State. Photo by Carol M. Highsmith (Public domain).
  • Three power conferences are determined to play their 2020 college football seasons
  • ACC teams will play 11-game schedules, while Big 12 and SEC teams play ten each
  • Win total over/unders have been reposted; see below for all the ACC, Big 12, and SEC totals, listed from highest to lowest

While the Big Ten and Pac-12 have put football on pause until at least spring 2021, the ACC, Big 12, and SEC are plowing ahead (at least for now).
All three conferences have created revised schedules – 11 games for ACC teams, ten games for Big 12 and SEC teams – and sportsbooks have responded with revised win totals.

The table below sets out the win totals for each team in each conference, ordered from highest win total to lowest.

Updated 2020 College Football Win Totals

Conference Rank ACC Big 12 SEC
1st Clemson: 10.5 (-125o/-105u) Oklahoma: 8.5 (-115o/-115u) Georgia: 8.5 (+100o/-130u)
2nd Notre Dame: 8.5 (-150o/+120u) Texas: 7.5 (-115o/-115u) Alabama: 8.0 (-170o/+140u)
3rd Miami: 7.5 (-155o/+125u) Oklahoma State: 7.0 (-125o/-105u) Florida: 7.5 (-115o/-115u)
4th North Carolina: 7.5 (-130o/+100u) Iowa State: 6.5 (-115o/-115u) LSU: 7.0 (-140o/+110u)
5th Virginia Tech: 7.5 (-125o/-105u) Baylor: 6.5 (+130o/-160u) Texas A&M: 7.0 (-115o/-115u)
6th Louisville: 7.0 (-105o/-125u) TCU: 6.0 (-105o/-125u) Auburn: 6.5 (-115o/-115u)
7th Florida State: 7.0 (-105o/-125u) Kansas State: 5.5 (+115o/-145u) Kentucky: 5.0 (-145o/+115u)
8th Pitt: 6.0 (-115o/-115u) Texas Tech: 4.5 (-115o/-115u) Tennessee: 5.0 (-115o/-115u)
9th Wake Forest: 6.0 (+110o/-140u) West Virginia: 4.5 (-115o/-115u) Ole Miss: 4.0 (-115o/-115u)
10th Virginia: 5.5 (-135o/+105u) Kansas: 3.0 (+125o/-155u) Mississippi State: 4.0 (+140o/-170u)
11th Duke: 5.0 (-125o/-105u) South Carolina: 3.5 (-130o/+100u)
12th Syracuse: 5.0 (-115o/-115u) Missouri: 2.5 (-140o/+110u)
13th NC State: 4.0 (-150o/+120u) Arkansas: 1.5 (+125o/-155u)
14th Boston College: 4.0 (-140o/+110u) Vanderbilt: 1.0 (+125o/-155u)
15th Ga. Tech: 2.5 (+100o/-130u)

Win totals and odds as of Aug. 20, 2020. 

Clemson Favored to Run the Table in ACC

Dabo Swinney’s Clemson Tigers have an over/under of 10.5. Only regular-season games count towards these win totals, meaning the Tigers have to run the table in their 11-game schedule to hit the over. But oddsmakers still see that as the slightly more likely outcome, setting the over at -125 and the under at -105.

Clemson’s toughest game, on paper, comes on the road against ACC-newcomer Notre Dame on Nov. 7th. They also play at Florida State on Nov. 21st and at Virginia Tech on Dec. 5th. As far as ACC schedules go, it’s not a cupcake. They do, however, avoid the one conference rival that gave them a huge scare last season: North Carolina.

At the other end of the ACC spectrum sits poor Georgia Tech. Year one of the post-Gus Johnson era didn’t go so well. Their 3-9 (2-6 ACC) record was low-lighted by a 24-2 loss at Temple, or a 45-0 home loss to UVA, or one of the 50-burgers laid on them by Clemson and Georgia. Take your pick.

On the bright side, they are tied for first in the nation in returning production. But that’s mostly on defensive side of the ball which has, historically, mattered less. Also, it’s unclear if second-year head coach Geoff Collins and defensive coordinator Andrew Thacker will be able to coach up a group that allowed 32.4 PPG last year (104th in the country).

Sooners Still Seen as the Class of the Big 12

Despite only returning 49% of its offensive production, Oklahoma still has a win total that’s 1.5 games better than any other team in the conference. The Sooners will need to go 9-1 or 10-0 to reach the over.

The stiffest tests for Lincoln Riley’s team are at Iowa State on Oct. 24th, plus home games versus Texas (Oct. 10th) and OK State (Nov 21st) at home.  They also have to make the long trip to Morgantown to face WVU.

Oddsmakers/bettors likely see another seemless quarterback transition in Norman. Just as Baker Mayfield handed the reins to Kyler Murray who handed them to Jalen Hurts, Hurts is now giving way to the much-hyped Spencer Rattler. The redshirt freshman enters the year as the second-favorite in the Heisman trophy odds.

Seeing Kansas’ win total at 3.0 was a surprise. Even if you give them a win over Coastal Carolina in their opener – which you shouldn’t because the Chanticleers beat Kansas 12-7 on the road last year – the Jayhawks would still need to win three conference games to go over.

Last season, they squeaked out one conference win, 37-34 vs Texas Tech. They rank 126th (i.e. fifth-last) in returning production.

Alabama Fans Are Not Going to Like This

With a win total of 8.0 (heavy juice on the over) Alabama does not have the highest win total in the SEC. Cue incredulous Tide fans. Georgia is sitting at 8.5 (slight juice on the under). The reason is the schedule. While Bama gets to host Georgia (Oct. 17th), remember that home-field advantage is probably going to count for less this season.

.

The Tide also have to play LSU (away), Texas A&M (home), and Auburn (home).

Georgia, meanwhile, avoids both LSU and Texas A&M. The Bulldogs also get to play the five lowest-ranked teams in the SEC win totals: Miss. St., South Carolina, Missouri, Arkansas, and Vanderbilt. Alabama won’t have the luxury of routing Vanderbilt or South Carolina this year.

Inevitably, as money comes in on these win totals, the numbers/odds are going to move. Visit SBD’s NCAAF Win Totals Tracker to see the latest lines.

Author Image
Discussion

Let's have fun and keep it civil.