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Bills vs Saints Props – Best Team and Player Prop Bets for Week 12 Thanksgiving TNF

John Hyslop

by John Hyslop in NFL Football

Nov 24, 2021 · 4:00 PM PST

Bills vs Saints
Buffalo Bills running back Zack Moss (20) warms up before an NFL football game, Sunday, Oct. 31, 2021 in Orchard Park, NY. (AP Photo/Matt Durisko)
  • The Buffalo Bills will visit the New Orleans Saints to wrap up Thanksgiving night at 8:20 pm ET on Thursday, November 25, 2021
  • Both teams are in need of a win and both are more than capable of getting one Thursday night
  • See the available statistical player props as well as touchdown scorer props by scrolling below

Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills (6-4) ride into the Caesar’s Superdome to take on the suddenly struggling New Orleans Saints (5-5) Thanksgiving night. The kickoff is set for 8:20 pm ET and the game can be seen on NBC.

The Bills will be looking to get back on track after getting pumped 41-15 by the Indianapolis Colts in Week 11. Jonathan Taylor scored five touchdowns in the massacre that will never be forgotten by Bills’ fans. The Saints were also on the wrong end of a beating last Sunday losing 40-29 to the Philadelphia Eagles.

The Bills are listed as 6-point favorites and the line could go even higher by the time kickoff rolls around. The total is hovering at 45.5 which is a reasonable number for these two squads although late action could come in and push the number up. Just like every other NFL game, there are plenty of player props to consider.

Bills vs Saints Player Props

Passer Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Josh Allen (Bills) 23.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100) 274.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -180 / Un +135)
Trevor Siemian (Saints) 21.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) 204.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +125 / Un -165)
Rusher Longest Rush Rushing Yards Rush + Rec Yards
Devin Singletary (Bills) 9.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) 24.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 37.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Josh Allen (Bills) 13.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 32.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) OFF
Zack Moss (Bills) 8.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 33.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Receiver Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Cole Beasley (Bills) 4.5 (Ov +105 / Un -140) 42.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 17.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Dawson Knox (Bills) 3.5 (Ov +105 / Un -140) 34.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 16.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Deonte Harris (Saints) 2.5 (Ov -165 / Un +125) 32.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 17.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)
Devin Singletary (Bills) 1.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) 9.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) OFF
Emmanuel Sanders (Bills) 3.5 (Ov +110 / Un -145) 43.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Marquez Callaway (Saints) 3.5 (Ov +130 / Un -175) 37.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Stefon Diggs (Bills) 6.5 (Ov +115 / Un -150) 80.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 25.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Tre’Quan Smith (Saints) 3.5 (Ov +130 / Un -170) 39.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 19.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)
Zack Moss (Bills) 1.5 (Ov -105 / Un -130) 8.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) OFF

Odds taken Nov. 24 from DraftKings

I’m Sorry Zack Moss

Coming out of Utah, Zack Moss was a guy on my radar. He’s not huge, but he’s big enough and strong enough to move a pile in the NFL. At the beginning of the season, he was a guy that many in the fantasy community had their eyes on to see if he could break out.

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Needless to say, that breakout has yet to happen and many are wondering if he’ll even play Thursday night.

I think Moss will be in uniform Thanksgiving night but I don’t know how much he’ll actually be on the field. Last week he only played 16 snaps which was his least amount of work all season. He was only able to turn those snaps into three carries which went for five yards. Hardly anything to get excited about.

One reason Moss is struggling to get on the field is Matt Breida. Breida has come on in the past couple of weeks both on the ground and in the passing game. Against the Jets, he turned six touches into two touchdowns. Last week he averaged 10.2 yards a carry against the Indianapolis Colts. The Bills need to go with what works at this point in the season and that could be Breida.

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Even with Breida playing well, the Bills face an uphill battle on the ground Thursday. Only one team in the NFL has given up fewer rushing yards this season than the New Orleans Saints. It’s highly unlikely that the Bills will try to get things going on the ground since they don’t operate like that to begin with. I don’t think Moss will be anywhere near his rushing + receiving prop Thursday night.

  • The Pick: Zack Moss Under 33.5  Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115) – Wager 1.15 units to win 1 unit
  • SBD 2021 NFL Player Props Record: 19-20, +0.47 Units

Bills vs Saints Scoring Props

Player First Touchdown Scorer Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Alvin Kamara (Saints) +700 +100
Mark Ingram (Saints) +750 +110
Stefon Diggs (Bills)
+800 +120
Josh Allen (Bills) +1200 +190
Emmanuel Sanders (Bills) +1200 +210
Dawson Knox (Bills) +1200 +190
Marquez Callaway (Saints) +1400 +240
Zack Moss (Bills) +1400 +260
Devin Singletary (Bills) +1400 +260
Cole Beasley (Bills) +1400 +260
Matt Breida (Bills) +2200 +350
Trevor Siemian (Saints) +3500 +550

Matt Breida Is on the Rise

We have to have a touchdown scorer prop for the last game of the day on Thanksgiving. I couldn’t imagine thinking it’s a good idea to skip it. That would be ridiculous. Especially when there is a guy who is being priced like he’s never played football before.

The same guy just scored two touchdowns in the same game a couple of weeks ago.

I understand that the New Orleans Saints have only given up four rushing touchdowns to the running back position this season. But they’ve also given up a couple through the air so there is that. The Bills have to be pretty big on Matt Breida after the last couple of weeks. He’s a threat to score on the ground or through the air which gives us a slight edge.

There is no way he should be as high as +350 to score a touchdown in this game.

  • Pick: Matt Breida Anytime TD Scorer (+350) – Wager 1 unit to win 3.5 units
  • SBD 2021 Touchdown Scorer prop record: 16-24, -1.54 units
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