Closing Odds & Picks for Packers vs Bears

• Check out the closing odds and picks for Packers vs Bears tonight
• My Packers vs Packers prediction factors in several key injuries, including Micah Parsons
• Keep reading for updated Packers vs Bears closing odds, predictions and picks for Saturday NFL

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The Chicago Bears (10-4-0, 5-1 home) will both be chasing down the top seed in the NFC, while also trying to hold off the Green Bay Packers (9-4-1, 4-2-1 road) when the two teams clash in a Saturday night special.

Chicago, who start the day a game back of front-running Seattle at the top of the conference, are slight favorites to keep pace with a win over their longtime NFC North rivals in the NFL odds.

Kickoff is set for 8:20pm ET from Soldier Field in Chicago, with FOX carrying the broadcast.

Packers vs Bears Picks & Prediction

It’s the second time in three weeks these teams will collide, but there’s a major difference this time around.

Green Bay edge rusher Micah Parsons (knee) will miss the game after tearing his ACL in Green Bay’s loss to the Denver Broncos in Week 15, and that changes up the complexion greatly.

While Caleb Williams was sacked just one time in the Pack’s 28-21 win at Lambeau, the second-year pivot was kept off balance through much of the contest, particularly because of the gravity surrounding Parsons’ game-wrecking ability.

Micah Parsons #packers

Left knee buckles and falls into valgus. Primary concern is an ACL tear. Really hoping that I’m wrong. pic.twitter.com/M3EiU95ujF

— Tom Christ, PT, DPT, OCS, FAAOMPT (@FantasyInjuryT) December 14, 2025

Green Bay was able to pressure Williams 18 times, while facing a pressure rate of 41%. Only Williams’ ability to create off script and slither out of a sleek pass rush kept the game close.

Without Parsons, you would think that the Bears should be able to do a little bit more offensively, with offensive guru Ben Johnson not having to worry about keeping so many extra bodies in to keep his QB upright.

The Bears are not without their challenges, though, either, as Williams could be down a bevy of his skill guys.

Receivers Rome Odunze (foot) and Luterh Burden III (ankle) didn’t practice all week and have already been ruled out, while tight end Cole Kmet (ankle, knee) and running back D’Andre Swift (groin) are listed as questionable.

If they are to keep up with Jordan Love and the Packers, their defense might be the best way to help in the matter.

Chicago is coming off a 3-interception game in a 31-3 romp at home against the Cleveland Browns, and they have now forced 30 turnovers this season, and have an NFL-best plus-20 turnover differential.

HOW DID CALEB WILLIAMS AND DJ MOORE SCORE THIS TD

CLEvsCHI on FOX/FOX Onehttps://t.co/HkKw7uXVnt pic.twitter.com/Yy3veFPBZh

— NFL (@NFL) December 14, 2025

In addition to Parsons being sidelined, Green Bay might also be without running back Josh Jacobs (knee). The team leader, with 890 rush yards and 13 touchdowns, has not practiced all week. That list of questionables also includes receivers Christian Watson (chest/shoulder) and Dontayvion Wicks (ankle).

Still, even with all that attrition, my Packers vs Bears instinct is to take the Over.

Both teams are Top 10 in scoring in the NFL, and so long as Love has Matt LaFleur scheming up the offense and Williams has Johnson guiding him through a game, the actual pieces might not matter so much as the execution in the design of each play.

Green Bay has seen the Over cash in three straight, and the Over has hit in four of the last six head-to-head matchups between these teams. With so much at stake, look for both teams to leave it all out on the field Saturday.

Packers vs Bears Closing Lines

Kickoff is about three hours away, and the books have the Bears as slight -118 favorites on the moneyline at DraftKings, while bet365 has them down to a 1-point favorite at -110 odds.

Green Bay has +100 odds to win outright, while you can find an extra half point if you’re interested in them covering, courtesy again with the folks at DraftKings.

The total has a little flex, finding advantages for both sides. If you want an Under wager, FanDuel has set the score at 45.5 points. Over bettors can find better, like a full point better at Draftkings, at 44.5 points if taking the Over is your best bet.

The interactive table above will automatically update as the NFL betting odds move over the course of the day.

GB Packers vs CHI Bears Line Movement

Nothing seismic, but today’s spread has fluctuated inside the 1.0-2.0 point range in the leadup to Packers vs Bears, with Green Bay as long as a 2-point underdog. Remember, on Sunday morning last week, prior to Packers vs Broncos and Parsons’ injury, Green Bay was a 3.5-point favorite over Chicago.

The Pack have alternated between underdog and favorite on the moneyline daily. This morning, bet365 had them as -105 favrorites, but have now settled them in at +100. You can find the Bears roughly around -120 favorites on the moneyline.

“Biggest Bears vs Packers game in years”

Son we just tryna come out of this one alive ✌️😭 pic.twitter.com/uZGLY8eAO1

— Freeze (@freezesports1) December 20, 2025

This might be the most even set of NFL public betting percentages we’ll see this year, with neither team touching 60% of the bets or the money.

Chicago, as -118 favorites, is getting 59% of the money and 52% of the best, while the Pack have 54% of the bets at the 1.5-point spread, including 58% of the money.

The most significant variance is on the total, where 68% of the money is on the Over of 44.5 points, which has 58% of the total bets as well. , where 81% of bettors are taking the Steelers at -170 odds, a wager getting 64% of the money.

GB vs CHI Betting Trends

• Green Bay 11-2-0 against the spread vs the Bears in the LaFleur era, with a 6-0 road record
• The Packers have cashed the Over in six straight road games
• Chicago is 9-3-0 ATS in their last 12 games
• The Packers have won 14 of their last 15 road games against the Bears
• The Bears have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven December vs NFC North opponents