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Seven New Longshots Appear in 2019 Heisman Odds; Are Any Worth a Wager?

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in College Football

Updated Mar 25, 2020 · 8:52 AM PDT

Jake Bentley
Jake Bentley threw for over 3,000 yards and 27 touchdowns in 2018. (U.S. Army National Guard photo by 2nd. Lt. Jorge Intriago)
  • You can now wager on seven new longshot Heisman Trophy candidates
  • Eight of the last nine Heisman Trophy winners have been quarterbacks and no wide receiver has won the award since 1991
  • Do any of the new longshot candidates offer good value?

The college football season is 11 weeks away and the list of Heisman Trophy candidates continues to grow. Books have added seven new longshot contenders for you to wager on, and although none of them scream exceptional value, there may be a diamond or two in the rough.

2019 Heisman Trophy Odds

Player School Position Odds
Tua Tagovailoa Alabama QB +250
Trevor Lawrence Clemson QB +285
Jalen Hurts Oklahoma QB +500
Justin Fields Ohio State QB +600
Adrian Martinez Nebraska QB +800
Bo Nix Auburn QB +10000
Charlie Brewer Baylor QB +10000
Gage Gubrud Washington State QB +10000
Jake Bentley South Carolina QB +10000
David Summers Syracuse QB +12500
Joe Burrow LSU QB +15000
Jaylen Waddle Alabama WR +15000

*Odds taken 06/07/19

Of the seven new contenders with Heisman Trophy odds, six are quarterbacks which is important since eight of the last nine winners have played that position.

Assessing the Newcomers

We can discard three of the new candidates right off the bat due to a lack of guaranteed playing time. Bo Nix and Gage Gubrud are currently battling for their respective school’s number one QB role, while David Summers is expected to be the backup at Syracuse. If we continue to cut down our pool, we can eliminate Jaylen Waddle due to the position he plays (no wide receiver has won the Heisman since 1991) and the fact that he’s a far inferior talent than his stud wideout teammate Jerry Jeudy.

That leaves us with Charlie Brewer, Jake Bentley, and Joe Burrow, three experience starting quarterbacks, and of the three I like Bentley’s chances the best.

Bentley is a Legit Sleeper

Bentley completed 62% of his passes in 2018, for over 3,000 yards and 27 touchdowns. He’s steadily improved in each of his first three seasons and he operates in a more pass heavy offense than both Brewer and Burrow.

YouTube video

He threw for three or more touchdowns on five separate occasions last season, including a five TD performance against the national champs, in which he also eclipsed 500 passing yards.

He seriously considered turning pro after his junior season, and his +10000 odds seem too long for a player with 40 TD upside.

D’Eriq King Also Deserves Your Attention

Another longshot to pay attention to is Houston Cougars quarterback D’Eriq King. A knee injury cut his 2018 season short, but he still managed to rack up 50 total touchdowns in just 11 games.

He can put up points both through the air and on the ground, and he’ll be leading a Houston offense that averaged 44 points a game last season, and accumulated the seventh-most yards in all of College Football.

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