Detroit Lions vs Houston Texans Prediction, Pick & Odds for Sunday Night Football

• Our Detroit Lions vs Houston Texans prediction for Sunday Night Football is here
• The latest DET vs HOU odds favor the Lions by 3.5 points on the road
• Read below for Lions vs Texans prediction, odds, and expert picks

The Detroit Lions (7-1) will face off against the Houston Texans (6-3) on Sunday Night Football in a Week 10 matchup at NRG Stadium. Both teams are looking to make a statement and solidify their positions in the playoff race.

The Lions enter this game as road favorites, riding a six-game winning streak. However, the Texans are live home underdogs coming off a mini-bye and the return of star receiver Nico Collins.

Here is a look at our Lions vs Texans prediction, along with the betting lines for Sunday Night Football.

Detroit Lions vs Houston Texans Odds

The Lions vs Texans odds show Dan Campbell’s team as a 3.5-point favorite, meaning they need to win by four or more points to cover the spread. Detroit has a 65.5% implied win probability based on the moneyline odds.

Odds as of November 10, 2024, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Browse the top NFL betting apps for Sunday Night Football.

Lions Betting Analysis

The Lions are the darlings of the NFL, boasting a 7-1 record and riding a six-game winning streak. Detroit is playing its second consecutive road game and fourth in the last five weeks, which is a tough stretch for any team.

Detroit is also dealing with a significant injury, as star pass rusher Aidan Hutchinson is out for the season with a leg injury. This is simply a massive blow to their defense, as the Michigan product was leading the DPOY odds before the injury.

Aidan Hutchinson ranks this season

Ranks
Sacks 7.5 t-4th
QB Hits 17 t-2nd
Pressures 45 4th

He's played 5 games pic.twitter.com/gWlYSzuWUO

— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) November 7, 2024

Jared Goff has been the driving force of the Lions’ attack, leading the NFL with a 74.9% completion percentage and vaulting himself into the MVP conversation. As a whole, Detroit’s offense has been incredibly dominant, averaging 32.3 points per game.

The Lions have understandably been a popular public pick this season, going 7-1 ATS. However, this has inflated their lines, and regression may be looming. While I don’t hate them as a Super Bowl bet, I may look for spots to fade them against the number in the second half of the season.

If you’re betting the Lions, it’s likely because of their impressive ATS record under Dan Campbell (44-17 over the past three seasons). However, I have concerns with their defense and potential fatigue from a grueling road stretch.

Texans Betting Analysis

The Texans enter Week 10 well-rested after playing on Thursday Night Football in Week 9. Despite the loss to the Jets, there were positive takeaways, including the stellar play of running back Dameon Pierce.

Defensively, the Texans have one of the league’s best units, allowing just 4.8 yards per play. They have the personnel to slow down Detroit’s offense, especially if they can generate pressure on Goff.

The big news for Houston is the return of receiver Nico Collins, who was activated off injured reserve. Collins was the NFL’s leading receiver when he got hurt and provides a massive boost to the Texans’ passing attack.

Texans activate WR Nico Collins from IR. pic.twitter.com/3SWhd8WVWs

— NFL (@NFL) November 9, 2024

Collins will be catching passes from youngster C.J. Stroud, who has shown promise in his second season. The ex-OSU pivot has thrown for 2,139 yards with 11 touchdowns and four interceptions in year 2 thus far.

A key stat for my SNF prediction is that Houston is a perfect 4-0 at home in 2024. As home underdogs on Sunday Night Football, the Texans fit a profitable betting trend. Home dogs have historically performed well in standalone prime-time games, returning over 5% ROI.

The Texans started the season overvalued due to last year’s success. This led to a poor ATS record despite a solid 6-3 mark straight up. However, this has balanced out, and I believe there is now value in backing Houston as a home underdog against a popular public team.

Lions vs Texans Prediction

I’m going contrarian and backing the Texans +3.5 on Sunday night. Houston is undervalued in this spot as a quality home underdog against a Lions team that the public is overrating.

Detroit’s defense is a concern, and it could be exploited by a Texans offense that gets a boost with Nico Collins back. The Lions are also in a tough scheduling spot, playing their fourth road game in five weeks. Fatigue could be a factor.

It's almost that time‼️😤

🤘 | @reliantenergy pic.twitter.com/n3x2Wacnej

— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) November 10, 2024

Meanwhile, Houston has the rest advantage coming off a mini-bye. As home underdogs in prime time, I like their chances of keeping this within the number, if not winning outright. The Texans’ defense is legit and can slow down Goff and the Lions.

I’m rolling with the Texans +3.5 and sprinkling on their moneyline for Sunday Night Football. I believe Houston’s defense keeps them in it, and the Lions’ offense comes back down to earth a bit in a hostile road environment. Grab the points in what should be a close, hard-fought battle.

SNF Pick:

• Texans +3.5 (-108 at BetMGM)