2025-26 NFL MVP Odds Tracker – Lamar Jackson Opens as Favorite
By Matt McEwan
Updated:
- NFL MVP odds for the 2025-26 NFL season have opened at select sports betting apps
- Lamar Jackson has opened as a slight favorite over this past season’s MVP Josh Allen
- Track the NFL MVP odds movement over the course of the season for all contenders
Since 1957, the Associated Press has been presenting a Most Valuable Player award to the NFL’s most deserving candidate – also read as the best quarterback in the league based on the way the voters treat it. The odds to win the 2025-26 NFL MVP have now opened as we head into the NFL offseason. There isn’t expected to be any major movement to the NFL MVP odds until we get to free agency, and then the NFL Draft. But you can take a look at where each player’s NFL MVP odds opened, and what (if any) movement they have experienced so far.
Check out the NFL MVP odds available at our most trusted sportsbooks below; the graphs show each player’s average odds to win NFL MVP.
NFL MVP Odds
Though Josh Allen won the NFL MVP this past season, it was Lamar Jackson who opened as the NFL MVP favorite for the 2025-26 NFL season. Many argued Jackson should have won the award last season, and sportsbooks have heard those cries loud and clear, as they have given Jackson slightly better odds than Allen to open the offseason.
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It is worth noting that Jayden Daniels’ MVP odds opened at +13000 last season, and he has now opened this season as a top five contender. This is the biggest difference of any player year-over-year.
Odds to Win 2025-26 NFL MVP
Player
|
Best Odds
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson, Lamar |
|
+550 BET NOW | +500 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +550 BET NOW |
| Allen, Josh |
|
+600 BET NOW | +600 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +600 BET NOW |
| Burrow, Joe |
|
+600 BET NOW | +600 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +600 BET NOW |
| Mahomes, Patrick |
|
+650 BET NOW | +650 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +650 BET NOW |
| Daniels, Jayden |
|
- BET NOW | +850 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +850 BET NOW |
| Herbert, Justin |
|
- BET NOW | +1800 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +2200 BET NOW |
| Hurts, Jalen |
|
- BET NOW | +1800 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +2200 BET NOW |
| Stroud, Cj |
|
- BET NOW | +2200 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +2500 BET NOW |
| Love, Jordan |
|
- BET NOW | +2500 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +2200 BET NOW |
| Purdy, Brock |
|
- BET NOW | +2500 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +2800 BET NOW |
| Williams, Caleb |
|
- BET NOW | +2800 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +3300 BET NOW |
| Stafford, Matthew |
|
- BET NOW | +3000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +3500 BET NOW |
| Goff, Jared |
|
- BET NOW | +2500 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +4000 BET NOW |
| Mayfield, Baker |
|
- BET NOW | +3300 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +4000 BET NOW |
| Prescott, Dak |
|
+4000 BET NOW | +3300 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +3500 BET NOW |
| Lawrence, Trevor |
|
- BET NOW | +3300 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +5000 BET NOW |
| Barkley, Saquon |
|
- BET NOW | +5000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +5000 BET NOW |
| Murray, Kyler |
|
+5000 BET NOW | +5000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +5000 BET NOW |
| Tagovailoa, Tua |
|
- BET NOW | +4000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +6000 BET NOW |
| Nix, BO |
|
- BET NOW | +5000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +6000 BET NOW |
| Maye, Drake |
|
- BET NOW | +6600 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +6000 BET NOW |
| Penix Jr, Michael |
|
- BET NOW | +6600 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +7000 BET NOW |
| Darnold, Sam |
|
- BET NOW | +6600 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +8000 BET NOW |
| McCarthy, J.J. |
|
- BET NOW | +8000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +5000 BET NOW |
| Rodgers, Aaron |
|
- BET NOW | +8000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +6500 BET NOW |
Lamar Jackson is currently getting +550 odds to win NFL MVP this coming season. He is seen as the NFL MVP favorite by all sportsbooks. The +550 odds mean Jackson has a 15.4% chance to win the award, according to the sportsbooks. A $20 bet on Jackson at his current price would stand to profit $110 and return $130.
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BET $5 & GET $150 IF YOUR BET WINS!
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It shouldn’t be surprising to see a lengthy list of quarterbacks behind Jackson in the NFL MVP odds. After all, it has really become a QB-dominated award. The top five NFL MVP contenders for 2025-26 after Jackson are as follows: Josh Allen (+650), Joe Burrow (+750), Patrick Mahomes (+850), and Jayden Daniels (+1100).
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Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.
Here are some notes on the NFL MVP odds movement:
- [April 29] We saw next to no MVP odds movement come from the NFL Draft results. There were a few players I suspected may see their odds improve: Jordan Love, Drake Maye, and Trevor Lawrence. The Packers got Love a potential new WR1 in Matthew Golden, but his odds actually worsened slightly from +2533 to +2700. The Patriots were widely viewed as a big winner in the draft, adding some protection for Maye, along with a dynamic RB who should add some extra burst. But his odds stayed the same. The Jags made arguably the draft’s most aggressive move to draft Travis Hunter, giving Lawrence another big-time receiving threat, but his odds also worsened slightly, going from +3967 to +4133.
- [March 12] Jalen Hurts’ MVP odds improved from +2250 at opening to +1833 after the first dozen days of NFL free agency. The Eagles did not sign any big-name offensive players in free agency. This movement was the result of money coming in on Hurts.
- [February 7] NFL MVP odds for the 2025-26 NFL season opened almost immediately after the past season’s award was handed out. Lamar Jackson opened as the 2025-26 NFL MVP favorite with +525 odds, just slightly better than Josh Allen’s +575 odds. It is worth mentioning that Jayden Daniels opened last season with +13000 odds to win the MVP, and opened this season with +1050 odds, the fifth-best on the board. Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes also opened with short odds, rounding out the top five contenders.
NFL MVP Betting Trends
- A quarterback has won each of the last 12 NFL MVP awards
- Since 2001, only three non-QBs have won the award – all were running backs
- Since 2001, only one player has won NFL MVP without their respective team winning at least 11 games – Adrian Peterson’s Vikings won 10 games in 2012
Top Contenders by Position
Of the 68 NFL MVP awards handed out, 47.5 have gone to quarterbacks – Brett Favre and Barry Sanders shared the honors in 1997. Looking to the remaining 20.5, 17.5 of them were running backs, two were defensive players, and one was a placekicker.
- Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) were the two defensive players to win the award
- Mark Moseley (1982) was the lone kicker to win an MVP, after he nailed an NFL-high 20 field goal attempts – he attempted 21 – for Washington
- Jim Brown won the first two MVP awards in 1957 and 1958
- The most recent RB to be named MVP was Adrian Peterson in 2012
Odds For Previous NFL MVP Winners
Aaron Rodgers leads all active players with four NFL MVPs. Rodgers still trails Peyton Manning, who holds the all-time record with five.
Last 10 NFL MVP Winners
| Year | NFL MVP | Pos | Team | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Josh Allen | QB | Bills | 13-4 |
| 2023 | Lamar Jackson (2) | QB | Ravens | 13-4 |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes (2) | QB | Chiefs | 14-3 |
| 2021 | Aaron Rodgers (4) | QB | Packers | 13-4 |
| 2020 | Aaron Rodgers (3) | QB | Packers | 13-3 |
| 2019 | Lamar Jackson | QB | Ravens | 14-2 |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Chiefs | 12-4 |
| 2017 | Tom Brady (3) | QB | Patriots | 13-3 |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan | QB | Falcons | 11-5 |
| 2015 | Cam Newton | QB | Panthers | 15-1 |
Josh Allen is the reigning NFL MVP, as he beat out Lamar Jackson at the NFL Honors to take home his first MVP award.
Teams with Most NFL MVP Winners
| NFL Team | Number of MVP Winners | Most Recent MVP Winner |
|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 9.5 | Aaron Rodgers (2021) |
| Indianapolis Colts | 8.5 | Peyton Manning (2009) |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | Steve Young (1994) |
| Cleveland Browns | 4 | Brian Sipe (1980) |
| Los Angeles Rams | 4 | Kurt Warner (2001) |
Thanks to Aaron Rodgers’ most recent NFL MVP award, the Packers have taken over as the team with the most NFL MVPs. The Colts had five MVP winners during their time in Baltimore – Johnny Unitas accounted for three – but Peyton Manning provided four more when they moved to Indianapolis.
You may be a little surprised to see Cleveland on here, but keep in mind the NFL MVP has been awarded since 1957. Jim Brown won the first two and added a third in 1965.
Thanks to the Greatest Show on Turf, the Rams are the only team to win the award in three consecutive seasons – Brett Favre won it for the Packers in three straight, but he shared the award in 1997 with Barry Sanders.
Teams with No NFL MVP Winners
| Teams with no MVP Winners | Notable Players with “MVP-Type” Seasons |
|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | Larry Fitzgerald/Carson Palmer/Kurt Warner/Jake Plummer |
| Houston Texans | Arian Foster/Andre Johnson/JJ Watt |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | Mark Brunell/Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew |
| New Orleans Saints | Drew Brees/Alvin Kamara |
| New York Jets | Curtis Martin/Joe Namath |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Brad Johnson(?)/Tom Brady |
Patrick Mahomes was the first Kansas City Chief to ever win the NFL MVP award in 2018, and Lamar Jackson became the first ever Raven to win it in 2019.
The city of Baltimore did get to see five MVPs when they had the Colts, though.
Archived MVP Odds:
Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert
With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.
