Michigan vs TCU Props – Best Player Prop Bets for Fiesta Bowl
By Chris Amberley in College Football
Updated: April 11, 2023 at 4:28 pm EDTPublished:
- Michigan vs TCU player props are live for Saturday’s Fiesta Bowl
- Will Donovan Edwards exceed 128.5 rushing yards? Can the Wolverines hold Kendre Miller under 79.5 rushing yards?
- Check out the latest odds for the Michigan vs TCU players props below, plus three bets to target
The College Football Playoff is finally here as the semifinals kick off on New Year’s eve. The first of two fantastic games features #2 Michigan against #3 TCU in Saturday’s Fiesta Bowl.
Jim Harbaugh’s Wolverines are 7.5-point favorites over the Horned Frogs, and oddsmakers are expecting Michigan to be able to limit TCU’s high-octane offense and control the clock with their run game.
The Big Ten champs boasted the nation’s sixth-best rushing attack this season, and even though star RB Blake Corum is out, the Wolverines have an extremely dangerous alternative in the backfield.
Michigan vs TCU Player Props
| Quarterback | Passing Yards | Passing TD | Interceptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthy (MICH) | 210.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145) | 0.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
| Max Duggan (TCU) | 238.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 1.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | 0.5 (Ov -220 | Un +160) |
| Running Backs | Rush Attempts | Rushing Yards | Rush TD |
| Donovan Edwards (MICH) | OFF | 123.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) | OFF |
| Kendre Miller (TCU) | OFF | 79.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) | 0.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) |
| Wide Receivers + Tight Ends | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Rec TD |
| Cornelius Johnson (MICH) | OFF | 38.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 0.5 (Ov +235 | Un -340) |
| Ronnie Bell (MICH) | OFF | 52.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 0.5 (Ov +180 | Un -250) |
| Luke Schoonmaker (MICH) | OFF | 37.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) | OFF |
| Quentin Johnson (TCU) | OFF | 70.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 0.5 (Ov +175 | Un -240) |
| Derius Davis (TCU) | OFF | 31.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 0.5 (Ov +300 | Un -450) |
All odds as of Dec. 29 at FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code as well as the FanDuel promos.
That would be Donovan Edwards, whose rushing yards over/under sits at 123.5. That’s 44 yards higher than TCU running back Kendre Miller’s, and Edwards is a strong bet to exceed that total.
Fiesta Bowl Prop #1: Donovan Edwards Over 123.5 Rushing Yards
Michigan’s ground game didn’t miss a beat when Corum went down in the second last week of the season. Edwards stepped in versus Ohio State, and ripped off 216 rushing yards and two scores. He followed up that performance with a 185-yard, one-TD performance in the Conference Championship Game, and averaged 8.5 yards per carry in those two outings.
Donovan Edwards Rushing Stats – Last Two Games
| ATT | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 185 | 7.4 | 1 |
| 22 | 216 | 9.8 | 2 |
The Wolverines averaged 243 rushing yards and 5.6 yards per carry during the regular season, rushing at the nation’s eighth-highest rate. Their matchup versus the Horned Frogs’ defense is favorable, as TCU ranked 67th against the run this season.
Edwards’ rushing yards over/under prop varies wildly across different online sportsbooks so be sure to shop around. His prop can be found for as low as 123.5 yards or as high as 128.5 yards.
Pick: Donovan Edwards Over 123.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 unit
Fiesta Bowl Prop #2: Kendre Miller Under 79.5 Rushing Yards
While we’re bullish on Edwards in this game, we’re bearish on Miller. The Horned Frogs’ lead RB is a future NFL talent, however, this is not a matchup for him to excel in.
Miler does the majority of his damage rushing inside. Per ESPN stats and info, 1,141 of his 1,342 rushing yards came between the tackles. The Wolverines’ run defense surrendered the second-fewest yards per carry in the country (2.9) and the third-fewest yards between the tackles.
Only players w/ 4 rushes of 50+ yards (Power 5):
〽️Donovan Edwards
🐸Kendre Miller pic.twitter.com/R2A0cpca8R— PFF College (@PFF_College) December 29, 2022
As touchdown-plus underdogs game script is likely not going to be in Miller’s favor, which should reduce his volume. It’s easy to envision multiple scenarios where he falls short of this number, and few where he eclipses it.
Pick: Kendre Miller Under 79.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 unit
Michigan vs TCU Scoring Props
| Player | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|
| Donovan Edwards (MICH) | +300 | -850 |
| Kendre Miller (TCU) | +700 | -175 |
| Ronnie Bell (MICH) | +950 | +125 |
| Quentin Johnson (TCU) | +1000 | +110 |
| J.J. McCarthy (MICH) | +1000 | +130 |
| Cornelius Johnson (MICH) | +1100 | +150 |
| Luke Schoonmaker (MICH) | +1200 | +165 |
| Max Duggan (TCU) | +1400 | +175 |
| Roman Wilson (MICH) | +1700 | +240 |
| Taye Barber (TCU) | +1800 | +230 |
| Michigan Defense | +1900 | +270 |
| Derius Davis (TCU) | +2100 | +270 |
| CJ Stokes (MICH) | +2300 | +330 |
| TCU Defense | +3800 | +490 |
As far as the anytime TD market goes, Edwards’ -850 odds to find the end zone have got to be some kind of record. There’s no way we’re laying that kind of juice, but his teammate Luke Schoonmaker looks like a nice value.
Fiesta Bowl Prop #3: Luke Schoonmaker Anytime TD
He currently boasts +165 odds to score, and should be a prime candidate for some red zone looks. Schoonmaker scored three times this year and is an absolute nightmare to defend. He stands 6-foot-6 and weighs 250 pounds, making him virtually unguardable for any defensive back.
VIDEO: JJ McCarthy rolled to his right and threw a strike to Luke Schoonmaker for a Michigan TD
🎥: @CFBONFOX pic.twitter.com/3zqRJFeCuA
— Brad Galli (@BradGalli) December 4, 2022
He led all tight ends in the country in yards per reception at 11.4, and one college football coach told ESPN he’s one of the best tight end prospects he’s seen in the last 20 years.
Pick: Luke Schoonmaker Anytime TD (+165) at FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 unit
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
