2018 NFL MVP Odds Tracker
- Track each player’s odds to win the 2018 NFL MVP
- View each top contender individually, or alongside other similar players
- Receive a visualization of how the odds have changed throughout the course of the year
Since 1957, the Associated Press has been presenting a Most Valuable Player award to the NFL’s most deserving candidate – also read as the best quarterback in the league. The most recent MVP was awarded to New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady, who became the oldest player to ever win NFL MVP – 40 years old. It was Brady’s third time receiving the honor.
Can Tom Terrific win it again in 2018? We’ll be tracking the odds available at our most trusted betting sites all year, providing you with each player’s average odds to win MVP.
*During the NFL regular season, most online sports betting sites don’t open their NFL MVP odds until Wednesday morning, and they close again when the Thursday night game kicks off. So your window to make a wager is rather tight.
- (01/13/19) None of our top online sports betting sites have released new odds following Week 17
- (12/26/18) Mahomes enters Week 17 as the odds-on MVP favorite
- (12/12/18) For the first time since November 14th, Mahomes is again the MVP favorite
- (11/21/18) For the first time since September 18th, Mahomes is not the favorite to win MVP; Drew Brees has seized that title
- (11/07/18) For the first time this season, Mahomes is listed as the odds-on favorite to win MVP
- (09/26/18) – Patrick Mahomes has established himself as the clear cut favorite in the MVP race, after throwing an NFL-record 13 TDs in his first three games of the season
- (04/10/18) – Even though he’ll be 41 years old before the 2018 season starts, Tom Brady still opens as the favorite to win NFL MVP at +600, which is a little longer than the +450 he opened at in 2017
Odds to Win 2018 NFL MVP at Bovada
|Player||Pos||Team||Odds to win 2018 NFL MVP at Bovada (12/26/18)|
*Follow the link in the table for more MVP betting options
Top Contenders by Position
Of the 61 NFL MVP awards handed out, 40.5 went to quarterbacks – Brett Favre and Barry Sanders shared the honors in 1997. Looking to the remaining 20.5, 17.5 of them were running backs, two were defensive players, and one was a placekicker.
- Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) were the two defensive players to win the award
- Mark Moseley (1982) was the lone kicker to win an MVP, after he nailed an NFL-high 20 field goal attempts – he attempted 21 – for Washington
- Jim Brown won the first two MVP awards in 1957 and 1958
- The most recent RB to be named MVP was Adrian Peterson in 2012
AFC vs NFC Top Contenders
- (05/23/18) – That ratio has increased to 7:2 now in favor of the NFC.
- (04/10/18) – Not only does the NFC hold the majority of the top Super Bowl 53 contenders, but they also possess a large number of the top candidates for the NFL MVP. There are ten players in the NFC with odds of +2000 or shorter, while the AFC only has four.
There are currently eight teams who have never had a player win the NFL MVP award:
|Teams with no MVP Winners||Notable Players with “MVP-Type” Seasons|
|Arizona Cardinals||Larry Fitzgerald/Carson Palmer/Kurt Warner/Jake Plummer|
|Baltimore Ravens||Jamal Lewis/Ray Lewis|
|Houston Texans||Arian Foster/Andre Johnson/JJ Watt|
|Jacksonville Jaguars||Mark Brunell/Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew|
|Kansas City Chiefs||Trent Green/Priest Holmes/Tony Gonzalez/Larry Johnson/Jamaal Charles/Alex Smith|
|New Orleans Saints||Drew Brees/Deuce McAllister/Alvin Kamara|
|New York Jets||Curtis Martin/Joe Namath|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||Brad Johnson?|
The Ravens franchise doesn’t have any MVP-winners, but the city of Baltimore at least got to see five of them when they had the Colts. And if you still didn’t believe running backs don’t get any love in MVP voting, Jamal Lewis ran for 2,066 yards in 2003, but watched the MVP award shared between Peyton Manning and Steve McNair.
It’s also a damn travesty that Drew Brees does not have any NFL MVP awards sitting in his trophy case. He needs one before he retires.
The Lions just narrowly avoid being the ninth team on this list, as Barry Sanders got them half an MVP in 1997, sharing the honors with Brett Favre.
Top Contenders in Each Division
- (11/18/18) – The NFC East is the only division without any players receiving MVP odds
- (05/23/18) – Josh Allen has joined Tom Brady as the only two QBs from the AFC East with NFL MVP odds, but it was more of a pity invite at +12000. Allen’s arrival does pull the division into a tie for the fewest MVP candidates at four with the NFC North, though.
- (05/23/18) – The AFC North has also broken away from the AFC South for the most MVP candidates with a whopping ten, as they added Baker Mayfield, Lamar Jackson, and Myles Garrett. All of them are extreme long-shots, but it’s better to be on the list than not.
- (04/10/18) – The fact that Tom Brady is the only QB in the AFC East who has odds to win NFL MVP in 2018 says a lot about the division. With only three players receiving odds, one of which is a tight end, the AFC East is the division with the fewest MVP candidates – the AFC North and AFC South are tied for the most with seven each.
- (04/10/18) – The Miami Dolphins and New York Jets are the only two teams in the league without a player listed in the odds. Even the Cleveland Browns got some love with Tyrod Taylor.
The four players in this graph have accounted for the last four MVP awards. Tom Brady leads all active players with three MVPs, but still has some work to do in order to catch Peyton Manning, who holds the all-time record with five.
|NFL Team||Number of MVP Winners||Most Recent MVP Winner|
|Indianapolis Colts||8.5||Peyton Manning (2009)|
|Green Bay Packers||7.5||Aaron Rodgers (2014)|
|San Francisco 49ers||5||Steve Young (1994)|
|Cleveland Browns||4||Brian Sipe (1980)|
|Los Angeles Rams||4||Kurt Warner (2001)|
As mentioned above, the Colts had five MVP winners during their time in Baltimore – Johnny Unitas accounted for three – but Peyton Manning provided four more when they moved to Indianapolis.
You may be a little surprised to see Cleveland on here, but keep in mind the NFL MVP has been awarded since 1957. Jim Brown won the first two and added a third in 1965.
Thanks to the Greatest Show on Turf, the Rams are the only team to win the award in three consecutive seasons – Brett Favre won it for the Packers in three straight, but he shared the award in 1997 with Barry Sanders.