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Miami vs Notre Dame Same-Game Parlay Picks for Sunday CFB

Nick Holz

By Nick Holz in College Football

Published:


Miami vs Notre Dame Same-Game Parlay Picks
Jan 20, 2025; Atlanta, GA, USA; Notre Dame Fighting Irish cornerback Leonard Moore (15) against the Ohio State Buckeyes during the CFP National Championship college football game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
  • Miami vs Notre Dame headlines college football Week 1 action on Sunday, August 31st
  • Five of Notre Dame’s last seven Week 1 games have gone under the total
  • See my Miami vs Notre Dame same-game parlay picks below

Carson Beck and the Miami Hurricanes meet CJ Carr and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in a Week 1 CFB showdown. College Football Playoff finalists last year, Marcus Freeman’s squad will look to kickstart its campaign on the road when this heavyweight tilt kicks off from Hard Rock Stadium at 7:30 pm ET.

Lock in my Miami vs Notre Dame same-game parlay picks.

Miami vs Notre Dame Parlay Picks

PickOdds
Under 50.5-110
CJ Carr Under 186.5 Passing Yards-114
CJ Daniels Under 42.5 Receiving Yards-114
Total Miami vs Notre Dame Parlay Odds+333

Bettors are all over the Fighting Irish in this matchup; 72% of moneyline bets and 71% of spread bets are on Notre Dame in the latest college football public betting splits.

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Odds as of August 31st at FanDuel. Check out the best college football betting apps for Miami vs Notre Dame.

Miami vs Notre Dame Parlay Pick #1: Under 50.5 Points

Expect Notre Dame to control the tempo of this contest with its dominant rushing attack. Jeremiah Love and Jadarian Price combined for over 1,800 yards and 24 total touchdowns last season and will spearhead the Fighting Irish offense once again.

Look for Notre Dame to milk the clock and aim to limit mistakes. Starting a redshirt freshman quarterback on the road comes with its own challenges, and the Fighting Irish are unlikely to put the pressure of this Week 1 contest into CJ Carr’s inexperienced hands.

Additionally, the Notre Dame betting trends are on my side here: five of the last seven Week 1 games have gone under the total for the Irish.

Miami vs Notre Dame Parlay Pick #2: CJ Carr Under 186.5 Passing Yards

A redshirt freshman making his first collegiate start on the road against Miami is bound to struggle. We saw Arch Manning put up only 38 first-half passing yards yesterday, and I expect to see more of the same in Miami vs Notre Dame.

Defenses are generally a step ahead of their offensive counterparts early in the season, and we saw a number of high-profile contests finish well under the total on Saturday. Marcus Freeman is a conservative, defensive coach, and he understands Notre Dame’s advantage in this contest is the strength of his offensive line and rushing attack.

There’s no reason to take the training wheels off of Carr in a tough matchup on the road. Miami’s defensive strength comes from its edge rushers, Akheem Mesidor and Rueben Bain Jr, who combined for nine sacks last season. That duo will make life tough on Notre Dame’s freshman pivot. Bet CJ Carr under 186.5 passing yards as the second leg of our Miami vs Notre Dame same-game parlay.

Miami vs Notre Dame Parlay Pick #3: CJ Daniels Under 42.5 Receiving Yards

LSU transfer CJ Daniels will spend his first game at Miami in the torture chamber of Notre Dame’s dominant secondary.

Cornerback Leonard Moore allowed just 16 of his 42 single-coverage targets to be caught last year in his freshman season, limiting opposing QBs to a 59.9 passer rating over those throws. His 88.7 overall grade at Pro Football Focus ranked seventh in the nation.

Notre Dame Defensive Stats (2024)

Yards Per GamePassing Yards Per GamePoints Per Game
298.3 165.314.3

Things won’t get any easier for Daniels against Notre Dame’s other boundary corner, Christian Gray. Gray memorably picked off Penn State’s Drew Allar to put his team in position to win the Orange Bowl last year. In that national semifinal, Gray held Penn State’s receivers to a grand total of zero receptions and zero yards while in coverage.

As such, Daniels will find himself within reach of an elite coverman no matter where he lines up on the field. Fade his Week 1 receiving yardage line of 42.5 yards.

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Nick Holz
Nick Holz

Sports Content Writer

A sports betting aficionado and graduate of Toronto Film School, Nick covers the NFL, NBA, Soccer, and MMA for SBD. He is also an avid NBA podcaster, and sports betting TikToker. Nick's work has been featured on Bleacher Report.

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