- Wisconsin vs Purdue goes down Friday night in College Football Week 4
- The Badgers are favored by six points over the Boilermakers in West Lafayette
- Read below for Wisconsin vs Purdue odds, prediction and props for CFB Week 4
Friday night college football features a matchup between the Wisconsin Badgers and Purdue Boilermakers at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette. Kickoff is 7:00 pm EST, with FS1 providing the broadcast coverage.
The latest Week 4 College Football odds have the Badgers priced as touchdown road favorites, with the over/under listed at 54.5 points.
Let’s analyze the Wisconsin vs Purdue odds and offer our prediction for this Friday night college football game.
Wisconsin vs Purdue Odds
|Wisconsin||-6 (-110)||-258||Over 54.5 (-110)|
|Purdue||+6 (-110)||+210||Under 54.5 (-110)|
Wisconsin is a -258 moneyline favorite over Purdue in the Week 4 college football odds, giving them an implied win probability of 72%.
Wisconsin vs Purdue Head-to-Head History
Wisconsin has dominated this rivalry historically, going 10-0 straight up and 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 years. Despite the lopsided history, Purdue has covered the spread in three of the last four meetings when the line was higher than -3.5.
Wisconsin vs Purdue Recent Results
|Date||Location||Wisconsin Score||Purdue Score|
|10/23/2021||West Lafayette, IN||30||13|
|11/17/2018||West Lafayette, IN||47||44|
During the 2022 meeting, Wisconsin beat Purdue 35 to 24, with the score being 35 to 10 before two late Purdue scores. Wisconsin star running back Braelon Allen was a force on the ground in the game (113 yds, 7.1 YPC), which is something we’ll revisit in our prop bets further below.
Wisconsin Betting Analysis
Wisconsin enters Friday night college football boasting a 2-1 record following a 35-14 victory over Georgia Southern in Week 3. While the Badgers nabbed the victory, it wasn’t pretty, as the Eagles actually outgained Wisconsin 455-451 in total yardage.
Luke Fickell’s team relies heavily on its rushing attack, ranking 46th in the nation with 179.8 rushing yards per contest. Chez Mellusi and Braleon Allen are the leaders of the Baders’ ground game, each accumulating over 250 yards per game and four TDS through three games.
Chez Mellusi😳 This Wisconsin RB room is something else!
— PFF College (@PFF_College) September 2, 2023
While Wisconsin has one of the best RB tandems in the country, their passing attack is evidently not as strong. The Badgers rank 114th in passing offense, averaging just 183.8 yards per game through the air. New QB Tanner Mordecai has thrown for 702 yards and two TDs with two interceptions.
Defensively, the Badgers have been solid, allowing only 20.5 points per game, which ranks them 27th in the nation. In Wisoncin’s lone loss to the Washington State Cougars, the Badgers struggled to contain Cameron Ward and the WSU passing attack in a 31-22 defeat.
Purdue Betting Analysis
Purdue enters this Friday night showdown with Wisconsin boasting a 1-2 record, including an ugly 35-20 loss to Syracuse in their most recent contest in Week 3. The Boilermakers were gashed for nearly 300 yards on the ground by the Orange rushing attack.
Purdue is heavily dependent on their passing attack, led by former Texas quarterback Hudson Card. In the team’s three games this season, Card has thrown for 825 passing yards, 11 touchdowns with 2 interceptions. Purdue’s passing offense ranks 22nd in the nation with 278.8 passing yards per game.
Hudson Card off to a decent start…84 yard TD on his second throw at Purdue!
— Bob Ballou (@BobBallouSports) September 2, 2023
In contrast to Wisconsin, Purdue’s rushing attack isn’t as strong as their passing attack, as the Boilermakers rank 103rd nationally with 121.0 rushing yards per game. The ground game is led by Devin Mockobee, who has accumulated 186 rushing yards.
The Boilermakers’ defense has been decent, allowing 24.6 points per game, ranking them 54th in the nation. Dillon Thieneman has been a standout player, leading the team with 31 tackles, while Cam Allen leads the team with 2 interceptions
Wisconsin vs Purdue Prediction
The Badgers have a strong rushing game, which could exploit Purdue’s weaker run defense. On the other hand, Purdue’s passing game could pose a challenge for Wisconsin’s defense. Both teams have solid defenses, so the game could come down to which offense can make the most significant impact.
To win the matchup, the Badgers will need to rely on their rushing attack and strong defense to limit Purdue’s passing game. The Boilermakers, on the other hand, will need to capitalize on their passing game and improve their run defense to contain Wisconsin’s ground attack.
Wisconsin vs Purdue has all the makings of a low-scoring battle with the two defenses being the stars of the show. For our Wisconsin vs Purdie prediction, we’re projecting the two teams to combine for fewer than 53.5 points.
Our recommended player prop bet to target is Braelon Allen’s rushing yards. This line just got posted, and we like Allen to rush for over 79.5 yards against the Boilermakers. He’s averaged 126.5 rushing yards per game against Purdue in his career, and faces a defense that ranks sixth-worst nationally when it comes to tackling (per PFF).
- Under 54.5 Points (-110)
- Braleon Allen OVER 79.5 Rushing Yards (-105)