2024-25 NFL MVP Odds Tracker – Josh Allen the Heavy Favorite

• NFL MVP odds for the 2024-25 NFL season are available at all major sports betting apps
• Josh Allen is the favorite to win the NFL MVP
• Track the NFL MVP odds movement over the course of the season for all contenders

Since 1957, the Associated Press has been presenting a Most Valuable Player award to the NFL’s most deserving candidate – also read as the best quarterback in the league. The odds to win the 2024-25 NFL MVP have now opened as we head into the 2024-25 NFL season.

Check out the NFL MVP odds available at our most trusted sportsbooks below; the graphs show each player’s average odds to win NFL MVP.

NFL MVP Odds

Top 4 Top 12

We have seen three different NFL MVP favorites so far this season: (1) Patrick Mahomes had been the favorite for the majority of the season; (2) Lamar Jackson had two brief stints as the favorite, with the first being one week after Week 7 and the second being a two-week period from Weeks 9-10; and (3) Josh Allen is now on his third go of being the MVP favorite, as he took over following Buffalo’s Week 11 win over the Chiefs. Each of his first two stints only lasted one week apiece, after Weeks 3 and 8, but he is through seven weeks on this one.

It also shouldn’t be surprising to see a lengthy list of quarterbacks behind Allen in the NFL MVP odds.

Odds to Win 2024-25 NFL MVP

Player	Best Odds
Allen, Josh	-450 BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	-450 BET NOW
Jackson, Lamar	+320 BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	+320 BET NOW
Barkley, Saquon	+8000 BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	+8000 BET NOW
Burrow, Joe	+10000 BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	+10000 BET NOW
Goff, Jared	+15000 BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	+15000 BET NOW
Daniels, Jayden	+25000 BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	+25000 BET NOW
Mayfield, Baker	+40000 BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	+40000 BET NOW
Darnold, Sam	+50000 BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	+50000 BET NOW
Herbert, Justin	+50000 BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	+50000 BET NOW
Hurts, Jalen	+50000 BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	- BET NOW	+50000 BET NOW

Josh Allen is the NFL MVP favorite with -450 odds. A $20 bet on the Bills QB would stand to win $4.44 and return $24.44. Allen’s probability to win the MVP, based on those odds, is 81.8%.

After Allen in the NFL MVP odds is Lamar Jackson (+350), Saquon Barkley (+8000), Jared Goff (+15000), and Joe Burrow (+30000).

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Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Here are some notes on the NFL MVP odds movement:

• [December 17] A win over the Lions in Week 15 pushed Josh Allen’s MVP odds from -380 to -900.
• [December 10] In spite of losing to the Rams in Week 14, Josh Allen saw his NFL MVP odds improve from -210 to -380 after an incredible six-touchdown performance.
• [December 3] Following Buffalo’s dominant win over the 49ers in Week 13, which saw Josh Allen record a passing touchdown to himself, the Bills’ QB became an odds-on favorite to win NFL MVP. Allen’s odds improved from +155 to -210.
• [November 26] Saquon Barkley rushed for 255 yards in Week 12, and totaled 302 yards from scrimmage, while scoring two touchdowns. Barkley’s MVP odds were +5350 entering Week 12, but shortened all the way to +475, third-best at this time, at some sportsbooks after the big performance. His QB’s MVP odds dipped from +1700 to +4000 as Barkley takes center stage in the Eagles offensive resurgence.
• [November 18] After the Bills handed the Chiefs their first loss of the season in Week 11, Josh Allen came out as the NFL MVP favorite again, seeing his odds improve from +353 to +160. Jared Goff saw huge movement in his odds, as they went from +4000 to +700, which were third-best on the board following Week 11.
• [November 12] Another great performance in Week 10 saw Lamar Jackson become an odds-on favorite at some sportsbooks, but has distanced himself from the pack at all sportsbooks. Jackson is within 10 cents of even money at all betting apps. Jared Goff’s MVP odds went the other way after throwing five interceptions against the Texans. Goff was listed at +800 heading into Week 10, but came out at +4000.
• [November 5] Lamar Jackson carved up a Broncos defense in Week 9 that had been very good against the pass all season. The result was Jackson taking back over as the MVP favorite. Some sportsbooks listed Jackson and Josh Allen as co-favorites after Week 9, but DraftKings and BetMGM gave the nod to the Ravens QB.
• [October 29] After throwing for 283 yards and two touchdowns in a 31-10 win over the Seahawks in Week 8, Josh Allen has become the favorite to win NFL MVP again. The move may have been more about Lamar Jackson losing to the Browns, though. Jayden Daniels also saw major movement, going from +3000 to +1600 after taking down the Bears on a last-second Hail Mary.
• [October 22] Lamar Jackson exploded against the Bucs on Monday Night Football of Week 7, throwing for 281 yards and five touchdowns, while adding another 52 yards with his legs. The big performance was enough to make Jackson the NFL MVP favorite at this time.
• [October 8] Josh Allen saw his MVP odds worsen significantly, going from +317 to +800, after he (and his WRs) struggled in Week 5 against the Texans. Jayden Daniels, on the other hand, is not only the odds-on favorite to win NFL OROY, but moved into the top five MVP contenders after Week 5. Daniels’ odds improved from +3800 to +1100 after embarrassing a once proud Browns defense.
• [Septemer 30] Josh Allen’s time as the NFL MVP favorite only lasted one week, as his odds faded after the Bills were blown out on SNF of Week 4 by the Ravens. Patrick Mahomes took back over as the favorite, in spite of his favorite target, Rashee Rice, potentially being lost for the season. Sam Darnold saw his odds continue to improve, landing at +1300 after Week 4, making him a top five contender.
• [September 23] After three straight weeks of dominating on the field, Josh Allen has taken over as the NFL MVP favorite following a Week 3 blowout of the Jaguars. The other player who saw major odds movement after Week 3 was Sam Darnold. The Vikings QB was getting +8367 odds coming into the week, but is now as short as +2800.
• [September 9] Josh Allen did it all for the Bills in Week 1, throwing for 232 yards and two touchdowns, while adding 39 yards on the ground and another two touchdowns. His NFL MVP odds have shortened after the outstanding performance, and DraftKings was even calling him the co-favorite alongside Patrick Mahomes on Sunday night. Joe Burrow, on the other hand, saw his odds fade from +975 to +1500. Jordan Love, who is expected to miss between 3-6 weeks after spraining his MCL, went from +1400 odds to +10000.
• [August 27] As bettors have gotten a good look at Jim Harbaugh’s run-heavy philosophy in the preseason, Justin Herbert’s NFL MVP odds have suffered. Herbert, a perennial top contender for the award, went from +2100 to +3000 in the weeks leading up to the regular season.
• [April 3] After the Texans acquired WR Stefon Diggs, CJ Stroud saw his NFL MVP odds improve from +1200 to as short as +950. That same move resulted in Josh Allen’s odds fading slightly from +760 to +829.
• [March 11] In spite of the new home with some quality weapons around him, Kirk Cousins’ NFL MVP odds didn’t really move after signing with Atlanta today. He remains between +3500 and +4000 to win the award. The same goes for Russell Wilson after signing with the Steelers. He is a longshot between 100-1 and 150-1.
• [February 9] NFL MVP odds for the 2024-25 season opened before the previous season finished, and Patrick Mahomes has began the season as the MVP favorite. He just edged out Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, and Lamar Jackson. Some quarterbacks have opened with vastly different odds this season than they did last year. Here are a few examples: CJ Stroud at +1400 thsi year versus +15000 last year (understandable with him being a rookie, though), Deshaun Watson at +4500 versus +2650, Jared Goff at +2000 versus +4250, Jordan Love at +1200 versus +4000, and Russell Wilson at +10000 versus +4250.

NFL MVP Betting Trends

• A quarterback has won each of the last 11 NFL MVP awards
• Since 2001, only three non-QBs have won the award – all were running backs
• Since 2001, only one player has won NFL MVP without their respective team winning at least 11 games – Adrian Peterson’s Vikings won 10 games in 2012

Top Contenders by Position

QBs Non QBs RBs WRs & TEs

Of the 67 NFL MVP awards handed out, 46.5 have gone to quarterbacks – Brett Favre and Barry Sanders shared the honors in 1997. Looking to the remaining 20.5, 17.5 of them were running backs, two were defensive players, and one was a placekicker.

• Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) were the two defensive players to win the award
• Mark Moseley (1982) was the lone kicker to win an MVP, after he nailed an NFL-high 20 field goal attempts – he attempted 21 – for Washington
• Jim Brown won the first two MVP awards in 1957 and 1958
• The most recent RB to be named MVP was Adrian Peterson in 2012

Odds For Previous NFL MVP Winners

Aaron Rodgers leads all active players with four NFL MVPs. Rodgers still trails Peyton Manning, who holds the all-time record with five.

Last 10 NFL MVP Winners

Lamar Jackson won the 2023-24 NFL MVP after an incredible season where his Ravens entered the playoffs as the AFC’s #1 seed. Each of the last 11 NFL MVP awards have now gone to a quarterback. Adrian Peterson was the last non-QB to win the award, when he took home the honor in 2012.

Teams with Most NFL MVP Winners

Thanks to Aaron Rodgers’ most recent NFL MVP award, the Packers have taken over as the team with the most NFL MVPs. The Colts had five MVP winners during their time in Baltimore – Johnny Unitas accounted for three – but Peyton Manning provided four more when they moved to Indianapolis.

You may be a little surprised to see Cleveland on here, but keep in mind the NFL MVP has been awarded since 1957. Jim Brown won the first two and added a third in 1965.

Thanks to the Greatest Show on Turf, the Rams are the only team to win the award in three consecutive seasons – Brett Favre won it for the Packers in three straight, but he shared the award in 1997 with Barry Sanders.

Teams with No NFL MVP Winners

Patrick Mahomes was the first Kansas City Chief to ever win the NFL MVP award in 2018, and Lamar Jackson became the first ever Raven to win it in 2019.

The city of Baltimore did get to see five MVPs when they had the Colts, though.

Archived MVP Odds: 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018