Upcoming Match-ups
  • NFL MVP odds for the 2023-24 NFL season are available at all major sports betting apps
  • Tua Tagovailoa is the favorite to win the 2023-24 NFL MVP
  • Track the NFL MVP odds movement over the course of the season for all contenders

Since 1957, the Associated Press has been presenting a Most Valuable Player award to the NFL’s most deserving candidate – also read as the best quarterback in the league. The odds to win the 2023-24 NFL MVP have now opened as we head into the 2023-24 NFL offseason.

Check out the NFL MVP odds available at our most trusted sportsbooks below; the graphs show each player’s average odds to win NFL MVP.


For the first time this year, Patrick Mahomes is not the favorite to win NFL MVP. Following Sunday of Week 2, Tua Tagovailoa has the best odds to win NFL MVP. The Dolphins’ QB didn’t put up the same insane numbers from Week 1, but he did lead Miami to a tough win on the road in New England. He followed that up by scoring 70 points against the Broncos in Week 3.

Patrick Mahomes still has the second-best NFL MVP odds. Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts are also in the upper tier when it comes to the odds. Bengals QB Joe Burrow was in that group until his Bengals lost their second straight to start the season.

Odds to Win 2023-24 NFL MVP

Player Odds to Win NFL MVP
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) +380
Patrick Mahomes (KC) +600
Jalen Hurts (PHI) +750
Josh Allen (BUF) +850
Lamar Jackson (BAL) +1500
Justin Herbert (LAC) +1600
Brock Purdy (SF) +2000
Trevor Lawrence (JAX) +2000
Joe Burrow (CIN) +2000
Christian McCaffrey (SF) +2500
Deshaun Watson (CLE) +2800
Dak Prescott (DAL) +3500
Jared Goff (DET) +4500
Micah Parsons (DAL) +5000
Tyreek Hill (MIA) +5000
Kirk Cousins (MIN) +5000
Matthew Stafford (LAR) +5000
Derek Carr (NO) +6000
Justin Jefferson (MIN) +6500
Anthony Richardson (IND) +7000
Kenny Pickett (PIT) +7000
Geno Smith (SEA) +7000
TJ Watt (PIT) +10000
Bijan Robinson (ATL) +10000
Jordan Love (GB) +10000
Jimmy Garoppolo (LV) +10000
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) +10000
Mac Jones (NE) +10000
Baker Mayfield (TB) +10000
Desmond Rider (ATL) +10000

Tua Tagovailoa is currently the favorite to win the 2023-24 NFL MVP with +380 odds. If you bet $50 on the Dolphins QB to win the award, you’d stand to win $190 and return $240. Based on the odds, Tagovailoa has a 20.8% chance to win NFL MVP this coming season.

Some notable players’ lines to mention from opening include: Jalen Hurts opening at +1100, which were the fourth-best odds on the board one year after opening at +4500; both Brock Purdy (+2500) and Trey Lance (+3500) were given short odds to win NFL MVP at opening, but Purdy saw his odds fall way off to +7500 in the spring, only to recover to +5000 (tied with Lance at the time) in the summer; Aaron Rodgers was listed at +1600 after being traded to the Jets (but is now off the board after tearing his Achilles four plays into his Jets tenure); Tom Brady is not given odds after retiring for the second time; and there were 24 quarterbacks given better odds than the top non-QB, which was Christian McCaffrey at +8000 odds, ahead of Week 1.

*Odds updated September 26 from DraftKings Sportsbook; if you’re not already registered, get the best DraftKings Sportsbook promo available when signing up.

There are many great sportsbooks out there with huge promos if you’re looking to bet on NFL futures. One of the best sign-up offers comes from claiming the Bet365 bonus code, which unlocks an enticing Bet $1, Get $200 in Bonus Bets offer. If you’re looking for powerful odds boosts to pump your winnings on NFL MVP futures, then we recommend going with a FanDuel promo code. And if you’re on the hunt for frequent bonus bets, then keep an eye out for a BetMGM promo code, as they might have just what you’re looking for.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Here are some notes on the NFL MVP odds movement:

  • [September 25] Tua Tagovailoa has pulled away from the field when it comes to NFL MVP odds following Sunday of Week 3. Tagovailoa’s odds improved from +600 to +380 after he threw for 309 yards and four touchdowns en route to Miami’s 70-point performance against the Broncos.
  • [September 17] Tagovailoa became the lone favorite to win NFL MVP after Sunday of Week 2. His win in New England resulted in his odds improving from +700 to +600. Joe Burrow saw his odds fade from +850 to +1700 after another lousy performance that led to Cincinnati starting the season 0-2.
  • [September 11] Tua Tagovailoa came out of the gate red hot, throwing for 466 yards and three touchdowns in leading his Dolphins to a Week 1 victory over the Chargers. Tua’s NFL MVP odds improved from +2200 to +700, now tied with Mahomes for the best odds, after Sunday of Week 1. Joe Burrow’s odds didn’t move after only throwing for 82 yards in an awful performance against the Browns. Aaron Rodgers was a top ten contender, with +1600 odds, entering his Monday Night Football matchup with the Bills. His odds have faded to +2500 as it is feared he tore his Achilles. He will be removed from the board once the injury is confirmed. (He has now been removed at most sportsbooks.)
  • [September 1] Just ahead of kickoff, Patrick Mahomes’ NFL MVP odds have improved from +700 to +600, separating himself from the other top contenders. Joe Burrow has the next-best odds at +750.
  • [August 26] Even after being traded to the Cowboys, and effectively turned into a backup this season, Trey Lance’s NFL MVP odds remain at +5000 at DraftKings. FanDuel has dropped Lance to +30000. Brock Purdy’s odds didn’t see any major movement either after winning the starting job.
  • [July 13] With all signs pointing to Brock Purdy being ready for the 2023 NFL season, his MVP odds have improved from +7500 to +4500. Trey Lance, who has been rumored to be losing the backup job in San Francisco to Sam Darnold, has seen his odds fade from +3500 to +5000.
  • [April 24] After officially being traded to the Jets, Aaron Rodgers’ NFL MVP odds are listed at +1800. His odds were as short as +1600 a month ago, but faded a little in the last few weeks. Jordan Love, who will be the new starting quarterback for the Packers, also saw his odds hold where they were at +3500.
  • [March 20] Aaron Rodgers’ NFL MVP odds have remained at +1600 throughout the negotiations between the Packers and Jets. Justin Fields has seen his odds improve from +3000 to +2000 with the Bears adding DJ Moore and some notable defensive names as they look ready to compete in the NFC North. Brock Purdy saw his odds plummet from +2500 to +7500 after successful elbow surgery that will reportedly have him ready in six months, which puts him on track to be ready around Week 2.
  • [February 12] Patrick Mahomes, who won the award last season, and Joe Burrow have opened as co-favorites to win the 2023-24 NFL MVP. Both players opened at +650 odds, with Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, and Jalen Hurts rounding out the top five contenders.

NFL MVP Betting Trends

  • A quarterback has won each of the last ten NFL MVP awards
  • Since 2001, only three non-QBs have won the award – all were running backs
  • Since 2001, only one player has won NFL MVP without their respective team winning at least 11 games – Adrian Peterson’s Vikings won 10 games in 2012

Top Contenders by Position

Of the 66 NFL MVP awards handed out, 45.5 have gone to quarterbacks – Brett Favre and Barry Sanders shared the honors in 1997. Looking to the remaining 20.5, 17.5 of them were running backs, two were defensive players, and one was a placekicker.

  • Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) were the two defensive players to win the award
  • Mark Moseley (1982) was the lone kicker to win an MVP, after he nailed an NFL-high 20 field goal attempts – he attempted 21 – for Washington
  • Jim Brown won the first two MVP awards in 1957 and 1958
  • The most recent RB to be named MVP was Adrian Peterson in 2012

Odds For Previous NFL MVP Winners

Aaron Rodgers leads all active players with four NFL MVPs. Rodgers still trails Peyton Manning, who holds the all-time record with five.

Last 10 NFL MVP Winners

Year NFL MVP Pos Team Record
2022 Patrick Mahomes (2) QB Chiefs 14-3
2021 Aaron Rodgers (4) QB Packers 13-4
2020 Aaron Rodgers (3) QB Packers 13-3
2019 Lamar Jackson QB Ravens 14-2
2018 Patrick Mahomes QB Chiefs 12-4
2017 Tom Brady (3) QB Patriots 13-3
2016 Matt Ryan QB Falcons 11-5
2015 Cam Newton QB Panthers 15-1
2014 Aaron Rodgers (2) QB Packers 12-4
2013 Peyton Manning (5) QB Broncos 13-3

Patrick Mahomes won the 2022-23 NFL MVP after an incredible season without Tyreek Hill. Aaron Rodgers has won the award in two of the last three seasons. Each of the last ten NFL MVP awards have now gone to a quarterback. Adrian Peterson was the last non-QB to win the award, when he took home the honor in 2012.

Teams with Most NFL MVP Winners

NFL Team Number of MVP Winners Most Recent MVP Winner
Green Bay Packers 9.5 Aaron Rodgers (2021)
Indianapolis Colts 8.5 Peyton Manning (2009)
San Francisco 49ers 5 Steve Young (1994)
Cleveland Browns 4 Brian Sipe (1980)
Los Angeles Rams 4 Kurt Warner (2001)

Thanks to Aaron Rodgers’ most recent NFL MVP award, the Packers have taken over as the team with the most NFL MVPs. The Colts had five MVP winners during their time in Baltimore – Johnny Unitas accounted for three – but Peyton Manning provided four more when they moved to Indianapolis.

You may be a little surprised to see Cleveland on here, but keep in mind the NFL MVP has been awarded since 1957. Jim Brown won the first two and added a third in 1965.

Thanks to the Greatest Show on Turf, the Rams are the only team to win the award in three consecutive seasons – Brett Favre won it for the Packers in three straight, but he shared the award in 1997 with Barry Sanders.

Teams with No NFL MVP Winners

Teams with no MVP Winners Notable Players with “MVP-Type” Seasons
Arizona Cardinals Larry Fitzgerald/Carson Palmer/Kurt Warner/Jake Plummer
Houston Texans Arian Foster/Andre Johnson/JJ Watt
Jacksonville Jaguars Mark Brunell/Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew
New Orleans Saints Drew Brees/Alvin Kamara
New York Jets Curtis Martin/Joe Namath
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Brad Johnson(?)/Tom Brady

Patrick Mahomes was the first Kansas City Chief to ever win the NFL MVP award in 2018, and Lamar Jackson became the first ever Raven to win it in 2019.

The city of Baltimore did get to see five MVPs when they had the Colts, though.

Archived MVP Odds: 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018

Author Image

After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.