- The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Los Angeles Chargers at the Aztec Stadium in Mexico City on Monday Night Football of Week 12
- Nick Mangold went 1-1 on his Week 10 props, bringing his record to 12-8 (+2.76 units); he’s 17-14 overall (+5.35 units)
- See which player props the seven-time Pro Bowl center is betting tonight
Last week’s 1-1 performance was another tough one to swallow. Emmanuel Sanders, who I had going over 65.5 receiving yards, left the game with an injury early in the second quarter. The Niners receiver even had 24 yards before leaving.
Fortunately, I still managed to squeak out the over on Jimmy Garoppolo’s passing yards.
This week we’ve got the Chiefs taking on the Chargers in Mexico City, where a lot of offense is expected, as the total is set at 53. Here’s the two player props I’m betting tonight:
Prop #1: Philip Rivers Passing Yards
|Philip Rivers Passing Yards||Odds|
Odds taken Nov. 18, 2019
Heading into any Kansas City Chiefs game, most of the attention is going to be on Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ explosive offense. And that’s deserved. But I’m focusing on the other offense in this game tonight, mainly because KC’s defense is a mess.
The Chiefs may rank ninth against the pass, but three of their opponents are to thank for that: the Colts, Broncos, and Titans. For different reasons, those three combined for 431 passing yards against KC. Any time they’ve played in a close game, against a good quarterback, they’ve given up yards through the air.
Philip Rivers has surpassed 280 yards in seven of his ten starts this season, and I see him doing it again in a high-scoring affair tonight.
Prop #2: Melvin Gordon Rushing Yards
|Melvin Gordon Rushing Yards||Odds|
Taking to the air won’t be the only way the Chargers will be moving the ball tonight, either. Kansas City ranks 30th against the run and allow the second-most yards per carry in the league (5.1).
Since LA fired Ken Whisenhunt and replaced him with Shane Steichen, Melvin Gordon has received 42 carries in two games. He’s turned those touches into 188 rushing yards, surpassing 76 yards in each.
Establishing a ground game to try and keep Mahomes on the sideline for longer periods is going to be a strategy Los Angeles employs tonight. Gordon should have no problem reaching 77 rushing yards against this soft Chiefs defense.
Let's have fun and keep it civil.