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  • Get the latest 2020 NFL MVP odds
  • Aaron Rodgers finishes the regular season as the overwhelming favorite to win NFL MVP
  • Track the movement over the course of the season for all contenders

Since 1957, the Associated Press has been presenting a Most Valuable Player award to the NFL’s most deserving candidate – also read as the best quarterback in the league. Here are the odds available at our most trusted betting sites; the graphs below show each player’s average odds to win MVP.

Odds For Top NFL MVP Contenders

  • [January 4, 2021] Patrick Mahomes’ odds are at a season-worst +1500 after the Chiefs quarterback did not play in Week 17. As a result, Josh Allen has surpassed Mahomes for second-best NFL MVP odds and Aaron Rodgers has become the overwhelming favorite at -2500 odds. Rodgers threw another four touchdowns against the Bears in Week 17 and finishes the regular season with a league-leading 48 touchdown passes and an NFL-high 121.5 passer rating.
  • [December 29] For the first time this season, Aaron Rodgers is favored to win the NFL MVP. The Packers QB saw his NFL MVP odds improve from +331 to -376 after throwing four touchdowns in Week 16 against the Titans.
  • [December 22] With a win over the Saints in Week 15, Patrick Mahomes’ lead in the MVP race grew, as his odds went from -217 to -344. Aaron Rodgers’ odds got slightly longer after a bit of a quiet game against the Panthers, where he only threw for 143 yards and one touchdown. Josh Allen and Derrick Henry saw major improvements, with the former going from +6100 to +3625 thanks to a 2,000-yard season being a real possibility, and the latter went from +2733 to +938 after lighting up the Broncos.
  • [December 14] Patrick Mahomes is still the odds-on favorite to win the NFL MVP in spite of throwing three interceptions against the Dolphins in Week 14. Mahomes’ odds did fade from -463 to -217 as a result, while Aaron Rodgers’ odds improved from +381 to +158. Josh Allen has the third-best odds at a distant +2733.
  • [December 8] Josh Allen threw for 375 yards and four touchdowns on Monday Night Football of Week 13, leading the Bills to a 34-24 win over the 49ers. Allen’s NFL MVP odds improved from +3400 to +1350, the third-best odds behind Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers, as a result. On the other hand, Kyler Murray has completely fallen out of the race after Arizona lost their fourth game in the last five.
  • [December 3] Russell Wilson has seen his odds continue to fade, now reaching an average of +638, third-best behind Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers. This is the first time he hasn’t been among the top two contenders since Week 3.
  • [November 24] Patrick Mahomes has become the odds-on favorite to win NFL MVP after leading the Chiefs to a win over the Raiders on Sunday Night Football of Week 11; Russell Wilson’s MVP odds faded from +245 to +319 in spite of a pretty good performance against the Cardinals.
  • [November 17] For the first time since Week 3, Russell Wilson is no longer the favorite to win NFL MVP; The Seahawks’ QB threw two more interceptions in Week 10 against the Rams and his team has now dropped three of their last four. Patrick Mahomes, the only other player to be favored at any point this year, is back to being atop the odds board.
  • [November 10] Russell Wilson remains the MVP favorite despite a turnover-filled performance in Week 9; Josh Allen re-entered the top five contenders after his odds improved from +2975 to +1538; Tom Brady’s odds took a huge hit after an awful game against the Saints, seeing his odds worsen from +988 to +2750.
  • [November 3] Lamar Jackson’s NFL MVP odds have plummeted from +1725 to +4325 after a turnover-filled loss to the Steelers in Week 8.
  • [October 27] Russell Wilson is still favored to win NFL MVP after throwing three interceptions in a loss to Arizona, but he’s no longer the odds-on favorite. Tom Brady’s odds improved from +2625 to +1175, the fourth-best odds, after Week 7.
  • [October 20] The mediocre/poor play in Week 6 from many top contenders – Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers, Josh Allen – has resulted in Russell Wilson becoming the odds-on favorite to win NFL MVP while on bye; Ryan Tannehill has finally cracked the top ten contenders, as well.
  • [October 14] Russell Wilson is now even-money (+100 odds) to win 2020 NFL MVP following a Week 5 comeback victory against the Vikings.
  • [October 6] After a four touchdown performance, without Davante Adams or Allen Lazard in the lineup, Aaron Rodgers now has the second-best odds to win NFL MVP, only behind Russell Wilson.
  • [September 29] Lamar Jackson’s NFL MVP odds went from +563 to +1113, the fourth-best odds, after arguably the worst performance of his career in Week 3; Josh Allen’s odds continue to improve, now listed at +1350, the fifth-best odds.
  • [September 22] For the first time this season, Patrick Mahomes is not favored to win NFL MVP. The Seahawks have been letting Russell Wilson cook, and he’s now favored to win NFL MVP after Week 2.
  • [September 15] Tom Brady and Dak Prescott fell out of the top five contenders after Week 1, making room for Aaron Rodgers and Kyler Murray; the Packers QB saw his odds improve from +2425 to +1400 after torching the Vikings.
  • [September 9] Patrick Mahomes will enter the 2020 NFL season as the clear favorite to win NFL MVP; Carson Wentz has seen his average odds fade from +2000 to +2300 leading up to kickoff.
  • [August 19] As training camps open, Drew Lock’s MVP odds continue to improve, now reaching +4250 and cracking the top 20 contenders for the first time this season.
  • [June 29] Cam Newton’s average NFL MVP odds have moved from +8275 to +2750, the 11th-best in the league, after signing with the New England Patriots.
  • [June 11] As his contract negotiations continue, Dak Prescott’s MVP odds have steadily improved; after opening at +2000, he’s now listed at an average of +1200, the fourth-best in the NFL.
  • [April 28] Tom Brady’s MVP odds went from +2650 to +1350 (fourth-best in the league) with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers building around him; Deshaun Watson and Aaron Rodgers’ odds are tanking after their respective teams’ weak offseasons.
  • [March 17] After the Cardinals acquired DeAndre Hopkins, Kyler Murray’s MVP odds improved from +2000 to +1250; Jameis Winston’s likely departure from Tampa Bay has also resulted in his odds shortening from +6600 to +2500.
  • [February 10] Lamar Jackson’s odds improved slightly, closing the gap between he and Mahomes at the top.
  • [February 5] Patrick Mahomes has opened as the favorite to win the 2020 NFL MVP.

NFL MVP Odds

Player Odds to win 2020 NFL MVP
Aaron Rodgers (GB) -2000
Josh Allen (BUF) +900
Patrick Mahomes (KC) +1600
Derrick Henry (TEN) +5000
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) +10000
Tom Brady (TB) +25000
Davante Adams (GB) +30000
Russell Wilson (SEA) +50000

*Odds updated January 4

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Opening 2020 Odds vs 2019 Odds

NFL MVP Betting Trends

  • A quarterback has won each of the last seven NFL MVP awards
  • Since 2001, only three non-QBs have won the award – all were running backs
  • Since 2001, only one player has won NFL MVP without their respective team winning at least 11 games – Adrian Peterson’s Vikings won 10 games in 2012

Top Contenders by Position

Of the 62 NFL MVP awards handed out, 41.5 have gone to quarterbacks – Brett Favre and Barry Sanders shared the honors in 1997. Looking to the remaining 20.5, 17.5 of them were running backs, two were defensive players, and one was a placekicker.

  • Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) were the two defensive players to win the award
  • Mark Moseley (1982) was the lone kicker to win an MVP, after he nailed an NFL-high 20 field goal attempts – he attempted 21 – for Washington
  • Jim Brown won the first two MVP awards in 1957 and 1958
  • The most recent RB to be named MVP was Adrian Peterson in 2012
  • The NFL MVP has gone to a QB in his second season in the league each of the last two years

Odds For Previous Winners

The five players in this graph have accounted for each of the last five MVP awards. Tom Brady leads all active players with three MVPs, but still has some work to do in order to catch Peyton Manning, who holds the all-time record with five.

Last 10 NFL MVP Winners

Year NFL MVP Pos Team Record
2019 Lamar Jackson QB Ravens 14-2
2018 Patrick Mahomes QB Chiefs 12-4
2017 Tom Brady (3) QB Patriots 13-3
2016 Matt Ryan QB Falcons 11-5
2015 Cam Newton QB Panthers 15-1
2014 Aaron Rodgers (2) QB Packers 12-4
2013 Peyton Manning (5) QB Broncos 13-3
2012 Adrian Peterson RB Vikings 10-6
2011 Aaron Rodgers QB Packers 15-1
2010 Tom Brady (2) QB Patriots 14-2

Teams with Most NFL MVP Winners

NFL Team Number of MVP Winners Most Recent MVP Winner
Indianapolis Colts 8.5 Peyton Manning (2009)
Green Bay Packers 7.5 Aaron Rodgers (2014)
San Francisco 49ers 5 Steve Young (1994)
Cleveland Browns 4 Brian Sipe (1980)
Los Angeles Rams 4 Kurt Warner (2001)

The Colts had five MVP winners during their time in Baltimore – Johnny Unitas accounted for three – but Peyton Manning provided four more when they moved to Indianapolis.

You may be a little surprised to see Cleveland on here, but keep in mind the NFL MVP has been awarded since 1957. Jim Brown won the first two and added a third in 1965.

Thanks to the Greatest Show on Turf, the Rams are the only team to win the award in three consecutive seasons – Brett Favre won it for the Packers in three straight, but he shared the award in 1997 with Barry Sanders.

Teams with No NFL MVP Winners

Teams with no MVP Winners Notable Players with “MVP-Type” Seasons
Arizona Cardinals Larry Fitzgerald/Carson Palmer/Kurt Warner/Jake Plummer
Houston Texans Arian Foster/Andre Johnson/JJ Watt
Jacksonville Jaguars Mark Brunell/Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew
New Orleans Saints Drew Brees/Alvin Kamara
New York Jets Curtis Martin/Joe Namath
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Brad Johnson?

Patrick Mahomes was the first Kansas City Chief to ever win the NFL MVP award in 2018, and Lamar Jackson became the first ever Raven to win it in 2019.

The city of Baltimore did get to see five MVPs when they had the Colts, though.


Archived MVP Odds: 2019, 2018

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.