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  • Get the latest 2022 NFL MVP odds
  • Patrick Mahomes is currently the favorite to win NFL MVP
  • Track the NFL MVP odds movement over the course of the season for all contenders

Since 1957, the Associated Press has been presenting a Most Valuable Player award to the NFL’s most deserving candidate – also read as the best quarterback in the league. The odds to win the 2022 NFL MVP are now widely available as we head into the offseason ahead of the 2022-23 NFL season.

Can Aaron Rodgers win a third straight NFL MVP? Or will one of the younger talents at the quarterback have their turn this season? Check out the odds available at our most trusted sportsbooks below; the graphs show each player’s average odds to win NFL MVP.

NFL MVP Odds

Even with Aaron Rodgers’ future with the Packers being very uncertain entering March, sportsbooks obviously didn’t feel a change of scenery, or another birthday, for the back-to-back NFL MVP would be detrimental at all. Rodgers still opened as a top three contender to win the 2022 NFL MVP award based on the opening odds. His odds did not change much after he announced he would be returning to the Packers. They have faded since Green Bay traded away Davante Adams, though.

Younger quarterbacks have taken over the top of the odds board, as Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, and Tua Tagovailoa are the top six contenders.

Odds to Win 2022-23 NFL MVP

Player Odds to Win NFL MVP
Patrick Mahomes (KC) -190
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) +550
Jalen Hurts (PHI) +650
Josh Allen (BUF) +800
Joe Burrow (CIN) +2200
Lamar Jackson (BAL) +2500
Tom Brady (TB) +5000
Kirk Cousins (MIN) +6000
Tyreek Hill (MIA) +6000
Geno Smith (SEA) +6000
Justin Herbert (LAC) +10000
Justin Jefferson (MIN) +10000
Derrick Henry (TEN) +12500
Micah Parsons (DAL) +15000
Jimmy Garoppolo (SF) +20000
Dak Prescott (DAL) +25000
Aaron Rodgers (GB) +25000
Christian McCaffrey (SF) +25000
Kyler Murray (ARI) +25000
Saquon Barkley (NYG) +25000

*Odds updated November 25 from Caesars Sportsbook; if you’re not already registered, get the best Caesars Sportsbook promo available when signing up.

Patrick Mahomes is currently the favorite to win the 2022 NFL MVP with -190 odds. If you bet $50 on him to win the award at -190 odds, you’d win $26.50 and return $76.50.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Here are some notes on the NFL MVP odds movement:

  • [November 20] Patrick Mahomes led his Chiefs to another big win over the Chargers in Week 11, throwing for 329 yards and three touchdowns. The Chiefs QB has become the odds-on favorite to win NFL MVP after another great performance. Mahomes’ odds improved from +120 to -110.
  • [November 14] After throwing two costly interceptions in the Bills loss to the Vikings in Week 10, Josh Allen has fallen out of the top tier of NFL MVP contenders. Allen’s odds faded from +275 to +500. After Philadelphia suffered their first loss of the season, Jalen Hurts saw his odds fade from +280 to +600.
  • [November 7] Josh Allen remained the favorite to win NFL MVP after losing to the Jets in Week 9. His odds faded from +125 to +225. HOWEVER, as concern continued to grow on Monday over the elbow injury Allen suffered against the Jets, Mahomes has swooped in as the new favorite with +200 odds. Geno Smith’s odds took a major leap after Week 9, going from +10000 to +2500, tying the Seahawks QB for the sixth-best odds to win the award.
  • [October 31] Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes, and Josh Allen all have better than 4-1 odds to win NFL MVP after Week 8. Allen is the favorite at +125.
  • [October 16] Josh Allen’s NFL MVP odds have improved from +200 to +125 after he led the Bills to a big victory in Kansas City. Mahomes’ odds faded from +450 to +550 with the loss to Allen’s Bills, and falls back to third as Jalen Hurts now has the second-best odds to win the award.
  • [September 29] Tua Tagovailoa’s NFL MVP odds have been removed from the board following his scary head injury during Thursday Night Football of Week 4. Tagovailoa’s odds were +1400 entering the game.
  • [September 25] Although his team lost in Week 3, Josh Allen remains the favorite to win NFL MVP. Allen’s odds did not budge from the +300 they were listed at entering the weekend. Lamar Jackson’s NFL MVP odds improved from +1200 to +700 after another big game.
  • [September 20] Josh Allen is back to being the favorite to win NFL MVP at all sportsbooks, moving from +450 to +300 after lighting up the Titans for 317 yards and four touchdowns. Jalen Hurts now has the third-best NFL MVP odds, as he improved from +1400 to +800 after an extremely impressive showing against the Vikings.
  • [September 19] After a wild fourth quarter comeback against the Ravens that saw Tua Tagovailoa throw for 469 yards and six touchdowns, the Dolphins QB has seen his NFL MVP odds improve from +4000 to +1800, which are tied for the seventh-best odds on the board.
  • [September 12] The NFL MVP odds are very different depending on which sportsbook you are looking at. Caesars Sportsbook and Barstool Sportsbook both list Patrick Mahomes as their favorite, with Barstool having the Chiefs QB as short as +300 following his five touchdowns against the Cardinals. BetMGM, DraftKings, and FanDuel all have kept Josh Allen as their favorite. Jalen Hurts has also vaulted himself into the top five contenders after throwing for 243 yards and adding another 90 on the ground. Matthew Stafford, Aaron Rodgers, and Russell Wilson, on the other hand, saw their NFL MVP odds plummet following awful Week 1 showings – Wilson didn’t play horrible, but his Broncos were upset by the Seahawks.
  • [September 7] Looking to the aggregate NFL MVP odds, Justin Herbert has jumped Aaron Rodgers for the fourth-best odds on the board. Tua Tagovailoa, Kirk Cousins, and Trey Lance have all seen their odds to win NFL MVP improve ahead of kickoff as well. Lance has gone from +3500 to +2750.
  • [July 26] Josh Allen is the new favorite to win 2022-23 NFL MVP. Allen has taken over for Mahomes after the Chiefs QB saw his favorite target get traded to the Dolphins, and other AFC West teams really improve their rosters this offseason. Jalen Hurts has seen his MVP odds improve significantly, from +5000 to +3000, with the Eagles adding AJ Brown.
  • [March 23] In spite of losing his best receiver, as Kansas City traded Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins, Patrick Mahomes’ NFL MVP odds have not moved yet at Caesars Sportsbook. Mahomes remains the favorite at +750. However, FanDuel now lists Mahomes and Josh Allen as the co-favorites, and DraftKings has Allen as the favorite. You can get Mahomes at +800 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook App if you don’t believe the loss of Hill will slow the QB down.
  • [March 18] Deshaun Watson’s NFL MVP odds have improved further to +2000 after the QB has chosen to waive his no-trade clause to be dealt to the Cleveland Browns. Aaron Rodgers’ MVP odds have daded from +800 to +1000 after his Packers traded away his favorite receiver, Davante Adams. Derek Carr has not seen any movement resulting from the Adams trade, though.
  • [March 14] Tom Brady announced he will forego retirement and return to the Buccaneers for the 2022-23 NFL season on Sunday night. Even in retirement, sportsbooks left Brady on the board for NFL MVP odds, but at a lengthy +4500. He is now listed at just +900, tied for the third-best, in the odds to win NFL MVP. Russell Wilson’s MVP odds have continued to improve as well since he was traded to the Broncos. Wilson’s odds have improved from +3000 to +1500, making him a top seven contender. Deshaun Watson, who had all criminal charges dropped late last week, is now given +2500 odds to win MVP.
  • [February 16] Online sportsbook apps have begun opening their 2022 NFL MVP odds. Caesars Sportsbook has opened with Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers listed as the co-favorites at +700 odds. However, Barstool Sportsbook has opened Josh Allen as the favorite at +500 odds. This is in line with Barstool also having the Bills listed as the favorites in their Super Bowl odds. Taking the average across the sportsbooks with NFL MVP odds available, Patrick Mahomes is considered the favorite. Oddly enough, Tom Brady has been given +4500 odds to win the 2022 NFL MVP, despite announcing his retirement. He has better odds than a number of active quarterbacks, including: Baker Mayfield, Kirk Cousins, and Carson Wentz.

NFL MVP Betting Trends

  • A quarterback has won each of the last nine NFL MVP awards
  • Since 2001, only three non-QBs have won the award – all were running backs
  • Since 2001, only one player has won NFL MVP without their respective team winning at least 11 games – Adrian Peterson’s Vikings won 10 games in 2012

Top Contenders by Position

Of the 65 NFL MVP awards handed out, 44.5 have gone to quarterbacks – Brett Favre and Barry Sanders shared the honors in 1997. Looking to the remaining 20.5, 17.5 of them were running backs, two were defensive players, and one was a placekicker.

  • Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) were the two defensive players to win the award
  • Mark Moseley (1982) was the lone kicker to win an MVP, after he nailed an NFL-high 20 field goal attempts – he attempted 21 – for Washington
  • Jim Brown won the first two MVP awards in 1957 and 1958
  • The most recent RB to be named MVP was Adrian Peterson in 2012
  • The NFL MVP has gone to a QB in his second season in the league two of the last four years

Odds For Previous NFL MVP Winners

The six players in this graph have accounted for each of the last eight MVP awards. Aaron Rodgers leads all active players with four NFL MVPs, and Tom Brady is just behind him at three—although Tom Brady is retired for now—but Rodgers still trails Peyton Manning, who holds the all-time record with five.

Last 10 NFL MVP Winners

Year NFL MVP Pos Team Record
2021 Aaron Rodgers (4) QB Packers 13-4
2020 Aaron Rodgers (3) QB Packers 13-3
2019 Lamar Jackson QB Ravens 14-2
2018 Patrick Mahomes QB Chiefs 12-4
2017 Tom Brady (3) QB Patriots 13-3
2016 Matt Ryan QB Falcons 11-5
2015 Cam Newton QB Panthers 15-1
2014 Aaron Rodgers (2) QB Packers 12-4
2013 Peyton Manning (5) QB Broncos 13-3
2012 Adrian Peterson RB Vikings 10-6

Aaron Rodgers has won the NFL MVP in each of the last two seasons. Each of the last nine NFL MVP awards have now gone to a quarterback.

Teams with Most NFL MVP Winners

NFL Team Number of MVP Winners Most Recent MVP Winner
Green Bay Packers 9.5 Aaron Rodgers (2021)
Indianapolis Colts 8.5 Peyton Manning (2009)
San Francisco 49ers 5 Steve Young (1994)
Cleveland Browns 4 Brian Sipe (1980)
Los Angeles Rams 4 Kurt Warner (2001)

Thanks to Aaron Rodgers’ most recent NFL MVP award, the Packers have taken over as the team with the most NFL MVPs. The Colts had five MVP winners during their time in Baltimore – Johnny Unitas accounted for three – but Peyton Manning provided four more when they moved to Indianapolis.

You may be a little surprised to see Cleveland on here, but keep in mind the NFL MVP has been awarded since 1957. Jim Brown won the first two and added a third in 1965.

Thanks to the Greatest Show on Turf, the Rams are the only team to win the award in three consecutive seasons – Brett Favre won it for the Packers in three straight, but he shared the award in 1997 with Barry Sanders.

Teams with No NFL MVP Winners

Teams with no MVP Winners Notable Players with “MVP-Type” Seasons
Arizona Cardinals Larry Fitzgerald/Carson Palmer/Kurt Warner/Jake Plummer
Houston Texans Arian Foster/Andre Johnson/JJ Watt
Jacksonville Jaguars Mark Brunell/Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew
New Orleans Saints Drew Brees/Alvin Kamara
New York Jets Curtis Martin/Joe Namath
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Brad Johnson?

Patrick Mahomes was the first Kansas City Chief to ever win the NFL MVP award in 2018, and Lamar Jackson became the first ever Raven to win it in 2019.

The city of Baltimore did get to see five MVPs when they had the Colts, though.


Archived MVP Odds: 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.