Carolina Panthers vs Baltimore Ravens Odds, Predictions and Best Bets for Week 11
By Chris Amberley in NFL Football
Published:
- Baltimore is laying 13-points to Carolina in the Panthers vs Ravens odds for Sunday’s Week 11 matchup
- Ravens star tight end Mark Andrews is expected to play after missing Baltimore’s last game
- See below for the latest Panthers vs Ravens odds, along with injury news and a betting prediction
Fresh off three straight wins and a bye to heal some of their injured players, the Ravens (6-3, 2-2 home) welcome the Panthers (3-7, 0-4 away) to Baltimore on Sunday.
Baltimore currently sits atop the AFC North standings, while Carolina shares the NFC South basement with New Orleans.
The Panthers will trot out Baker Mayfield at quarterback in place of the injured P.J. Walker for this contest, and online sportsbooks believe the move is a downgrade per the Week 11 NFL odds.
This will be the last Ravens game residents of Maryland won’t be able to legally bet on for the foreseeable future. That’s because Maryland is set to launch legalized sports betting on Wednesday, November 23rd.
Panthers vs Ravens Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Panthers | +13 (-110) | +510 | O 41.5 (-110) |
| Baltimore Ravens | -13 (-110) | -700 | U 41.5 (-110) |
Odds as of November 19 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Sign up at DraftKings Sportsbook Maryland this week for a great pre-registration sign-up bonus.
The lookahead line for this game prior to the Walker injury news was Baltimore -12.5, but as of Friday afternoon, the Ravens are favored by 13. Carolina is drawing 56% of the spread money at the new number, but that’s coming off 67% of the ATS tickets.
The 44% of the handle Baltimore is garnering is a result of just 33% of the spread wagers, which means big-money bettors are on the Ravens.
Kickoff for this Week 11 contest is set for 1 pm ET at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD, with FOX providing the broadcast coverage. The forecast is currently calling for sunny skies and 37-degree game-time temperatures.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Analysis
Cold weather games typically place a higher emphasis on the run game, which should suit the Ravens just fine. Baltimore enters play with the top-ranked rushing attack per DVOA, averaging 168 yards on the ground per game.
Starting QB Lamar Jackson is a big reason for Baltimore’s success on the ground, but the top-five NFL MVP odds candidate missed practice on Friday due to an illness. Jackson was a full participant in both Wednesday and Thursday’s sessions, and head coach John Harbaugh said he’s still going to be under center on Sunday.
With J.K. Dobbins on IR, the rest of the Ravens rushing attack will feature Gus Edwards and Kenyan Drake. Edwards sat out Week 9, opening the door for Drake to run for 93 yards and two scores.
Ravens QB Lamar Jackson was absent during the media viewing portion of Friday’s practice. He was a full participant in practice past two days.
TE Mark Andrews (shoulder/knee) was present, running and catching passes during the early portion.
— Jamison Hensley (@jamisonhensley) November 18, 2022
When Jackson does go to the air, he’ll once again have his number one receiving option Mark Andrews at his disposal. Andrews missed the last game with shoulder and knee issues but is expected to play on Sunday.
No matter if it’s on the ground or through the air, Baltimore should feast on Carolina’s defense. The Panthers rank bottom-nine in scoring defense and yards allowed, and grade out 25th per DVOA. They’ve allowed 37+ points in two of their past three games, and three times so far in 2022.
The Ravens rank third in overall offense per DVOA, and top-four in points per drive.
Carolina Panthers Betting Analysis
Two of Carolina’s three wins came with Walker under center. With Mayfield at the helm, the team was 1-5 this season, averaging only 19 points per game.
Mayfield ranks 30th in passer rating among qualified QB’s, and has nearly as many turnovers (5) as touchdown passes (6).
Life won’t get any easier for him on Sunday, as Baltimore boasts the league’s 12th-best defense per DVOA. The Ravens are especially tough against the pass, ranking sixth in passing yards allowed per game.
If there’s an area of Baltimore’s defense to attack it’s against the run, as they rank 19th in that category per DVOA.
D’Onta Foreman vs NFC South:
Week 7 vs Bucs:
🔹 15-118-0Week 8 vs Falcons:
🔹 26-118-3Week 10 vs Falcons:
🔹 30-130-1(📸: @Panthers) pic.twitter.com/0Q5NOiz4ji
— PFF (@PFF) November 11, 2022
That’s good news for D’Onta Foreman who’s excelled since the team traded Christian McCaffrey. Foreman has rushed for 389 yards and four scores since CMC’s departure, while the team is averaging 159.5 rushing yards per contest during that stretch.
Panthers vs Ravens Prediction
Laying 13 points with any NFL team is an uncomfortable feeling these days. Asking the Ravens to score 28 points against one of the worst defenses in the league feels much better.
Baltimore’s offense has a major advantage against this Panthers defense, especially on the ground. Don’t forget Carolina is just two weeks removed from surrendering four rushing touchdowns to Joe Mixon. Through 10 weeks, only five teams have surrendered more production on the ground than the Panthers.
NFL Bottom-8 Ranked Defenses Per DVOA
| Rank | Team | Pass DVOA | Run DVOA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Carolina Panthers | 27 | 22 |
| 26 | Detroit Lions | 24 | 27 |
| 27 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 31 | 13 |
| 28 | Houston Texans | 25 | 31 |
| 29 | Chicago Bears | 30 | 26 |
| 30 | Atlanta Falcons | 29 | 25 |
| 31 | Cleveland Browns | 26 | 32 |
| 32 | Las Vegas Raiders | 32 | 24 |
Carolina is 0-4 on the road so far, surrendering 31 points per game. Baltimore’s offense is poised to erupt in this matchup. With Maryland sports betting about to launch, there’s no better time to back the Ravens.
Pick: Baltimore Ravens Over 27.5 points (+100), 1 unit
2022 NFL Season Picks Record: 6-6, -0.7 units
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
