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Heisman Odds After Week 4: D’Eriq King Becomes Co-Favorite; Trask Improves to +800

Miami QB D'Eriq King throws the football
Miami Hurricanes quarterback D'Eriq King is a co-favorite for the Heisman trophy after Week 4. Photo from @HurricanesMarsh (Twitter).
  • Miami QB D’Eriq King is now a co-favorite to win the 2020 Heisman Trophy after Week 4
  • Florida’s Kyle Trask has gone from +2500 to +800 after one game
  • See the updated Heisman Trophy odds and betting analysis, below

A Houston transfer quarterback playing in Miami is now a co-favorite in the 2020 Heisman Trophy odds after another strong showing in Week 4. Hurricanes’ QB D’Eriq King is even with preseason favorites Trevor Lawrence (Clemson) and Justin Fields (Ohio State) at +600 at FanDuel.

Gators senior QB Kyle Trask has gone from +1800 to +800 after his first game of the season, while Oklahoma’s Spencer Rattler has seen his case take a major hit following an upset loss.

The following table shows the top-15 Heisman favorites at FanDuel following Week 4 of the season.

2020 Heisman Trophy Odds

Player Odds
D’Eriq King (QB, Miami) +600
Trevor Lawrence (QB, Clemson) +600
Justin Fields (QB, Ohio State) +600
K.J. Costello (Mississippi State) +800
Kyle Trask (QB, Florida) +800
Sam Ehlinger (QB, Texas) +800
Kellen Mond (QB, Texas A&M) +2500
Mac Jones (QB, Alabama) +2500
Najee Harris (RB, Alabama) +2500
Spencer Rattler (QB, Oklahoma) +2500
Travis Etienne (RB, Clemson) +2500
Ian Book (QB, Notre Dame) +3000
Master Teague (RB, Ohio State) +4000
Sam Howell (QB, UNC) +4000
Bo Nix QB (Auburn) +5000

Odds as of Sep. 28, 2020.  

D’Eriq Becomes King

Miami QB D’Eriq King is now a favorite to win the Heisman Trophy after impressing in a blowout win over Florida State in Week 4. King threw for 267 yards and two touchdowns as the Hurricanes cruised to a 52-10 victory. The dual-threat QB also added 65 rushing yards on the ground.

King has thrown for 736 yards and six TDs without an interception through his first three games with the Hurricanes. The Houston transfer has been impressive, but a clash against a true ACC contender is awaiting.

King’s value is going to change immensely, for better or worse, depending on how he does against Clemson in Death Valley on Oct. 10.

Trask Makes His Mark 

It only took one game for Florida’s Kyle Trask to convince oddsmakers he’s a top-tier Heisman candidate. The Gators QB had one of the best individual performances of the entire weekend, throwing for an impressive 416 yards and six touchdowns with no interceptions in a win over Ole Miss.

Trask is coming off an impressive 2019 campaign for the Gators, but he was as long as +2500 at some sportsbooks heading into Week 4. The Rebels certainly aren’t the cream of the crop in the SEC, but Trask has proved he can deliver against quality competition with strong outings against Auburn, LSU, and Georgia last year.

Florida’s defense was worrisome in the 51-35 win, but offense is what matters for Trask’s Heisman campaign. He has built some dynamic chemistry with tight end Kyle Pitts, and it was on full display Saturday. Trask completed four TD passes to the 6′ 6 junior, and the Gators racked up 642 yards of total offense.

Rattler Stumbles Under Pressure 

One of the reasons Trask has entered the top five is because Spencer Rattler has fallen out. The young Oklahoma QB was exposed in a 38-35 loss to Kansas State on Saturday. Excellent in the first half, Rattler couldn’t handle the pressure of KSU’s defense in the second and finished with three interceptions.

Rattler’s fall from +600 to +2500 over one week is one of the biggest drops for a Heisman favorite in recent memory. Oklahoma’s offensive line looked brutal in the loss, which is a prime reason Rattler’s battle to get back into the race will be a tough one. Despite playing with a depleted lineup due to COVID-19, the Wildcats sacked Rattler three times and consistently flushed him out of the pocket.

This marks the second straight year Oklahoma has suffered an upset loss to Kansas State. The positive for Rattler Heisman bettors is that Jalen Hurts took that loss in 2019 yet still received an invite to New York. The difference is that Hurts puts the team on his back in that game, accounting for almost 500 yards of total offense and four TDs with no interceptions.

K.J. Costello Enters the Race

While Trask had a nice showing in Week 4, the best performance of the weekend goes to K.J. Costello of Mississippi State. The transfer QB passed for an SEC-record 623 yards and five touchdowns to lead the Bulldogs to an upset victory over the defending National Champions LSU.

Many expected the Tigers to take a step back this season, but nobody could have foreseen Costello doing this type of damage to their defense. Costello’s numbers are beyond impressive, yet there’s a reason he didn’t immediately become the Heisman favorite.

This is a highly inexperienced LSU defense that was playing without without two of its three returning starters, including All-American cornerback Derek Stingley Jr.

Costello only completed 50-percent of his passes in two games against ranked opponents in 2019, so with Alabama, Auburn and Georgia all on tap this season, its best to get a look at Costello against one of these top defenses before buying into the hype.

Heisman Analysis After Week 4

Rattler’s three interceptions against KSU has really opened the door for Trask and King. King could really assert his dominance with a big performance against Clemson, while Trask’s familiarity with Dan Mullen and Florida’s offense is going to go a long way in his Heisman bid.

Justin Fields still being co-favored despite being inactive until Oct. 24 tells you oddsmakers still aren’t fully sold on any of these newcomers being good enough to overtake one of the pre-season favorites. Even if Fields balls out in every game as expected, Trask and King could have some eye-popping numbers that will be hard to ignore due to the ACC and SEC playing more games than the Big 10.

I still believe this is Field’s Heisman to lose, but Florida’s offensive performance in Week 4 makes Trask a good value play. If you’re going to get in on Trask, make your bet before the The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party in early-November. If Trask helps Florida beat UGA for the first time in four years, you’ll never see odds this good again.

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