Tuesday MACtion College Football Odds, Predictions and Picks – Bowling Green vs Ohio & Ball State vs Miami (OH)
- The final week of Tuesday MACtion features an East division showdown between Ohio and Bowling Green
- Seven-point favorite Ohio brings a six-game winning streak into its home game on Tuesday, November 22.
- Read below for Bowling Green vs Ohio and Ball State vs Miami odds, analysis and prediction
The Mid-American Conference enters the final week of MACtion with a potential title game in the East Division, where Ohio (8-3, 6-1 East) can clinch the division title with a victory over Bowling Green (6-5, 5-2 East) on Tuesday. A Bowling Green victory opens the door for Buffalo to make it a three-way tie.
Ohio, which has won six in a row, is a 7-point home favorite over the Falcons. Miami (OH) is a 2.5-point home favorite over Ball State (5-6, 3-4 West). The winner becomes bowl-eligible.
Here are predictions and picks for the fourth Tuesday of MACtion games. Betting trends and money percentages can be found on our College Football Betting trends page.
Bowling Green vs Ohio Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons | +7 (-108) | +220 | Over 55.5 (-110) |
| Ohio Bobcats | -7 (-112) | -175 | Under 55.5 (-110) |
Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook on Nov. 21. Claim the FanDuel Sportsbook promo code for MACtion betting.
Ohio’s Betting Value Without Rourke
The overriding issue here is the status of Ohio quarterback Kurtis Rourke, who suffered a right knee injury in the second quarter of a 32-18 victory at Kent State the last time out. Rourke will be the consensus MAC player of the year, and if he cannot play the Bobcats are expected to go with CJ Harris, who took over for Rourke last week and threw eight passes, completing five, while rushing for 38 yards.
Ohio QB Kurtis Rourke waa down and had to be helped off the field after this hit. pic.twitter.com/EhEBNSj9Fy
— 𝗙𝗢𝗟𝗟𝗢𝗪 @𝗙𝗧𝗕𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗱𝟳 (@FTBeard7) November 16, 2022
Ohio has run the MAC table since a 31-24 loss to Kent State in the conference opener on Oct. 1, winning and covering six straight — five by at least 14 points — behind Rourke. He has thrown for 3,256 yards, 25 touchdowns and four interceptions this season, and his passer efficiency rating of 167.6 leads the league and is eighth in NCAA Division I.
Rourke’s loss would appear debilitating, but the Bobcats have received solid recent play from running back Sieh Bangura, a redshirt freshman. Bangura had 148 yards rushing and two touchdowns against Ball State and has rushed for at least 145 yards in the last two after missing a 45-24 home victory over Buffalo because of the recurrence of a foot injury that limited him early.
Bowling Green turned this into the East Division title game with a 42-35 victory at arch-rival Toledo the last time out, when quarterback Matt McDonald threw for a career-high 392 yards and four touchdowns, the last a 42-yarder with nine seconds remaining to overcome a 35-34 deficit. The Falcons have won four of five, beating Toledo a week after it was blown out by Kent State 40-6.
Ohio is 5-1 SU in the last six in the season series and 4-1 ATS in the last five. Bowling Green snapped a five-game series losing streak with a 21-10 as a 6.5-point home underdog last season. Ohio has learned to win and Harris has been with the program since 2019. The Bobcats are still the play.
- Pick: Ohio -7 (-112)
Ball State vs Miami Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | +2.5 (+100) | +115 | Over 44.5 (-105) |
| Miami RedHawks | -2.5 (-122) | -138 | Under 44.5 (-115) |
Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook on Nov. 21.
RedHawks Have Dominated Cardinals
Ball State had won four of five before running into division leaders Toledo and Ohio the last two weeks, losing both. The Cardinals covered in a seven-point loss to Toledo but could not overcome three turnovers in the loss to Ohio the last time out, and their inability to control the ball enabled the Bobcats to 13-minute advantage in time of possession.
Back-to-back “holy shit” runs from Ball State’s Carson Steele, the most #MACtion RB of all-time. A real life Tim Riggins. pic.twitter.com/NpRfXTDweT
— Bobby Football (@Rob__Paul) November 16, 2022
Cardinals’ sophomore running back Carson Steele leads the MAC and is ninth in Division I with 1,376 yards rushing, and quarterback John Paddock has thrown 12 touchdowns in MAC play with a league-high seven picks.
RPO threat Aveon Smith has injected some energy into a team that ranks last in the league in total offense in MAC games. He had 290 combined yards and three touchdowns in a 29-23 victory over Northern Illinois the last time out, and the RedHawks are 4-3 when he starts. Miami is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in the game for the Redbird Trophy. Neither has beaten a MAC team with a winning record, and the winner of this game will be bowl eligible.
- Pick: Miami -2.5 (-122)
- Season MACtion: 6-1 ATS
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Jack has covered college and professional sports for various Arizona media outlets since the 1980s and has written for the Associated Press, USA Today and Baseball America, among others. He staffed the 2015-17 World Series and has staffed four Super Bowls.
