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  • NFL MVP odds for the 2023-24 NFL season have opened
  • Patrick Mahomes is the favorite to win the 2023-24 NFL MVP
  • Track the NFL MVP odds movement over the course of the season for all contenders

Since 1957, the Associated Press has been presenting a Most Valuable Player award to the NFL’s most deserving candidate – also read as the best quarterback in the league. The odds to win the 2023-24 NFL MVP have now opened as we head into the 2023-24 NFL offseason.

Check out the NFL MVP odds available at our most trusted sportsbooks below; the graphs show each player’s average odds to win NFL MVP.

NFL MVP Odds

It’s no surprise to see Patrick Mahomes’ name atop the board after winning his second NFL MVP award in his first five seasons last year. Based on the way Joe Burrow has played the last two seasons, we shouldn’t really be shocked to see him alongside Mahomes with the best odds to win the NFL MVP next season.

Young quarterbacks were really starting to take over the NFL MVP odds last season, but they are basically all of the favorites right now. Aaron Rodgers is the only player among the top 13 NFL MVP favorites who is older than 30.

Odds to Win 2022-23 NFL MVP

Player Odds to Win NFL MVP
Patrick Mahomes (KC) +650
Joe Burrow (CIN) +700
Josh Allen (BUF) +750
Justin Herbert (LAC) +1000
Jalen Hurts (PHI) +1100
Lamar Jackson (BAL) +1500
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) +1600
Aaron Rodgers (GB) +1600
Trevor Lawrence (JAX) +1600
Dak Prescott (DAL) +1800
Justin Fields (CHI) +2000
Deshaun Watson (CLE) +3000
Trey Lance (SF) +3500
Russell Wilson (DEN) +3500
Jordan Love (GB) +3500
Geno Smith (SEA) +3500
Jared Goff (DET) +3500
Kenny Pickett (PIT) +4500
Derek Carr (NO) +4500
Matthew Stafford (LAR) +5000
Kirk Cousins (MIN) +5000
Daniel Jones (NYG) +5000
Kyler Murray (ARI) +6500
Mac Jones (NE) +6500
Jimmy Garoppolo (LV) +6500
Brock Purdy (SF) +7500
Kyle Trask (TB) +7500
Sam Darnold (SF) +8000
Sam Howell (WAS) +8000
Justin Jefferson (MIN) +10000

Patrick Mahomes is currently the favorite to win the 2023-24 NFL MVP with +650 odds. If you bet $50 on the Chiefs QB to win the award, you’d stand to win $325 and return $375. Based on the odds, Mahomes has a 13.3% chance to win NFL MVP this coming season.

Some other notable players to mention include: Jalen Hurts at +1100, which are the fifth-best odds on the board one year after opening at +4500; both Brock Purdy (+2500) and Trey Lance (+3500) were given short odds to win NFL MVP at opening, but Purdy has seen his odds fall way off to +7500; Aaron Rodgers still had the sixth-best odds despite his future being very uncertain, and his odds have remained at +1600 with all the Jets info becoming public; Tom Brady is not given odds after retiring for the second time; and there are 29 quarterbacks given better odds than the top non-QB, which is Tyreek Hill, Justin Jefferson, Jonathan Taylor, Ja’Marr Chase, and Cooper Kupp all at +10000 odds.

*Odds updated March 20 from DraftKings Sportsbook; if you’re not already registered, get the best DraftKings Sportsbook promo available when signing up.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Here are some notes on the NFL MVP odds movement:

  • [March 20] Aaron Rodgers’ NFL MVP odds have remained at +1600 throughout the negotiations between the Packers and Jets. Justin Fields has seen his odds improve from +3000 to +2000 with the Bears adding DJ Moore and some notable defensive names as they look ready to compete in the NFC North. Brock Purdy saw his odds plummet from +2500 to +7500 after successful elbow surgery that will reportedly have him ready in six months, which puts him on track to be ready around Week 2.
  • [February 12] Patrick Mahomes, who won the award last season, and Joe Burrow have opened as co-favorites to win the 2023-24 NFL MVP. Both players opened at +650 odds, with Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, and Jalen Hurts rounding out the top five contenders.

NFL MVP Betting Trends

  • A quarterback has won each of the last ten NFL MVP awards
  • Since 2001, only three non-QBs have won the award – all were running backs
  • Since 2001, only one player has won NFL MVP without their respective team winning at least 11 games – Adrian Peterson’s Vikings won 10 games in 2012

Top Contenders by Position

Of the 66 NFL MVP awards handed out, 45.5 have gone to quarterbacks – Brett Favre and Barry Sanders shared the honors in 1997. Looking to the remaining 20.5, 17.5 of them were running backs, two were defensive players, and one was a placekicker.

  • Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) were the two defensive players to win the award
  • Mark Moseley (1982) was the lone kicker to win an MVP, after he nailed an NFL-high 20 field goal attempts – he attempted 21 – for Washington
  • Jim Brown won the first two MVP awards in 1957 and 1958
  • The most recent RB to be named MVP was Adrian Peterson in 2012

Odds For Previous NFL MVP Winners

Aaron Rodgers leads all active players with four NFL MVPs. Rodgers still trails Peyton Manning, who holds the all-time record with five.

Last 10 NFL MVP Winners

Year NFL MVP Pos Team Record
2022 Patrick Mahomes (2) QB Chiefs 14-3
2021 Aaron Rodgers (4) QB Packers 13-4
2020 Aaron Rodgers (3) QB Packers 13-3
2019 Lamar Jackson QB Ravens 14-2
2018 Patrick Mahomes QB Chiefs 12-4
2017 Tom Brady (3) QB Patriots 13-3
2016 Matt Ryan QB Falcons 11-5
2015 Cam Newton QB Panthers 15-1
2014 Aaron Rodgers (2) QB Packers 12-4
2013 Peyton Manning (5) QB Broncos 13-3

Patrick Mahomes won the 2022-23 NFL MVP after an incredible season without Tyreek Hill. Aaron Rodgers has won the award in two of the last three seasons. Each of the last ten NFL MVP awards have now gone to a quarterback. Adrian Peterson was the last non-QB to win the award, when he took home the honor in 2012.

Teams with Most NFL MVP Winners

NFL Team Number of MVP Winners Most Recent MVP Winner
Green Bay Packers 9.5 Aaron Rodgers (2021)
Indianapolis Colts 8.5 Peyton Manning (2009)
San Francisco 49ers 5 Steve Young (1994)
Cleveland Browns 4 Brian Sipe (1980)
Los Angeles Rams 4 Kurt Warner (2001)

Thanks to Aaron Rodgers’ most recent NFL MVP award, the Packers have taken over as the team with the most NFL MVPs. The Colts had five MVP winners during their time in Baltimore – Johnny Unitas accounted for three – but Peyton Manning provided four more when they moved to Indianapolis.

You may be a little surprised to see Cleveland on here, but keep in mind the NFL MVP has been awarded since 1957. Jim Brown won the first two and added a third in 1965.

Thanks to the Greatest Show on Turf, the Rams are the only team to win the award in three consecutive seasons – Brett Favre won it for the Packers in three straight, but he shared the award in 1997 with Barry Sanders.

Teams with No NFL MVP Winners

Teams with no MVP Winners Notable Players with “MVP-Type” Seasons
Arizona Cardinals Larry Fitzgerald/Carson Palmer/Kurt Warner/Jake Plummer
Houston Texans Arian Foster/Andre Johnson/JJ Watt
Jacksonville Jaguars Mark Brunell/Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew
New Orleans Saints Drew Brees/Alvin Kamara
New York Jets Curtis Martin/Joe Namath
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Brad Johnson?

Patrick Mahomes was the first Kansas City Chief to ever win the NFL MVP award in 2018, and Lamar Jackson became the first ever Raven to win it in 2019.

The city of Baltimore did get to see five MVPs when they had the Colts, though.

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Archived MVP Odds: 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.