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  • Get the latest 2020 NFL MVP odds
  • Track the movement over the course of the season for all contenders
  • Compare players to others at their position or isolate each player individually

Since 1957, the Associated Press has been presenting a Most Valuable Player award to the NFL’s most deserving candidate – also read as the best quarterback in the league. Here are the odds available at our most trusted betting sites; the graphs below show each player’s average odds to win MVP.

Odds For Top NFL MVP Contenders

  • [June 29] Cam Newton’s average NFL MVP odds have moved from +8275 to +2750, the 11th-best in the league, after signing with the New England Patriots
  • [June 11] As his contract negotiations continue, Dak Prescott’s MVP odds have steadily improved; after opening at +2000, he’s now listed at an average of +1200, the fourth-best in the NFL
  • [April 28] Tom Brady’s MVP odds went from +2650 to +1350 (fourth-best in the league) with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers building around him; Deshaun Watson and Aaron Rodgers’ odds are tanking after their respective teams’ weak offseasons
  • [March 17] After the Cardinals acquired DeAndre Hopkins, Kyler Murray’s MVP odds improved from +2000 to +1250; Jameis Winston’s likely departure from Tampa Bay has also resulted in his odds shortening from +6600 to +2500
  • [February 10] Lamar Jackson’s odds improved slightly, closing the gap between he and Mahomes at the top
  • [February 5] Patrick Mahomes has opened as the favorite to win the 2020 NFL MVP

NFL MVP Odds

Player Pos Team Odds to win 2020 NFL MVP
Patrick Mahomes QB KC +380
Lamar Jackson QB BAL +700
Russell Wilson QB SEA +700
Dak Prescott QB DAL +1200
Carson Wentz QB PHI +1700
Deshaun Watson QB HOU +1700
Drew Brees QB NO +1700
Tom Brady QB TB +1800
Aaron Rodgers QB GB +2300
Kyler Murray QB ARI +2300
Baker Mayfield QB CLE +2900
Cam Newton QB NE +3200
Philip Rivers QB IND +3400
Jimmy Garoppolo QB SF +3500
Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT +4400

*Odds taken June 29

Opening 2020 Odds vs 2019 Odds

NFL MVP Betting Trends

  • A quarterback has won each of the last seven NFL MVP awards
  • Since 2001, only three non-QBs have won the award – all were running backs
  • Since 2001, only one player has won NFL MVP without their respective team winning at least 11 games – Adrian Peterson’s Vikings won 10 games in 2012

Top Contenders by Position

Of the 62 NFL MVP awards handed out, 41.5 have gone to quarterbacks – Brett Favre and Barry Sanders shared the honors in 1997. Looking to the remaining 20.5, 17.5 of them were running backs, two were defensive players, and one was a placekicker.

  • Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) were the two defensive players to win the award
  • Mark Moseley (1982) was the lone kicker to win an MVP, after he nailed an NFL-high 20 field goal attempts – he attempted 21 – for Washington
  • Jim Brown won the first two MVP awards in 1957 and 1958
  • The most recent RB to be named MVP was Adrian Peterson in 2012
  • The NFL MVP has gone to a QB in his second season in the league each of the last two years

Odds For Previous Winners

The five players in this graph have accounted for each of the last five MVP awards. Tom Brady leads all active players with three MVPs, but still has some work to do in order to catch Peyton Manning, who holds the all-time record with five.

Last 10 NFL MVP Winners

Year NFL MVP Pos Team Record
2019 Lamar Jackson QB Ravens 14-2
2018 Patrick Mahomes QB Chiefs 12-4
2017 Tom Brady (3) QB Patriots 13-3
2016 Matt Ryan QB Falcons 11-5
2015 Cam Newton QB Panthers 15-1
2014 Aaron Rodgers (2) QB Packers 12-4
2013 Peyton Manning (5) QB Broncos 13-3
2012 Adrian Peterson RB Vikings 10-6
2011 Aaron Rodgers QB Packers 15-1
2010 Tom Brady (2) QB Patriots 14-2

Teams with Most NFL MVP Winners

NFL Team Number of MVP Winners Most Recent MVP Winner
Indianapolis Colts 8.5 Peyton Manning (2009)
Green Bay Packers 7.5 Aaron Rodgers (2014)
San Francisco 49ers 5 Steve Young (1994)
Cleveland Browns 4 Brian Sipe (1980)
Los Angeles Rams 4 Kurt Warner (2001)

The Colts had five MVP winners during their time in Baltimore – Johnny Unitas accounted for three – but Peyton Manning provided four more when they moved to Indianapolis.

You may be a little surprised to see Cleveland on here, but keep in mind the NFL MVP has been awarded since 1957. Jim Brown won the first two and added a third in 1965.

Thanks to the Greatest Show on Turf, the Rams are the only team to win the award in three consecutive seasons – Brett Favre won it for the Packers in three straight, but he shared the award in 1997 with Barry Sanders.

Teams with No NFL MVP Winners

Teams with no MVP Winners Notable Players with “MVP-Type” Seasons
Arizona Cardinals Larry Fitzgerald/Carson Palmer/Kurt Warner/Jake Plummer
Houston Texans Arian Foster/Andre Johnson/JJ Watt
Jacksonville Jaguars Mark Brunell/Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew
New Orleans Saints Drew Brees/Alvin Kamara
New York Jets Curtis Martin/Joe Namath
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Brad Johnson?

Patrick Mahomes was the first Kansas City Chief to ever win the NFL MVP award in 2018, and Lamar Jackson became the first ever Raven to win it in 2019.

The city of Baltimore did get to see five MVPs when they had the Colts, though.


Archived MVP Odds: 2019, 2018

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.