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Bears vs Rams Props – MNF Best Team and Player Prop Bets for Week 7

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Oct 26, 2020 · 6:00 AM PDT

Allen Robinson Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears wide receiver Allen Robinson (12) makes a catch for a touchdown in front of New Orleans Saints cornerback Marshon Lattimore (23) in the first half of an NFL football game in Chicago, Sunday, Nov. 1, 2020. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
  • The Chicago Bears clash with the Los Angeles Rams on Monday Night Football (Oct. 26th, 8:15 pm EST)
  • Our MNF prop bets were 2-2 in Week 6 (2020 season: +1.77 units)
  • Read below for analysis and our favorite Monday Night Football prop bets

The 5-1 Chicago Bears visit the 4-2 Los Angeles Rams to conclude Week 7 in the NFL. Chicago enters play fresh off back-to-back wins, while LA was roughed up by the defending NFC champs in Week 6.

These two teams feature two of the better defenses in the league, and even though online sportsbooks don’t expect a ton of scoring, as evident by the low 44.5-point total, there’s plenty of value to be found betting unders in the player prop market.

Bears vs Rams Player Props

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TD
Nick Foles (CHI) 22.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 249.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov +122 | Un -139)
Jared Goff (LAR) 22.5 (Ov +101 | Un -125) 250.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 1.5 (Ov -155 | Un +120)
Running Backs Rush Attempts Rush Yards Rush + Receiving Yards
David Montgomery (CHI) 15.5 (Ov +100 | Un -140) 58.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 82.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Darrell Henderson (LAR) N/A 53.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Wide Receivers + Tight Ends Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Allen Robinson (CHI) 5.5 (Ov -143 | Un +115) 71.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 24.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Darnell Mooney (CHI) 2.5 (Ov -143 | Un +115) 31.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Anthony Miller (CHI) 2.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 28.5 (Ov +116 | Un -148) N/A
Cooper Kupp (LAR) 4.5 (Ov -155 | Un +124) 59.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 22.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Robert Woods (LAR) 4.5 (Ov -159 | Un +128) 59.5 (Ov -112| Un -112) 22.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Jimmy Graham (CHI) 2.5 (Ov -155 | Un +124) 28.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 14.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)

All Odds taken Oct. 25th at DraftKings

Prop #1: Jared Goff Under 1.5 Touchdowns

In six games this season, the Bears defense hasn’t allowed a quarterback to throw for more than one touchdown. The list of QBs they’ve held in check includes future hall-of-famers Tom Brady, Phillip Rivers and former MVP Matt Ryan. No offense to Jared Goff, but he’s not exactly in the same class as those three.

Goff has thrown multiple TD passes in four of six games so far, but he’s yet to face a defense that grades out as high as Chicago’s. Just one of LA’s six opponents has featured a top-10 defense by DVOA, while four of their opponents have ranked 17th or worse.

The Bears feature Pro Football Focus’ fourth highest graded pass rush, and the sixth best coverage unit. They have an excellent history versus Goff as well, holding him without a touchdown pass in their only two meetings, while picking him off five times.

Pick: Jared Goff under 1.5 TD passes (+120), 1 unit

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Prop #2: Allen Robinson Under 71.5 Receiving Yards

Imagine what Allen Robinson’s career would look like if he had a superstar throwing him the ball. Despite having Blake Bortles, Mitchell Trubisky and now Nick Foles as his QB, Robinson has still been wildly productive.

On Monday night however, Robinson will have to deal with shutdown corner Jalen Ramsey. The 26-year-old is once again among PFF’s top-10 rated defensive backs, and has been virtually flawless since Week 1. Over his last five games, he’s allowed just six of the 14 passes thrown in his direction to be completed, for a grand total of 32 yards.

Of course, the Bears will likely try to scheme Robinson away from Ramsey’s coverage as much as they can, but the rest of LA’s secondary is no joke. They rank eighth in PFF’s coverage metric, and their vaunted pass rush led by Aaron Donald will likely force Nick Foles into plenty of sub-optimal decisions.

Pick: Allen Robinson under 71.5 receiving yards (+120), 1 unit

Bears vs Rams Scoring Props

Player Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD
David Montgomery (CHI) +600 -112
Darrell Henderson (LAR) +750 +110
Allen Robinson (CHI) +950 +145
Malcolm Brown (LAR) +1000 +160
Robert Woods (LAR) +1050 +165
Cooper Kupp (LAR) +1050 +165
Cam Akers (LAR) +1100 +190
Jimmy Graham (CHI) +1200 +210
Jared Goff (LAR) +1800 +325
Tyler Higbee (LAR) +2000 +375
Gerald Everett (LAR) +2000 +375
Darnell Mooney (CHI) +2200 +400
Josh Reynolds (LAR) +2500 +475
Anthony Miller (CHI) +3000 +550

Prop #3: Graham Strikes First

If there’s one position the Rams are susceptible to giving up production to it’s tight end. Last week, George Kittle torched them for 109 yards and a score, while Tyler Kroft hit paydirt against LA twice in Week 2.

Jimmy Graham’s best days may be behind him, but he still has a nose for the end zone. Graham leads the team with four TD catches and has established himself as one of Foles’ most reliable pass catchers. Since Foles took over in Week 3, Graham is averaging seven targets per game and has by far the best matchup of any Bears receiver on Monday night.

Pick: Jimmy Graham first TD scorer (+1200), 0.25 units

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