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Oklahoma Seeing 95% of Money vs UCLA as 23-Point Favorites; Sharps & Public Both Pick Sooners

Oklahoma Sooners chuckwagon on the field
Can the Oklahoma Sooners cover a huge number on the road at UCLA this Saturday? Photo by John Silks (Wikimedia) [CC License].
  • The Oklahoma Sooners are averaging 710 yards of offense per game, which is the most in the country
  • The UCLA Bruins are 126th in the country in offense and dead-last in time of possession
  • Virtually every type of bettor is backing the Sooners this weekend in Pasadena as massive road favorites

The no. 5 Oklahoma Sooners (2-0) are expected to pummel the UCLA Bruins on Saturday. The oddsmakers have the Sooners favored by over three touchdowns. Beyond that, almost all of the money they’ve received on the game has been on the Sooners, 95% to be exact.

The Sooners and Bruins will kickoff at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, Sep. 14th, at the Rose Bowl. Is there any value with the Bruins in the latest Oklahoma vs UCLA odds?

Oklahoma vs UCLA Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Oklahoma Sooners -23 (-110) -2100 Over 72.5 (-110)
UCLA Bruins +23 (-110) +1070 Under 72.5 (-110)

*Odds taken 09/13/19 .

Sooners Have Sailed So Far

We’re just two games into the 2019 college football season but it’s been smooth sailing for the Sooners. They crushed Houston 49-31 in their season-opener and then rolled over South Dakota by a final score of 70-14.

Their offense has not missed a beat as quarterback Jalen Hurts has seamlessly transitioned from Alabama and has already compiled 591 passing yards, six touchdowns, 223 rushing yards and three more touchdowns in just two games. The massive output has vaulted him up the 2019 Heisman Trophy odds.

The Sooners have played both games at home so far, though, so this will be their first road test.

UCLA Has Been Absolutely Pathetic

The Bruins have been nothing short of an embarrassing in the early going of Chip Kelly’s second year as head coach. They lost their opener 24-14 in something of a nail biter against a decent Cincinnati team on the road. Then they lost their home opener 23-14 to San Diego State, which is not a good look.

It’s not that Cincinnati or San Diego State are cupcakes or games that UCLA should never lose, but this UCLA program doesn’t look like they’ve turned a corner. If anything, they look like they’ve regressed. Kelly’s teams are supposed to be known for their offenses, yet the Bruins can barely pick up first downs these days.

The Bruins have a total of 355 passing yards this season (through two games) with just 28 first downs. Starting QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson has made zero progress as a sophomore.

Kelly better hope that a completely different team shows up on Saturday or he’s likely to get blown out.

What’s The Best Bet?

This is just a bad matchup for UCLA. They’re dead-last in the country in offensive time of possession. They haven’t moved the ball at all and they’re not giving their defense much of a breather.

This is a primetime game and the Sooners are on the road where they’re always more vulnerable, but this isn’t a spot to overthink things. The Sooners have a (somewhat) improved defense and they’re going against the Bruins, who are 126th in the nation in offense. The Bruins have scored a total of 28 points this season.

On the flip side is a Sooner offense that scored 28 points in the third quarter last week and leads the nation with 710 yards of offense per game. Cincinnati and San Diego State probably would have blown out the Bruins had they had the offensive parts, but they’re a few bricks short of a load. Oklahoma is not.

I like the Sooners here as long as the Oklahoma vs UCLA odds stay at -24 or lower. That’s a key number. Obviously, I liked them a lot more right off the bat at -19.5 and under -21, but I’m still a believer at -24 or less. UCLA might keep this close for a quarter but Oklahoma will keep scoring and UCLA just won’t be able to answer.

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