Cowboys vs Eagles Odds, Picks, Predictions & Props for TNF

• The reigning champion Philadelphia Eagles are 8.5-point home favorites over the Dallas Cowboys in the NFL’s season opener
• Philadelphia RB Saquon Barkley could feast on a Dallas run defense that ranked near the bottom of the league last season
• See the latest Cowboys vs Eagles odds and player props, plus my AI-powered Cowboys/Eagles picks

The NFL season kicks off with a bang as the reigning champion Philadelphia Eagles (18-3 SU, 14-7 ATS, 10-11 O/U in 2024 including postseason) host the Dallas Cowboys (7-10 SU, 7-10 ATS, 11-6 O/U in 2024) in a marquee NFC East showdown at Lincoln Financial Field on Thursday Night Football (8:10 pm ET).

The atmosphere will be electric as the Eagles unveil their Super Bowl banner before a national audience, setting the stage for a high-stakes divisional battle right out of the gate. The Eagles outscored the Cowboys a ludicrous 75-13 in their two games last season, and are sizeable favorites to run their win streak against Dallas to three.

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Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles Odds

The Eagles are 8.5-point home favorites and a short -425 on the moneyline in the latest NFL odds. The Cowboys come back as +320 road underdogs. After removing the juice, the moneyline prices give Philadelphia a 77.2% win probability, leaving the remaining 22.8% for Dallas. The game total is sitting at 47.5 with -110 odds each way.

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The reigning-champion Eagles (+750) will start the season as narrow second-favorites to the Baltimore Ravens (+700) in the Super Bowl 60 odds.

DAL vs PHI Odds Movement

The betting line has seen significant movement in favor of the Eagles. After opening at -7, the spread has been bet up to -8.5, indicating that early and heavy money has backed the home team. This 1.5-point shift is substantial and likely reflects several factors: Philadelphia’s dominant home-field advantage, the emotional energy of their banner night, and major questions about a Dallas defense that traded away its top pass rusher in the offseason.

The total has also ticked up a full point from 46.5 to 47.5. This suggests bettors anticipate a high-scoring affair, a common theme in recent Cowboys-Eagles matchups. The over is 4-1 in the Cowboys’ last five road games as an underdog.

Dallas vs Philadelphia Betting Trends

The Eagles have been a dominant force at home recently, winning their last ten games at Lincoln Financial Field. They’re also 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. They boasted one of the best NFL ATS records overall last season, going 14-7 against the number including the playoffs.

The total of 47.5 points reflects the offensive firepower on both sides and a leaky Dallas defense in 2024. The over has hit in six of the last eight meetings between these two NFC East rivals.

Key Matchups to Watch in Cowboys vs Eagles

This matchup is defined by Philadelphia’s power in the trenches and the questions surrounding a Dallas defense that underwent a significant identity shift in the offseason.

Running Game vs Run Defense

This is the most significant mismatch of the game. The Philadelphia Eagles feature a ground-and-pound attack led by Saquon Barkley, who was the 2024 Offensive Player of the Year. They face a Dallas Cowboys run defense that was a major liability last season and is now coordinated by Matt Eberflus, a coach whose units historically struggle to stop the run.

The Eagles’ offensive line, widely considered the best in the NFL, should be able to bulldoze through the Cowboys’ front, controlling the clock and setting up play-action.

Offensive Line vs Pass Rush

Philadelphia’s offensive line ranked #1 in both pass-block and run-block win rate last season. They are the engine of the team’s success and hold a massive advantage over a Dallas defensive line that is, at best, a giant question mark sans Micah Parsons.

The addition of Kenny Clark helps the interior, but the Cowboys will struggle to generate consistent pressure on Hurts. Conversely, the Cowboys’ offensive line is solid but will have its hands full with the Eagles’ deep and talented pass rush, which recorded 41 sacks last season.

Quarterback vs Pass Defense

Jalen Hurts operates an offense that was top-five in EPA/play last season. His efficiency (103.7 passer rating) and mobility pose a significant challenge for a Dallas defense that no longer has an elite edge rusher to contain him. The Cowboys’ secondary, featuring Trevon Diggs and DaRon Bland, is opportunistic but will be stressed without a consistent pass rush.

For Dallas, Dak Prescott (86.0 rating in eight games last season) faces a formidable Philly defense that allowed the fewest passing yards per game (174.2) in 2024. If Philadelphia’s front seven can generate pressure, Prescott’s tendency to turn the ball over could become a deciding factor.

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DAL Cowboys vs PHI Eagles Player Props

NFL player props represent the consensus across sportsbooks on Sep. 3rd.

Jalen Hurts’ passing yardage prop is set at a modest 212.5 yards, which seems low but reflects the expectation that the Eagles will lean heavily on their dominant rushing attack. If Philadelphia builds an early lead, they won’t need Hurts to air it out. Dak Prescott’s line of 248.5 yards is more challenging. While he may be forced to throw often if the Cowboys are playing from behind, he’s facing the league’s top-ranked pass defense from a year ago.

Saquon Barkley’s rushing prop of 94.5 yards is the standout bet here. He’s facing a porous run defense behind an elite offensive line, a recipe for a massive day on the ground. For the Cowboys, CeeDee Lamb’s reception prop of 6.5 is intriguing; as their undisputed top weapon, he should see a heavy target share, especially if Dallas is in comeback mode.

Jalen Hurts’ anytime touchdown prop at -156 is heavily juiced but carries a high probability of hitting, thanks to Philadelphia’s unstoppable “Tush Push” in goal-line situations.

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles Picks & Prediction

• ATS: Philadelphia Eagles -8.5 (+100)
• Over/Under: Over 47.5 (-110)
• Best prop bet: Saquon Barkley over 94.5 rushing (-110)

Philadelphia possesses overwhelming advantages in the most critical areas of the game. The primary mismatch lies in the trenches, where Philadelphia’s top-ranked offensive line is set to dominate a Dallas defensive front that just lost its best player. This will allow the Eagles to unleash Saquon Barkley against a Cowboys run defense that was already a significant weakness last season. By establishing the run, Philadelphia can control the clock, dictate the pace of the game, and protect its own defense from being over-exposed.

Prescott would need to play a near-perfect game for Dallas to win, protecting the ball against a defense that thrives on takeaways. However, he has historically struggled when under pressure, and the Eagles have the personnel to disrupt the pocket even without blitzing. The Cowboys’ struggles on the road as underdogs are well-documented, as they are just 1-5 straight up in their last six games as an underdog of a touchdown or more. Conversely, the Eagles are an incredible 13-1 in their last 14 games as a favorite of 7+ points.

The combination of Philadelphia’s schematic advantages and home-field dominance is too much to ignore. Expect the Eagles to control the game from start to finish, with their ground game wearing down the Cowboys’ defense.

It would have been nice to get this line at PHI -7, but Eagles to cover is still the best ATS play.