Upcoming Match-ups

Navy Laying Almost Four TDs at UConn; Midshipmen 3-0 ATS as Touchdown+ Favorite this Season

Navy football team running onto the field
The Navy Midshipmen have yet to lose ATS this season when favored by at least a TD. Photo by Chad Runge/Released.
  • Navy and UConn square off on Friday night (8:00 PM ET, Nov. 1)
  • The Midshipmen are 27.5-point favorites and the total is set at 55
  • Navy is 5-2 ATS this season and 3-0 as a favorite of seven or more

The Navy Midshipmen (6-1, 4-1 AAC) and Connecticut Huskies (2-6, 0-4 AAC) clash in the lone FBS game on Friday Night (8:00 PM ET, Nov. 1). Both teams are fresh off victories, which is rare for the Huskies, who snapped a 22-game FBS losing streak by taking down UMass in Week 9.

Navy vs Connecticut Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Navy Midshipmen -3200 -27.5 (-110) Over 55.0 (-110)
Connecticut Huskies +1322 +27.5 (-110) Under 55.0 (-110)

All odds taken Oct. 29.

The line opened at Navy -26.5, and our Midshipmen vs Huskies odds show that it’s already been bet up a full point in Navy’s direction. They’re 5-2 against the spread this season, including 3-0 as a favorite of 7.5-points or more.

Navy is currently a game behind #15 SMU in the AAC West, and cannot afford a slip-up if it wants to keep its conference championship hopes alive.

Navy is Going to Run Wild

UConn is one of the best matchups Navy will get all season. The Huskies allow the second most rushing yards per game in the AAC and a conference worst 5.4 yards per carry. The Midshipmen average an FBS best 350.7 rushing yards per game and are fresh off a 385 yard performance in a win over Tulane.

They’ve scored 35 or more points in six of seven games this season and their triple option attack will give UConn fits. The Huskies defense allows 38 points per game and has already lost four times this season by 26 points or more. Only one of those losses was against an opponent rated as high as Navy, and this has all the makings of another blowout victory in the Midshipmen’s favor.

Four of their wins have been by at least 28 points and they’ve been especially dominant in the first half. Navy has outscored its opposition 166-50 in the first two quarters this season, so keep that in mind if you’re looking to bet the first half of this game.

Huskies Will be Helpless on Offense

Don’t let UConn’s 56-point outburst last week against UMass fool you. This is a weak offense that has failed to scored more than 24 points in all but two of its games this season, and features a quarterback who’s thrown more interceptions than touchdowns. They rank near the bottom of the conference in nearly every key offensive category, and Navy’s defense is the stingiest in the AAC.

They’re the only team in the conference that surrenders less than 20 points per game, and should have no problem limiting a Huskies offense that has struggled mightily against much softer competition this season.

The Midshipmen Will Cover This Spread

Navy is 8-1 in their last nine matchups versus UConn and there’s no reason to think that dominance won’t continue. They have a massive advantage on both sides of the ball, and outside of the Huskies win against the lowest rated FBS team in the country, UConn has stayed within two touchdowns of just two FBS opponents.

Expect a big Navy win, setting up a huge showdown with #16 Notre Dame in two weeks.

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