Nevada vs Air Force, Odds, Lines and Best Bet
- The Air Force Falcons are 24-point home favorites over the Nevada Wolf Pack in a college football game scheduled for Friday, September 23
- In the Nevada vs Air Force odds, the total is set at 47 points
- The Falcons are leading the all-time series over the Wolfpack 4-2 both straight up and against the spread
The Wyoming Cowboys grounded the Air Force Falcons (2-1) last week, but oddsmakers are sticking with the flyboys to do a number on the Nevada Wolf Pack (2-2).
Suffering a 17-14 loss at Wyoming as 17-point road favorites, Air Force is coming home to defend an even longer betting line. Oddsmakers are setting the Falcons as the 24-point home chalk in this game.
Nevada vs Air Force Odds
| Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack | +24 (-110) | O 47 (-110) | +1550 |
| Air Force Falcons | -24 (-110) | U 47 (-110) | -4500 |
Odds as of September 20 at Caesars Sportsbook. See the available Caesars Sportsbook bonus code here.
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Air Force is 4-2 both straight up and against the spread all-time against Nevada. The Falcons are 2-1 ATS at home and 2-1 ATS on the road.
The kickoff for this game at Falcon Stadium is set for 8:00 pm ET on Friday, September 23. The weather forecast is predicting clear skies, 9 mph wind and a temperature of 78 degrees. The broadcast of the game can be seen on FS1.
Nevada vs Air Force Betting Trends
At moneyline odds of -4500, the Falcons are offering an implied probability of victory of 97.83% in the CFB odds. A successful $10 wager on Air Force would be delivering a payout of just $10.20.
In terms of NCAA public betting trends, the bettors are of two minds. Air Force is getting 61% of the handle and 57% of bets on the spread. Moneyline bettors are backing the Falcons with 74% of bets. However, 80% of the moneyline handle in the public splits is supporting Nevada. Adding up the total, there’s emphasis on the over. Bets are 61% favoring the over. Handle is backing the over to the tune of 56%.
Back at 𝙁𝙖𝙡𝙘𝙤𝙣 𝙎𝙩𝙖𝙙𝙞𝙪𝙢 this week‼️ pic.twitter.com/ZFDrAvL9u7
— Air Force Football (@AF_Football) September 19, 2022
The total has gone over in six of Air Force’s last seven games and in five of Nevada’s last seven games.
In NCAA future bets, the Falcons are +500000 in the National Championship odds. Air Force is the +375 third betting choice to win the Mountain West Conference title. The Wolf Pack are the ninth pick to win the MWC at +3500.
Cowboys Grounded The Falcons
Facing the nation’s #1 rushing attack, Wyoming not only grounded the Air Force ground game, the Cowboys actually out-gained the Falcons. Wyoming held a 180-171 edge in rushing yardage.
Air Force quarterback Haaziq Daniels, who’d only thrown five times for eight yards in the school’s previous game, passed 14 times for 101 yards and two touchdowns. John Lee Eldridge III carried 13 times for 104 yards. That’s an average of 8.0 yards per carry.
Cade Harris into the endzone‼️ pic.twitter.com/YhrCF93zvl
— Air Force Football (@AF_Football) September 17, 2022
The Falcons still lead the NCAA in rushing (1188 yards). They’re 16th in time of possession (34:17) and 17th in yards gained per play (7.1).
Last week’s loss halted three impressive streaks for Air Force. The Falcons were winners of six in a row and five straight on the road. They also were scoring at least 30 points in six successive games.
Wolf Pack Firing Blanks
The offense is proving to be all or nothing this season for the Wolf Pack. Last week, Nevada was blanked 27-0 by Iowa. A week earlier, the Wolf Pack was outscored 55-41 at home by Incarnate Word.
The Nevada offense was only gaining 151 yards against Iowa’s #6-rated defense. The game took six hours to reach completion due to three delays for lightning.
Just got back from a rainy Nevada football practice and QB Nate Cox (unknown injury) is back and available for the Wolf Pack's game at Air Force on Friday. No starter announced between Cox and Shane Illingworth, but Cox is back in the mix after starting two weeks ago.
— Chris Murray (@ByChrisMurray) September 19, 2022
Nate Cox is returning from injury, meaning that Wolf Pack coach Ken Wilson will be making a decision between him and Shane Illingworth as his QB1.
The Wolf Pack is showing a 119th ranking in the nation in total offense (290 YPG). And they were giving up 27 points to the Hawkeyes, the worst offense in the FBS (217.7 YPG). That doesn’t bode well facing Air Force’s powerful triple option offense. Nevada is 3-3 SU but 5-1 ATS over the school’s past six road games.
Nevada vs Air Force Prediction
While the Air Force offense gets all the attention, the defense isn’t exactly populated by slouches. The Falcons have held all three opponents this season to 17 points or less. Over the past two seasons, they’ve checked the opposition on an average of 18.8 points per game.
The Wolf Pack and Falcons have been playing each other since 2012. Air Force leads the all-time series with Nevada 4-2. Nevada is 1-2 all-time against Air Force at the Academy. #BeatAirForce pic.twitter.com/NkGPJ3mprd
— Fake Matt Mumme (@FakeCoachMumme) September 20, 2022
The 24-spread belies the history of this series. Five of the six games have been decided by seven points or less. The combined margin of victory in the last three Nevada vs Air Force games is eight points.
That being said, Nevada has surrendered 82 points over the past two games this season.
Pick: Air Force Falcons -24.5 (-110).
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
