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Ohio State vs Wisconsin Odds, Spread & Picks (Saturday, Oct. 28)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in College Football

Updated Oct 26, 2023 · 12:12 PM PDT

Ohio State is a 14.5-point road favorite at Wisconsin.
Oct 21, 2023; Columbus, Ohio, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes running back Miyan Williams (3), quarterback Devin Brown (33) and quarterback Kyle McCord (6) celebrate a touchdown during the NCAA football game against the Penn State Nittany Lions at Ohio Stadium.
  • The #3 Ohio State Buckeyes are 14.5-point road favorites over the Wisconsin Badgers in their Big Ten college football game on Saturday, October 28
  • The Buckeyes are 9-0 straight up and 7-2 against the spread in the last nine games against the Badgers
  • Ohio State is 4-3 ATS in the last seven games as the double-digit chalk over Wisconsin

The third-ranked team in the nation, the Ohio State Buckeyes (7-0, 4-2-1 ATS) are hoping to continue a familiar pattern in their Big Ten showdown with the Wisconsin Badgers (5-2, 3-4 ATS).

Straight up, the Buckeyes have won nine in a row over the Badgers. At Wisconsin, Ohio State is 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS over the past six games.

Oddsmakers certainly are seeing this trend continuing. Ohio State is set as 14.5-point road favorites in the Ohio State vs Wisconsin odds. The Buckeyes are 1-3-1 ATS in their past five away games.

Let’s take a little deeper look into the Ohio State vs Wisconsin odds and offer you our prediction for this college football game between longtime Big Ten rivals.

Ohio State vs Wisconsin Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Ohio State Buckeyes -710 -14.5 (-105) Over 45.5 (-110)
Wisconsin Badgers +490 +14.5 (-115) Under 45.5 (-110)

In the Ohio State vs Wisconsin odds, the Buckeyes are -710 moneyline favorites, giving them an 87.65% implied win probability. The total is set at 45.5 points.

Odds as of Oct. 27 at FanDuel. Check out the FanDuel bonus code to bet on Buckeyes vs Badgers and other college football Week 9 action this week.  

 

This is the first visit by the Buckeyes to Wisconsin since 2016. Ohio State hasn’t lost to the Badgers since 2010. The Buckeyes are 7-2 ATS in the school’s past nine games against Wisconsin.

Kickoff for this game at Camp Randall Stadium on Saturday, October 28 is set for 7:30 pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by NBC.

Buckeyes vs Badgers Betting Splits

In the college football public betting splits, Ohio State is just 1-1-1 ATS on the road this season. Wisconsin is a dismal 1-3 ATS at home during the 2023 campaign.

The Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their past five games against opponents from the Big Ten West. Meanwhile, the Badgers are 2-5 ATS over their past seven contests against Big Ten schools.

Wisconsin is 4-1 SU in the past five games. Ohio State is 7-0 SU in the past seven games, 5-0 SU in the last five road games and 12-1 SU in the past 13 games against Big Ten opponents.

The total has gone under in six of Ohio State’s last seven games. The under has also proven the successful play in eight of Wisconsin’s last 12 games.

The #3 Buckeyes are set as the co-third betting choice with a line of +700 in the National Championship odds. Wisconsin is given +100000 odds in this betting market.

Buckeyes Seek To Avoid Letdown

Coming off an emotional 20-12 win over Penn State in a battle of Big Ten unbeatens, Ohio State will be looking to ensure the team doesn’t suffer any drop-off in performance this week. Earlier this season, following a 17-14 win over Notre Dame the Buckeyes struggled at the outset the next week before getting their act together, scoring 27 second-half points to beat Maryland 37-17.

Even if they do start slowly, Ohio State’s defense should keep Wisconsin in check. The Buckeyes are #5 in the nation in total defense, allowing 260.1 yards per game. They’re #2 in yards allowed per play (3.93) and #3 in scoring defense (10.0 points allowed per game).

Offensively, WR Marvin Harrison Jr is eighth in the country in receiving yards (766) and seventh in receiving yards per game (109.4). He’s scored six touchdowns.

Fickell Finger Of Fate For Badgers?

Former Ohio State interim head coach Luke Fickell is in charge of the Badgers, but he hasn’t been lucky Luke when facing his old school. Fickell lost 42-0 to the Buckeyes as Cincinnati head coach in 2019.

Badgers QB Braeden Locke will be making his second career start and first home start. Not surprisingly,  Wisconsin will look to run the ball against Ohio State. Badgers RB Braelon Allen is leading the Big Ten in rushing yards per game (100.57). He went for 145 yards last week against Illinois and 165 last season against the Buckeyes.

There’s just one flaw in that game plan. The Ohio State run defense is 10th in the nation in yards per carry allowed (3.01).

Ohio State vs Wisconsin Prediction

The last two times the Buckeyes visited Camp Randall Stadium, both games were decided on overtime touchdowns.

Wisconsin wins when running the ball. The Badgers are 5-0 SU when they have 35+ carries in a game this season and 0-2 SU with fewer than 30 rushes. Trouble is, Ohio State’s defense isn’t going to be accommodating to the ground game.

Wisconsin will probably keep this one close for a bit, but just like the Maryland game, Ohio State will ultimately wear down the Badgers and pull away.

Ohio State vs Wisconsin Pick: Ohio State Buckeyes -14.5 (-105)

 

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