- Chase Daniel replaced an injured Mitch Trubisky in Week 4 and led the Bears to a 16-6 win
- Now Chicago travels across the pond to play the Oakland Raiders in London
- With Daniel under center, can the Bears passing game finally take a step forward?
As a Chicago Bears fan who watched his starting quarterback go down on the first series last weekend, I’ve got to tell you, panic was not my first thought. Nor was sadness. My first thought was that of many Windy City fans, this might be an improvement.
Chase Daniel doesn’t have the talent of Mitch Trubisky, his peak play falls short of Trubisky’s.
But nobody has seen peak Trubisky since what seems like last November, so Bears fans were just thrilled to see a QB that can manage Matt Nagy’s offense with some competence.
How will that game manager fair this weekend? Well, there’s odds for that.
Chase Daniel Week 5 Prop Bets
|Prop||O/U Total||Over Odds||Under Odds|
|Chase Daniel Total Passing TDs Week 5||1.5||+150||-200|
|Chase Daniel Total Passing Yards Week 5||237.5||-115||-115|
*All odds taken 10/02/19
Will Daniel actually put up decent numbers this weekend or will his production fall in line with Trubisky’s?
Can Daniel Hit the Open Man?
Since arriving in Chicago, the Bears offense has had actual success under Nagy, finishing top ten in points for last season for the first time since 2013.
Part of that is the defense often giving them a short field. But a lot of that has to do with Nagy’s playcalling and ability to scheme open receivers.
The reason Trubisky has been such a disappointment this season, is he’s not connecting on these open throws. As a result, there was a noticeable improvement in the Bears passing attack last week.
Trubisky vs Daniel in 2019
|193||Yards per Game||195|
|1||Touchdowns per Game||1|
|0.7||Interceptions per Game||0|
Last year in two games of spot start duty, Daniel went 1-1, throwing for 3 TDs, 2 INTs and averaging over 250 passing yards a game. Nagy trusted him to run the entire offense, attempting over 35 passes in both games. Which is good news given their opponent this week.
Air Raiding the Raiders
It’s almost performance art: ever since the Oakland Raiders traded Khalil Mack to these very Bears, their pass rush has been lackluster and the head coach acts like he has no idea why.
Khalil Mack has 82 QB pressures on 558 pass rushes since his trade to the Bears (14.7%)
The Raiders have 80 QB pressures on 523 pass rushes since the start of last season when they do not blitz (15.3%)
— NFL Research (@NFLResearch) October 1, 2019
Without any push up front, the Raiders are a bottom ten defense through the air, giving up eight yards per pass attempt.
They have been strong against the run though (if you discount the game where Dalvin Cook ran all over them). With Chicago not really showing much of a rushing attack themselves through the first quarter of the season, it does look like they’ll leave it up to Daniel to keep the chains moving.
— NFL (@NFL) September 29, 2019
Considering I like the Bears to win this game, or shockingly fall behind like the Colts did last week, either way, Daniel throwing for a lot of yards looks to be the play.
As for touchdowns, I’ll also take the over. They may not look impressive: they may end up being gimmicky little shovel passes to a tight end up the gut. But I’m confident when the Bears’ games ends, Daniel will have a two in that column.
Let's have fun and keep it civil.