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Ohio State vs Michigan Opening Odds – Wolverines 7.5-Point Underdogs Against Buckeyes at the Big House

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in College Football

Nov 21, 2021 · 12:21 PM PST

Michigan head coach Jim Harbaugh on the Wolverine sideline
Michigan head coach Jim Harbaugh watches the scoreboard during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Indiana, Saturday, Nov. 6, 2021, in Ann Arbor, Mich. (AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
  • Ohio State visits Michigan in Week 13 of college football on Saturday, November 27th
  • The Buckeyes have won eight consecutive games against the Wolverines
  • Read below for Ohio State vs Michigan odds, plus expected line movement

Week 13 of college football features a pivotal Big 10 showdown between No.4 Ohio State and No. 6 Michigan on Saturday, November 27th (12pm EST). Both teams are 10-1 and battling for a spot in the College Football Playoff.

The Buckeyes have opened as 7.5-point road favorites at the Big House in Ann Arbour. Ohio State has won eight straight games against Michigan dating back to 2011.

Let’s take a look at the Ohio State vs Michigan opening odds and examine which direction the line is likely to move.

Ohio State vs Michigan Week 13 Opening Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Ohio State Buckeyes -7.5 (-110) -320 O 65.5 (-110)
Michigan Wolverines +7.5  (-110) +250 U 65.5 (-110)

Odds as of November 21st at DraftKings.

Buckeyes’ Offense Can’t Be Stopped

Ohio State will bring the country’s top-ranked offense into Saturday’s Week 13 showdown with Michigan. The Buckeyes are averaging 559.5 yards and 47.2 points per game following a dominant 56-7 win over Michigan State in Week 12. Ryan Day’s team easily covered the spread as 19-point favorites.

Ohio State’s offensive performance against the Wolverines was flat-out scary, as CJ Stroud threw six TD passes, while Chris Olave, Garrett Wilson and Jaxon Smith-Njigba all topped 100 yards receiving. What might be most impressive is that the OSU defense held MSU’s Heisman-calibre running back Kenneth Walker to just 25 yards on six carries.

Ohio State has won nine straight games since losing to Oregon in Week 2 and are closing in on Georgia in the National Championship odds. The Buckeyes have been a bit up-and-down during their winning streak, but they’ve exploded for 50-plus points in back-to-back weeks. OSU is 6-4-1 ATS on the season.

Wolverines Have Smothering Defense

Michigan didn’t get caught looking ahead to Ohio State as they took care of business against Maryland in Week 12. Cade McNamara passed for 259 yards and two TDs, while Hassan Haskins rushed for two scores in a 59-18 win over the Terrapins. The Wolverines’ defense held Maryland to 359 yards of offense.

Michigan covered the 16-point spread against Maryland to advance to 9-2-0 ATS on the season. This is Michigan’s best team in years, so it’s no surprise they aren’t listed as heavy underdogs against a surging Ohio State team. The Wolverines have won and covered in three straight games against Indiana, Penn State and Maryland.

Michigan’s defense has been excellent this season, allowing just 306.8 yards and 16.3 point per game. QB McNamara has been solid in the passing game despite being viewed as more of a game-manager type, while the Wolverines boast two of the Big 10’s top rushers in Haskins (1,063 yds) and Blake Corum (778 yds).

Corum (ankle) has missed the last two weeks due to injury, but he was reportedly available against Maryland and could return against Ohio State. His injury status could have a minor impact on the Ohio State vs Michigan odds.

Expected Line Movement

Not only is this game going to define both Michigan and Ohio State’s season, but it’s also a defining moment for UM coach Jim Harbaugh. The 57-year-old coach is 0-6 against Ohio State in his career and has developed a reputation for losing big games. He wants nothing more than to finally beat Ohio State and silence his haters.

Ohio State has won and covered in the last two meetings against Michigan, although the two teams didn’t play in 2020. The last meeting in Ann Arbour was in 2019 when Justin Fields and JK Dobbins torched the Michigan defense for a 56-27 victory. OSU covered the spread as nine-point road favorites.

Is 2021 the year Michigan finally beats Ohio State? The Buckeyes offense is electric, but Michigan’s defense is the real deal and home-field advantage is big. The Wolverines are a perfect 6-0 at the Big House, covering the spread in five of those contests. Ohio State is 2-1-1 ATS on the road.

Expect this line to tick up in Ohio State’s favor leading up kickoff, as the Buckeyes have won the last two meetings by an average margin of 26 points. Even though this Michigan team is impressive, bettors will be skeptical to bet on the Wolverines given Harbaugh’s track record in big games.

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