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Nevada vs Air Force, Odds, Lines and Best Bet

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in College Football

Sep 20, 2022 · 10:15 AM PDT

Nevada vs Air Force odds
Sep 16, 2022; Laramie, Wyoming, USA; Air Force Falcons wide receiver David Cormier (7) scores a touchdown against the Wyoming Cowboys during the third quarter at Jonah Field at War Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Babbitt-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Air Force Falcons are 24-point home favorites over the Nevada Wolf Pack in a college football game scheduled for Friday, September 23
  • In the Nevada vs Air Force odds, the total is set at 47 points
  • The Falcons are leading the all-time series over the Wolfpack 4-2 both straight up and against the spread

The Wyoming Cowboys grounded the Air Force Falcons (2-1) last week, but oddsmakers are sticking with the flyboys to do a number on the Nevada Wolf Pack (2-2).

Suffering a 17-14 loss at Wyoming as 17-point road favorites, Air Force is coming home to defend an even longer betting line. Oddsmakers are setting the Falcons as the 24-point home chalk in this game.

Nevada vs Air Force Odds

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Nevada Wolf Pack +24 (-110) O 47 (-110) +1550
Air Force Falcons -24 (-110) U 47 (-110) -4500

Odds as of September 20 at Caesars Sportsbook. See the available Caesars Sportsbook bonus code here.

 

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Air Force is 4-2 both straight up and against the spread all-time against Nevada. The Falcons are 2-1 ATS at home and 2-1 ATS on the road.

The kickoff for this game at Falcon Stadium is set for 8:00 pm ET on Friday, September 23. The weather forecast is predicting clear skies, 9 mph wind and a temperature of 78 degrees. The broadcast of the game can be seen on FS1.

Nevada vs Air Force Betting Trends

At moneyline odds of -4500, the Falcons are offering an implied probability of victory of 97.83% in the CFB odds. A successful $10 wager on Air Force would be delivering a payout of just $10.20.

In terms of NCAA public betting trends, the bettors are of two minds. Air Force is getting 61% of the handle and 57% of bets on the spread. Moneyline bettors are backing the Falcons with 74% of bets. However, 80% of the moneyline handle in the public splits is supporting Nevada. Adding up the total, there’s emphasis on the over. Bets are 61% favoring the over. Handle is backing the over to the tune of 56%.

The total has gone over in six of Air Force’s last seven games and in five of Nevada’s last seven games.

In NCAA future bets, the Falcons are +500000 in the National Championship odds. Air Force is the +375 third betting choice to win the Mountain West Conference title.  The Wolf Pack are the ninth pick to win the MWC at +3500.

Cowboys Grounded The Falcons

Facing the nation’s #1 rushing attack, Wyoming not only grounded the Air Force ground game, the Cowboys actually out-gained the Falcons. Wyoming held a 180-171 edge in rushing yardage.

Air Force quarterback Haaziq Daniels, who’d only thrown five times for eight yards in the school’s previous game, passed 14 times for 101 yards and two touchdowns. John Lee Eldridge III carried 13 times for 104 yards. That’s an average of 8.0 yards per carry.

The Falcons still lead the NCAA in rushing (1188 yards). They’re 16th in time of possession (34:17) and 17th in yards gained per play (7.1).

Last week’s loss halted three impressive streaks for Air Force. The Falcons were winners of six in a row and five straight on the road. They also were scoring at least 30 points in six successive games.

Wolf Pack Firing Blanks

The offense is proving to be all or nothing this season for the Wolf Pack. Last week, Nevada was blanked 27-0 by Iowa. A week earlier, the Wolf Pack was outscored 55-41 at home by Incarnate Word.

The Nevada offense was only gaining 151 yards against Iowa’s #6-rated defense. The game took six hours to reach completion due to three delays for lightning.

Nate Cox is returning from injury, meaning that Wolf Pack coach Ken Wilson will be making a decision between him and Shane Illingworth as his QB1.

The Wolf Pack is showing a 119th ranking in the nation in total offense (290 YPG). And they were giving up 27 points to the Hawkeyes, the worst offense in the FBS (217.7 YPG). That doesn’t bode well facing Air Force’s powerful triple option offense. Nevada is 3-3 SU but 5-1 ATS over the school’s past six road games.

Nevada vs Air Force Prediction

While the Air Force offense gets all the attention, the defense isn’t exactly populated by slouches. The Falcons have held all three opponents this season to 17 points or less. Over the past two seasons, they’ve checked the opposition on an average of 18.8 points per game.

The 24-spread belies the history of this series. Five of the six games have been decided by seven points or less. The combined margin of victory in the last three Nevada vs Air Force games is eight points.

That being said, Nevada has surrendered 82 points over the past two games this season.

Pick: Air Force Falcons -24.5 (-110).

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