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Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Best Odds & Line Movement (Jan. 19)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NFL Football

Published:


Baltimore Ravens running back Justice Hill runs with the ball as Buffalo Bills safety Damar Hamlin runs towards him
Sep 29, 2024; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens running back Justice Hill (43) carries the ball as Buffalo Bills safety Damar Hamlin (3) chases at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
  • The Baltimore Ravens visit the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Divisional Round on Sunday, Jan. 19
  • The Bills opened as slight home favorites but now the Ravens are roach chalk
  • See the Ravens vs Bills prediction, best available odds, and line movement

The marquee matchup of the 2025 NFL Divisional Round sees the Baltimore Ravens (13-5, 6-3 away, 11-6-1 ATS) visiting the Buffalo Bills (14-4, 9-0 home, 11-7 ATS) in Orchard Park on Sunday, Jan. 19, at 6:30 pm ET. The Ravens dominated the regular-season matchup between the teams in Baltimore (35-10) and they have gone from slight underdogs in the opening Divisional Round odds to slight favorites in the latest NFL odds.

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills Predictions

  • Bills moneyline (+100) at FanDuel
  • Josh Allen anytime TD scorer (+110) at BetMGM
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     Odds as of January 16. If you’re new to football wagering, check out SBD’s NFL betting strategies ahead of the Divisional Round.

There’s no denying that Buffalo was the second-best team on the field when these teams met back in Week 4 (Sep. 29), and it wasn’t close. Baltimore outgained Buffalo 427 yards to 236 and ran away with a 35-10 victory despite committing twice as many penalties (eight for 79 yards compared to four for 38 yards) and finishing even in turnover margin.

But there’s also no denying that Baltimore is better at home (6-2 with a +10.9 point differential per game) than on the road (6-3 with a +6.5 point differential) and Buffalo is considerably better at home (9-0 with a +17.5 differential) than on the road (5-4 with a +2.7 differential).

The Bills have also gotten healthier on defense and are coming off one of their most stifling performances of the season in the Wild Card round. Buffalo held Bo Nix and the Broncos to just 224 total yards (145 passing, 79 rushing) at 5.3 yards per play.

Another reason I’m leaning towards the Bills is the weather. The forecast is calling for temperatures in the teens with a brutal wind chill and likely snow. The Ravens aren’t exactly a warm-weather team; they see plenty of ugly conditions in Maryland in December and January. But Orchard Park in the middle of winter is a different beast. And I fully expect the hometown Bills to handle the conditions better.

With passing likely at a premium, I’m targeting a Josh Allen anytime touchdown at plus-money (+110). The Buffalo pivot had just three rushing TDs in his first nine games of the regular season. But he finished with nine majors in his last eight games. There won’t be any messing around near the goalline in the Buffalo snow.

Best Ravens vs Bills Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Over/Under
Baltimore Ravens -1.0 (-110) at BetMGM -115 at bet365 O 51.5 (-105) at DraftKings
Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-118) at DraftKings +100 at FanDuel U 51.5 (-110) at Caesars

The Ravens vs Bills point spread has moved from Buffalo -1.5 at opening to as much as Baltimore -1.5 as of Thursday night. The best option for Bills ATS bettors is currently DraftKings, where Buffalo +1.5 is priced at -118. The best option for Ravens ATS bettors is BetMGM or bet365, where Baltimore -1.0 is listed at -110.

The best Buffalo moneyline is even-money at FanDuel, while BetMGM and bet365 also have the best moneyline price on Baltimore at -115.

The game total is 51.5 across the board with only minor variations in price. DraftKings has the best over odds at -105 while Caesars is one of a few sites with the best under odds at -110.

The NFL public betting splits for Ravens vs Bills show the public almost evenly split on the moneyline, spread, and game total. Baltimore is currently getting 54% of moneyline handle and 58% of ATS handle, while the over has attracted 51% of O/U handle as of 7 pm ET on Thursday night.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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