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Opening Spread in 49ers vs Seahawks Week 17 Matchup Favors San Francisco by 2.5

San Francisco 49ers
The San Francisco 49ers can clinch a division title and the NFC's top seed with a win over the Seattle Seahawks in Week 17. Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire.
  • The San Francisco 49ers opened as 2.5-point road favorites vs the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday Night Football in Week 17
  • The winner of this game will claim the NFC West, and if the 49ers win they’ll clinch the NFC’s top seed
  • Read below for our prediction on how the point spread might move ahead of kickoff

The Seattle Seahawks lost more than a football game in Week 16. Pete Carroll’s group was crippled by injuries against the Cardinals, and now has to face the rival San Francisco 49ers in the season finale with a depleted roster.

The NFC West showdown is by far the biggest game on the Week 17 slate and has been flexed to Sunday Night Football. The winner of the game will claim the division title, and if the Niners win they’ll also earn the conference’s top seed.

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
San Francisco 49ers -3.0 (-110) OFF Over 47.5 (-110)
Seattle Seahawks +3.0 (-110) OFF Under 47.5 (-110)

Odds taken Dec. 22.

The 49ers opened as 2.5-point favorites, but that number was quickly bet up to -3. San Fran failed to cover as 7-point favorites in Week 16, narrowly edging out the Rams by 3. They’ve struggled to cover spreads as a favorite this year, posting a 3-7 ATS mark. That includes an outright loss at home to Seattle as 6.5-point favorites in early November.

Winning Ugly

The 49ers were fortunate to escape Week 16 with a 34-31 home win over Los Angeles. San Fran surrendered 325 passing yards to Jared Goff, and their once feared pass rush recorded zero sacks. After not allowing more than 27 points in any of their first 12 games of the season, the Niners have now surrendered 108 total points in the last three weeks.

Jimmy Garoppolo shook off an ugly three quarters to engineer a game-winning drive, but he was pedestrian for most of the evening. He was held below a 60% completion rate for just the third time all season, and he recorded his third worst passer rating of 2019. The shaky performance follows a disappointing outing in Week 15, when the threw for just 200 yards on 34 attempts in a loss to the Falcons.

Fortunately, the Niners generated a defensive score, and Raheem Mostert found the endzone for a fifth straight game.

Walking Wounded

The Seahawks faced the Cardinals in Week 16 without four key starters: Left tackle Duane Brown, defensive end Jadeveon Clowney, and defensive backs Quandre Diggs and Shaquill Griffin. Chris Carson left the game with a hip injury in the second quarter and his backup C.J. Prosise broke his arm moments later. Carson and Prosise are both likely done for the year, while Brown won’t play in Week 17 versus San Fran. The status’ of Clowney, Diggs and Griffin for the finale are unknown, but the Seahawks could desperately use the defensive help.

Seattle surrendered 253 rushing yards to Arizona and couldn’t stop a Brett Hundley led offense when the game was on the line. Hundley replaced Kyler Murray in the second half, and orchestrated a key fourth quarter drive to seal the victory.

On offense the Seahawks were extremely disappointing. They fumbled once, gave up five sacks, and Russell Wilson only managed 169 passing yards against the NFL’s 32nd ranked pass defense. The output was Wilson’s lowest of the season, and with all the injuries to the running game, the entire offense will rest on his shoulders versus the 49ers.

Which Way will the Line Move

This line has already moved in San Francisco’s favor and it could climb higher as the week progresses. The Seahawks are severely banged up and have been hemorrhaging points to opposing offenses. Seattle has allowed 109 points in its last four games, and while the Niners have struggled defensively as well, bettors are likely to have more confidence in San Francisco than the injury riddled Seahawks.

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