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54% of Bettors Are Taking the Eagles as 9.5-Point Favorites vs Giants on Week 14 MNF

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NFL Football

Updated Dec 9, 2019 · 9:12 AM PST

Eli Manning waving to fans
Eli Manning will get a start for the Giants in place of Daniel Jones. Photo from @NYG_Nation10 (Twitter).
  • New York Giants try to play spoiler against division-rival Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Night Football
  • G-Men have lost eight in a row; Eagles have dropped three straight
  • Get the odds, our pick, and all the info you need to bet the game below

In a division that is win it all or miss the playoffs, the New York Giants (2-10, 1-5 away) would like nothing more than to throw a wrench in the Philadelphia Eagles’ (5-7, 3-3 home) plans to chase down the Cowboys atop the NFC East, when they visit Lincoln Financial Field for Monday Night Football. Kickoff is set for 8:15pm ET.

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles Odds

Team Moneyline Spread  Total at BookMaker
New York Giants +347 +9.5 (-110) Over 45.0 (-107)
Philadelphia Eagles -445 -9.5 (-110) Under 45.0 (-113)

Odds taken December 8

It’s a division clash where anything can happen, and the Giants vs Eagles odds reflect that. Bookmaker is reporting that 54% of the public is putting their wagers on the home team. Ditto goes for the betting money – an identical 54% figure is on Philly. Meanwhile, the sharp money skews to the East division cellar dwellers, at a slight 52%.

Let’s find out how you should be betting this one.

Eagles Have Struggled but Still Alive

Anywhere else in the NFL, a 5-7 record is the end of a team’s competitive season, left to jockey for individual accolades and contracts for next season. But not in the NFC East, where an Eagles win would pull them into a virtual tie with the 6-7 Dallas Cowboys atop the division (Dallas holds the tiebreaker with a head-to-head win earlier this year).

The Eagles are coming off an ugly game in Miami, watching the Dolphins storm back from a 14-point deficit en route to hanging a 37-31 loss on them. The defense, which has easily been the best unit on the team — and the one keeping this thing from unraveling wildly — had a bad game. In their prior four games, the Eagles had limited the opposition to 61 points total, not allowing more than 17 in a contest. Expect them to return to form against a struggling Giants team.

While the Miami loss was their third in a row, the one silver lining was that their offense finally put up points. The 31 points scored was their highest in three weeks, after a pair of losses to the Seahawks and Patriots where they could only muster 19 total.

Carson Wentz put up 300+ yards passing, just the third time this year he’s broken that mark, and his three TD passes broke a string of five straight games where he had just one touchdown pass. It was also encouraging to see Alshon Jeffrey rack up 137 yards receiving. It’s the best total by an Eagles’ pass catcher since DeSean Jackson in Week 1.

Giants Turn to Eli

A ankle injury to rookie Daniel Jones has set up perhaps the last chance we’ll see QB Eli Manning play in a Giants uniform, and, if he doesn’t catch up with another team next season, the last time we see the younger Manning in the NFL.

Eli was benched two games into the season after the team started 0-2. He was 56-for-91 for 556 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Since Jones won his first two starts to bring the Giants to 2-2, the team has subsequently dropped their last eight games.

The Eagles have had the better of Eli over the years, as he’s just 10-20 all-time against Philly, recording his last win against them in November 2016. More recently, the Giants have lost five in a row to the Eagles, and seven straight on the road.

Perhaps this matchup brings the best out of Saquon Barkley, who’s yet to crack 100 yards rushing in a game since returning from injury in Week 7. He lit the Eagles on fire last season, rushing for 130 yards and a touchdown on 13 totes in the first meeting. He followed that up with 101 yards rushing and a touchdown, again on 13 carries.

Those games were punctuated by monster 50+ yard TD runs. It should be a good test: while the Eagles struggle against the pass (18th), they are stout against the run, ranking fourth in the NFL.

Putting up points will likely be a necessity for Eli and company if they want to upset the Eagles outright, as New York’s defense ranks an abysmal 26th in the NFL, including 25th against the pass.

What’s the Best Bet?

Is the Eagles’ offense for real, or did they black out into a successful outing against the Dolphins? That question will be on hold for another week, as the Giants present another lowly defense. Still, the Eagles are a shaky 4-8 ATS this year, including a bleak 2-4 ATS at home.

While the Giants were blasted 31-13 against the Packers last week, in their previous five games, New York kept the margin of loss seven points and under four of those times.

I think the Eagles are desperate enough and will prevail straight up, but Eli and company won’t make it easy.

The pick: Giants +9.5 (-110)

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