- The Sooners are 12.5-point home favorites over the Wildcats in the Oklahoma vs Kansas State odds for their college football game on Saturday, September 24
- Kansas State is 2-1 straight up in the past three games against Oklahoma
- The Wildcats are also 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings with the Sooners
Just when it appeared that the Kansas State Wildcats (2-1, 2-1 ATS) were again going to be a threat to the Big 12 dominance of the Oklahoma Sooners (3-0, 2-1 ATS), they were overrun by a Green Wave.
Tulane knocked the Wildcats from the ranks of the unbeaten via a 17-10 Week 3 victory. Perhaps that explains the betting line on this game.
Oklahoma is a 12.5-point home favorite. It’s the sixth straight year that the seventh-ranked Sooners are the double-digit point chalk against the Wildcats. Kansas State is 4-2 against the spread in those games.
Kansas State vs Oklahoma Odds
|Kansas State Wildcats||+12.5 (-110)||O 53 (-110)||+360|
|Oklahoma Sooners||-12.5 (-110)||U 53 (-110)||-480|
Odds as of September 23 at Caesars Sportsbook. See the available Caesars Sportsbook bonus code here.
Oklahoma is 0-2-1 on the total so far this season. Kansas State is 0-3 on the total. This will be the first road game of the season for the Wildcats. Kansas State was 1-2-1 ATS on the road last season.
The kickoff for this game at Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium is set for 8:00 pm ET on Saturday, September 24. The weather forecast is predicting clear skies, 17 mph wind and a temperature of 96 degrees. The broadcast of the game can be seen on the FOX Network.
Kansas State vs Oklahoma Betting Trends
At moneyline odds of -480, the Sooners are offering an implied probability of victory of 82.76% in the CFB odds. A successful $10 wager on Oklahoma would be delivering a payout of just $12.10.
In terms of NCAA public betting trends, the bettors are strongly backing the Sooners. Oklahoma is getting 86% of the handle and 87% of bets on the spread. Moneyline bettors are backing the Sooners with 83% of the handle and 93% of the bets. Looking to the total, despite neither of these teams going over yet this season, it’s the over that the public likes. Bets are 78% favoring the over. Handle is backing the over at a rate of 73%.
Electric, intense, flat-out fun.
— Oklahoma Football (@OU_Football) September 23, 2022
In NCAA future bets, the Sooners are +4000 in the National Championship odds. Kansas State is +250000 to be the CFP winner. Oklahoma is the +200 chalk to win the Big 12 title. The Wildcats are the sixth pick to win the Big 12 at +1400.
Caesars Sportsbook is offering an odds boost play on this game. Bet Kansas State to win outright and Wildcats running back Deuce Vaughn to score a touchdown and that parlay is offering a betting line of +420.
Wildcats Rarely Strike Through Air
Wildcats running back Vaughn is 13th in the nation with 352 yards on the ground. However, of 131 FBS schools, Kansas State rates 127th in passing offense. The Wildcats are averaging 115.3 yards per game through the air. Quarterback Adrian Martinez, a Nebraska transfer, has thrown for one touchdown.
For the purple and the white pic.twitter.com/QJ5wXV89nz
— K-State Football (@KStateFB) September 17, 2022
There’s another trend to consider here. Two years ago, Kansas State lost to Arkansas State. The next week, the Wildcats went to Norman and beat Oklahoma 38-35. In 2019, TCU upset Kansas State. The following game, the Wildcats dropped the Sooners 48-41.
Sooners Playing Smothering Defense
The Oklahoma defense is allowing just 2.77 yards per play to opposing rushing attacks. The Sooners are also displaying a consistent pass rush. Four different players recorded a sack in last week’s win over the Cornhuskers. Oklahoma’s gameplan will be to contain Vaughn and force Martinez to have to beat them.
— Oklahoma Football (@OU_Football) September 21, 2022
Offensively, Oklahoma ran for 312 yards in the 49-14 Week 3 win over Nebraska. Overall, the Sooners hold a 77-24-1 straight up edge over the Wildcats.
Oklahoma vs Kansas State Prediction
Both of these teams protect the ball. Kansas State has committed two turnovers this season. Oklahoma has turned the ball over once. The two schools are showing a +5 turnover ratio, ranking them among the top 10 in the NCAA.
Ready to go pic.twitter.com/uP4aT9Ajak
— K-State Football (@KStateFB) September 23, 2022
As good as the Sooners have looked through three games, the fact of the matter is the best team they’ve played is a very mediocre Nebraska. Oklahoma is 8-1 SU in the last nine Big 12 openers but this will be the Sooners’ first true test of the season.
That being the case, the one-dimensional offense of the Wildcats will prove to be their downfall. Oklahoma’s defense can stymie K-State’s run game. And the Wildcats’ offense has no Plan B.
Pick: Oklahoma Sooners -12.5 (-110).
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