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2019 Baker Mayfield Props After Browns Acquire OBJ: Over/Under Passing Yards Set at 4,200.5

Jarvis Landry, Baker Mayfield, and Odell Beckham Jr
Baker Mayfield will now be throwing to Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham Jr in 2019. Photo via @bakermayfield
  • Baker Mayfield has been armed with major weapons for 2019, including the recent addition of Odell Beckham Jr
  • Browns QB set NFL rookie record with 27 touchdown passes last season
  • What will Mayfield’s numbers look like in 2019?

Baker Mayfield is in football heaven right now.

This is a statement that would not have made sense when he was called to the podium as the first-overall pick in the 2018 NFL Draft.

The brash pivot out of Oklahoma made noise in a season that brought the Browns – who were coming off an 0-16 campaign just a season ago – back to respectability, especially after ridding themselves of the Hue Jackson debacle.

Management has done their part to arm their QB, essentially dunking on the rest of the league this offseason.

Their home run came Tuesday night, when they landed one of the most electric talents in the NFL.

With Odell Beckham supercharging an offense already expected to help vault the Browns back into the playoffs, they now seem like the early favorite for the AFC North title.

With higher expectations, how will Mayfield respond? Honestly, get ready for some real fireworks, folks. Let’s bet accordingly.

2019 Baker Mayfield Passing Props

Prop Projection Over Odds at BetOnline Under Odds at BetOnline
Passing Yards 2019 Regular Season 4200.5 -115 -115
Passing Touchdowns 2019 Regular Season 29.5 -115 -115
Interceptions 2019 Regular Season 15.5 -115 -115

*Odds taken March 13, 2019

Baker Mayfield 2019 Passing Yards

It is amazing how Mayfield blossomed once the team removed itself from Jackson’s clutch.

In the second half of the season, armed with new offensive coordinator (and now head coach) Freddie Kitchens, the Oklahoma product starting spinning.

He threw 19 touchdowns, eight interceptions, and posted a 106.2 passer rating, while guiding the Browns to a 5-3 record. All told, he finished with 3,725 passing yards – good for sixth all-time among NFL rookies.

A little closer, however, and you recognize how special that figure becomes, as Mayfield accomplished the feat in 13 starts, while everyone ahead of him played all 16 games.

If you measure just his starts, Mayfield ranks first all-time in average passing yards per game by a rookie at 286.5.

Over a full season, he’d need to average 265 yards a game to top that mark.

The addition of Beckham will not only help Mayfield’s production, but will also unlock Jarvis Landry’s underneath game, which he was forced to abandon as he had to assume some de facto No. 1 receiver duties and try to stretch the field.

But back to Beckham: in those final eight games of last year, Mayfield led the NFL in deep throw completions with 34. This combination of a QB willing to sling it and a receiver capable of tracking it is going to be fun to watch.

The Pick: Over 4,200.5 yards (-115)

Baker Mayfield 2018 Statistics

Games Starts Record Completion Percentage Yards Touchdowns Interceptions
14 13 6-7 63.5% 3,725 27 14

Baker Mayfield 2019 Touchdown Passes

Again, here we have a guy who set the NFL record for rookie TD passes in a season, passing a couple of household names in Peyton Manning and Russell Wilson in the process, and somehow it felt … low?

His consistency stands out. He’s thrown at least one TD pass in each of his 13 starts (the only game he didn’t was his professional debut, when he came in to relieve Tyrod Taylor in a win over the Jets).

Two more games and he matches Brad Johnson, 11 more games he passes Kurt Warner.

You know what would really help him? A touchdown machine.

And wouldn’t you know, Beckham is that dude. Before he tore up his ankle in 2017, he no less than 10 TD receptions in each of this first three years, with a high of 13. He’s tallied 44 TDs in 59 career games.

Even in last year’s comeback, with the corpse of Eli Manning hampering the offense, he still had six TD catches.

Could a Nick Chubb monster year eat up some of those majors?

I think there’s plenty to go around.

The Pick: Over 29.5 touchdown passes (-115)

Baker Mayfield 2019 Interceptions

Like TD receptions for wide receivers, I tend to shy away from QB interception props, because there are too many variables, like tipped balls, or DBs dropping sure interceptions.

With that being said, Mayfield is built to push it to the limit, and with that, there could be giveaways.

Perhaps none was more devastating than the crushing season-ender in Baltimore, which vaulted the Ravens into the postseason.

He finished the year with 14 picks, and this can go one of two ways next year: (1) Mayfield could struggle, and throw a lot of picks, like young quarterbacks tend to do. Or, (2) he can exploit his underrated accuracy, and really pick apart teams week in and week out.

I can’t really hide it. I don’t want to pump these guys up too much, but this Browns team with Mayfield is going to be something to behold.

The Pick: Under 15.5 interceptions (-115)

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Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.