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Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Public Betting and Money Percentages for Thursday Night Football Week 6

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Oct 12, 2023 · 9:12 AM PDT

The NFL public betting splits are loving the Chiefs over the Broncos.
Jan 1, 2023; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs running back Jerick McKinnon (1) scores a touchdown during the second half against the Denver Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
  • In the Broncos vs Chiefs NFL public betting and money percentages for their Week 6 TNF game, there’s 81% of spread handle backing Kansas City
  • The Chiefs are also getting 99% of moneyline splits action on both bets and handle
  • It’s the over on the total of 47 points that is pulling the majority of the people’s wagering in the Broncos vs Chiefs public betting

In the Broncos vs Chiefs public betting splits and money percentages for the Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Week 6 TNF game, the will of the people is reflecting the recent history in this AFC West rivalry.

Expectations are that it will be all Kansas City.

There’s more than eight out of every 10 wagers in terms of both bets and handle backing Kansas City to cover as 11-point home favorites in the Broncos vs Chiefs picks. Things are even more overwhelming in the moneyline splits. There, the public is massively supporting a Chiefs victory to the tune of 99% in both handle and bets.

The Chiefs are 15-0 straight up in the last 15 games against the Broncos.

Let’s take a gander at exactly how the NFL public betting is showing up in all areas for this Broncos vs Chiefs game. Before getting to that, how about a peek at the latest Denver vs Kansas City betting trends on the game as of Thursday morning?

Broncos vs Chiefs Betting Percentages

Team Spread ATS Handle% ATS Bet% Total Points O/U Handle% O/U Bet% Moneyline ML Handle% ML Bet%
Denver Broncos +11 19% 18% 47 62% 73% +455 1% 1%
Kansas City Chiefs -11 81% 82% 47 38% 27% -625 99% 99%

In the Broncos vs Chiefs odds, the Chiefs are -625 moneyline favorites, giving them a 86.21% implied win probability. Kickoff for this game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Thursday, October 12 is set for 8:15pm ET.

The broadcast is being carried by Prime Video and by DAZN in Canada.

Odds as of October 12 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to claim a DraftKings promo code new user to bet on Broncos vs Chiefs and other Week 6 NFL action.

Wide-Spread Support for Kansas City 

The public spread splits at the online NFL betting apps is showing immense backing for the Chiefs. Kansas City is getting 81% of handle and 82% of bets in this market.

This doesn’t jibe with recent outcomes against Denver. The Broncos are 3-0 against the spread in the last three meetings with Kansas City. They’ve covered in four of the past five games.

In NFL spreads, the 11 points KC is laying marks the fourth time since the 2020 season that the Chiefs were set as the double-digit chalk over Denver. In each of the three prior games in which the Chiefs were double-digit favorites over Denver, the Broncos also covered.

Overall, Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in the club’s last seven games. Denver is 0-5-1 ATS through the team’s past six games.

Moneyline Massively With Chiefs

Kansas City is perfect in the past 15 games against Denver and in the last seven home games facing the Broncos. Denver hasn’t won in KC since 2015. The Chiefs are as close to perfect as they could be in the public moneyline splits as well. Kansas City is garnering 99% of action in both handle and bets.

Against all opposition, the Chiefs are 12-1 straight up through the last 13 games. They’re 8-1 SU in the past nine home games. Denver is 1-4 SU in the last five games and 2-12 SU through the club’s last 14 road contests.

Low Total for KC Game Leads to Overwhelming Action

The 47-point total is marking the third time this season that the over/under on a Chiefs game is set at less than 50 points. Already, Kansas City has gone over in both of those games, so naturally there’s plenty of belief that the Chiefs will be going over again. If they do, surely some of their players should be worth targeting in the TNF Broncos vs Chiefs props.

There’s 62% of handle and 73% of bets backing the total to go over 47 points for this game. All five previous Denver games this season have been set with totals of 47.5 points or lower. The Broncos have hit the over in four of those five games.

In fact, the total has gone over in nine of Denver’s last 10 games. Head-to-head with Kansas City, the over has come in for each of the past three games and in four of the last six contests. However, six of the past nine Chiefs games have finished with the under as the winning choice on the total.

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