2024-25 NFL MVP Odds Tracker – Mahomes Favored Again
By Matt McEwan
Updated:
- NFL MVP odds for the 2024-25 NFL season are available at all major sports betting apps
- Patrick Mahomes is the favorite to win the NFL MVP
- Track the NFL MVP odds movement over the course of the season for all contenders
Since 1957, the Associated Press has been presenting a Most Valuable Player award to the NFL’s most deserving candidate – also read as the best quarterback in the league. The odds to win the 2024-25 NFL MVP have now opened as we head into the 2024-25 NFL season.
Check out the NFL MVP odds available at our most trusted sportsbooks below; the graphs show each player’s average odds to win NFL MVP.
NFL MVP Odds
Patrick Mahomes is back to being the NFL MVP favorite. Josh Allen’s time atop the board only lasted one week, as he saw his odds fade after being blow out by the Ravens in Week 3. While it was fair to expect a bit of a setback for Mahomes and the Chiefs offense after losing Rashee Rice, they continued to move the ball and put up points in Week 5 without their star WR. If Mahomes continues to put up numbers with an aging Travis Kelce and JuJu Smith-Schuster, his MVP odds are going to improve at an accelerated rate.
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It also shouldn’t be surprising to see a lengthy list of quarterbacks behind Mahomes in the NFL MVP odds.
Odds to Win 2024-25 NFL MVP
Player | Best Odds | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mahomes, Patrick | +360 BET NOW | +300 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +360 BET NOW | +300 BET NOW |
Jackson, Lamar | +550 BET NOW | +550 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +550 BET NOW | +550 BET NOW |
Stroud, Cj | +650 BET NOW | +600 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +650 BET NOW | +550 BET NOW |
Allen, Josh | +750 BET NOW | +700 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +475 BET NOW | +750 BET NOW |
Purdy, Brock | +1400 BET NOW | +1200 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +1400 BET NOW | +1000 BET NOW |
Daniels, Jayden | +1400 BET NOW | +1400 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +1100 BET NOW | +1300 BET NOW |
Darnold, Sam | +1700 BET NOW | +1600 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +1400 BET NOW | +1700 BET NOW |
Goff, Jared | +1800 BET NOW | +1800 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +1800 BET NOW | +1600 BET NOW |
Burrow, Joe | +2200 BET NOW | +2000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +1700 BET NOW | +2200 BET NOW |
Love, Jordan | +2200 BET NOW | +2000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +2200 BET NOW | +1800 BET NOW |
Mayfield, Baker | +3000 BET NOW | +3000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +3000 BET NOW | +2200 BET NOW |
Cousins, Kirk | +3000 BET NOW | +3000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +3000 BET NOW | +2900 BET NOW |
Hurts, Jalen | +3000 BET NOW | +3000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +2800 BET NOW | +2500 BET NOW |
Williams, Caleb | +5000 BET NOW | +5000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +5000 BET NOW | +5000 BET NOW |
Prescott, Dak | +5500 BET NOW | +5000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +3500 BET NOW | +5500 BET NOW |
Henry, Derrick | +6000 BET NOW | +5000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +6000 BET NOW | +6000 BET NOW |
Murray, Kyler | +6000 BET NOW | +5000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +3500 BET NOW | +6000 BET NOW |
Rodgers, Aaron | +8000 BET NOW | +8000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +5000 BET NOW | +4000 BET NOW |
Herbert, Justin | +10000 BET NOW | +8000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +10000 BET NOW | +7000 BET NOW |
Fields, Justin | +10000 BET NOW | +10000 BET NOW | - BET NOW | +7000 BET NOW | +8000 BET NOW |
Patrick Mahomes is the NFL MVP favorite with +330 odds. A $20 bet on the Chiefs QB would stand to win $66 and return $86. Mahomes’ probability to win the MVP, based on those odds, is 23.3%.
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- FANATICS SPORTSBOOK
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- DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK
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- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
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- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS + 2ND CHANCE TD CASH BACK!
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
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After Mahomes in the NFL MVP odds is Lamar Jackson (+650), CJ Stroud (+800), Josh Allen (+800), Jayden Daniels (+1100), Sam Darnold (+1300), Brock Purdy (+2000), Joe Burrow (+2500), Jared Goff (+2500), and Kyler Murray (+2800).
*NFL MVP odds above are updated every 1-2 hours from the top sportsbooks, including but not limited to DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM; if you’re not already registered with DraftKings, get the best DraftKings Sportsbook promo available when signing up.
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Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.
Here are some notes on the NFL MVP odds movement:
- [October 8] Josh Allen saw his MVP odds worsen significantly, going from +317 to +800, after he (and his WRs) struggled in Week 5 against the Texans. Jayden Daniels, on the other hand, is not only the odds-on favorite to win NFL OROY, but moved into the top five MVP contenders after Week 5. Daniels’ odds improved from +3800 to +1100 after embarrassing a once proud Browns defense.
- [Septemer 30] Josh Allen’s time as the NFL MVP favorite only lasted one week, as his odds faded after the Bills were blown out on SNF of Week 4 by the Ravens. Patrick Mahomes took back over as the favorite, in spite of his favorite target, Rashee Rice, potentially being lost for the season. Sam Darnold saw his odds continue to improve, landing at +1300 after Week 4, making him a top five contender.
- [September 23] After three straight weeks of dominating on the field, Josh Allen has taken over as the NFL MVP favorite following a Week 3 blowout of the Jaguars. The other player who saw major odds movement after Week 3 was Sam Darnold. The Vikings QB was getting +8367 odds coming into the week, but is now as short as +2800.
- [September 9] Josh Allen did it all for the Bills in Week 1, throwing for 232 yards and two touchdowns, while adding 39 yards on the ground and another two touchdowns. His NFL MVP odds have shortened after the outstanding performance, and DraftKings was even calling him the co-favorite alongside Patrick Mahomes on Sunday night. Joe Burrow, on the other hand, saw his odds fade from +975 to +1500. Jordan Love, who is expected to miss between 3-6 weeks after spraining his MCL, went from +1400 odds to +10000.
- [August 27] As bettors have gotten a good look at Jim Harbaugh’s run-heavy philosophy in the preseason, Justin Herbert’s NFL MVP odds have suffered. Herbert, a perennial top contender for the award, went from +2100 to +3000 in the weeks leading up to the regular season.
- [April 3] After the Texans acquired WR Stefon Diggs, CJ Stroud saw his NFL MVP odds improve from +1200 to as short as +950. That same move resulted in Josh Allen’s odds fading slightly from +760 to +829.
- [March 11] In spite of the new home with some quality weapons around him, Kirk Cousins’ NFL MVP odds didn’t really move after signing with Atlanta today. He remains between +3500 and +4000 to win the award. The same goes for Russell Wilson after signing with the Steelers. He is a longshot between 100-1 and 150-1.
- [February 9] NFL MVP odds for the 2024-25 season opened before the previous season finished, and Patrick Mahomes has began the season as the MVP favorite. He just edged out Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, and Lamar Jackson. Some quarterbacks have opened with vastly different odds this season than they did last year. Here are a few examples: CJ Stroud at +1400 thsi year versus +15000 last year (understandable with him being a rookie, though), Deshaun Watson at +4500 versus +2650, Jared Goff at +2000 versus +4250, Jordan Love at +1200 versus +4000, and Russell Wilson at +10000 versus +4250.
NFL MVP Betting Trends
- A quarterback has won each of the last 11 NFL MVP awards
- Since 2001, only three non-QBs have won the award – all were running backs
- Since 2001, only one player has won NFL MVP without their respective team winning at least 11 games – Adrian Peterson’s Vikings won 10 games in 2012
Top Contenders by Position
Of the 67 NFL MVP awards handed out, 46.5 have gone to quarterbacks – Brett Favre and Barry Sanders shared the honors in 1997. Looking to the remaining 20.5, 17.5 of them were running backs, two were defensive players, and one was a placekicker.
- Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) were the two defensive players to win the award
- Mark Moseley (1982) was the lone kicker to win an MVP, after he nailed an NFL-high 20 field goal attempts – he attempted 21 – for Washington
- Jim Brown won the first two MVP awards in 1957 and 1958
- The most recent RB to be named MVP was Adrian Peterson in 2012
Odds For Previous NFL MVP Winners
Aaron Rodgers leads all active players with four NFL MVPs. Rodgers still trails Peyton Manning, who holds the all-time record with five.
Last 10 NFL MVP Winners
Year | NFL MVP | Pos | Team | Record |
---|---|---|---|---|
2023 | Lamar Jackson (2) | QB | Ravens | 13-4 |
2022 | Patrick Mahomes (2) | QB | Chiefs | 14-3 |
2021 | Aaron Rodgers (4) | QB | Packers | 13-4 |
2020 | Aaron Rodgers (3) | QB | Packers | 13-3 |
2019 | Lamar Jackson | QB | Ravens | 14-2 |
2018 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Chiefs | 12-4 |
2017 | Tom Brady (3) | QB | Patriots | 13-3 |
2016 | Matt Ryan | QB | Falcons | 11-5 |
2015 | Cam Newton | QB | Panthers | 15-1 |
2014 | Aaron Rodgers (2) | QB | Packers | 12-4 |
Lamar Jackson won the 2023-24 NFL MVP after an incredible season where his Ravens entered the playoffs as the AFC’s #1 seed. Each of the last 11 NFL MVP awards have now gone to a quarterback. Adrian Peterson was the last non-QB to win the award, when he took home the honor in 2012.
Teams with Most NFL MVP Winners
NFL Team | Number of MVP Winners | Most Recent MVP Winner |
---|---|---|
Green Bay Packers | 9.5 | Aaron Rodgers (2021) |
Indianapolis Colts | 8.5 | Peyton Manning (2009) |
San Francisco 49ers | 5 | Steve Young (1994) |
Cleveland Browns | 4 | Brian Sipe (1980) |
Los Angeles Rams | 4 | Kurt Warner (2001) |
Thanks to Aaron Rodgers’ most recent NFL MVP award, the Packers have taken over as the team with the most NFL MVPs. The Colts had five MVP winners during their time in Baltimore – Johnny Unitas accounted for three – but Peyton Manning provided four more when they moved to Indianapolis.
You may be a little surprised to see Cleveland on here, but keep in mind the NFL MVP has been awarded since 1957. Jim Brown won the first two and added a third in 1965.
Thanks to the Greatest Show on Turf, the Rams are the only team to win the award in three consecutive seasons – Brett Favre won it for the Packers in three straight, but he shared the award in 1997 with Barry Sanders.
Teams with No NFL MVP Winners
Teams with no MVP Winners | Notable Players with “MVP-Type” Seasons |
---|---|
Arizona Cardinals | Larry Fitzgerald/Carson Palmer/Kurt Warner/Jake Plummer |
Houston Texans | Arian Foster/Andre Johnson/JJ Watt |
Jacksonville Jaguars | Mark Brunell/Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew |
New Orleans Saints | Drew Brees/Alvin Kamara |
New York Jets | Curtis Martin/Joe Namath |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Brad Johnson(?)/Tom Brady |
Patrick Mahomes was the first Kansas City Chief to ever win the NFL MVP award in 2018, and Lamar Jackson became the first ever Raven to win it in 2019.
The city of Baltimore did get to see five MVPs when they had the Colts, though.
Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert
With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.