Giants vs Cowboys Odds, Spread & Prediction for Thanksgiving

• The Cowboys are 3.5-point home favorites over the Giants on Thanksgiving
• New York is the NFL’s lowest scoring team
• Check out the Giants vs Cowboys odds, spread and prediction for MNF

The second game of Thursday’s NFL Thanksgiving tripleheader pits the 2-9 New York Giants versus the 4-7 Dallas Cowboys. Two of the most disappointing teams of the 2024 season, and each enters this contests riding ugly streaks. New York has dropped six straight overall, while the Cowboys have lost all five of their home games to date. Dallas did break its five-game losing streak last week in Washington, and online sportsbooks are expecting another victory per the latest football betting lines.

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys Odds

The Cowboys are currently favored by 3.5 points after opening as 4-point favorites. At the current number the spread action is completely one-sided, with Dallas drawing 78% of the wagers and 91% of the handle. Total-wise, a low scoring game is on deck. The over/under opened at 38.5, and has already been bet down to 37.5 according to the NFL public betting percentages. That makes it the lowest total of the Week 13 slate, and the only over/under below 40. 

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Kickoff for this NFC East rivalry game is set for 4:30 pm ET at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX, with FOX providing the broadcast coverage.

Home Not So Sweet for Cowboys

The Cowboys love on the spread is more of a fade of the Giants, rather than a confident backing of Dallas. Mike McCarthy’s team has been downright awful this season, and are one loss away from locking up the under on their NFL win total odds. They’ve been especially bad at home, where they haven’t won since December 30^th of last year.

As mentioned, they’ve dropped all five home contests so far, getting outscored 187 to 69. If you include last January’s home playoff loss to Green Bay, the Cowboys have been outscored 235 to 101 in their last six outings at Jerry’s World, which nets out to a -22 point differential per game.

Tom Brady finding out he has to give up his Thanksgiving to watch the Giants @ Cowboys. pic.twitter.com/CS6Ifii8gq

— William Johnson (@Blaydez_Cardz) November 25, 2024

Sure, it doesn’t help that Dak Prescott is on IR, but only two of those losses were started by backup Cooper Rush. Speaking of Rush, he popped up on the injury report early this week with a knee issue, but is expected to play.

Rush had arguably the best game of his NFL career last Sunday, throwing for 247 yards and 2 TD, in the win over the Commanders. He showed excellent command of the offense, effectively getting the ball into Dallas’ best playmakers.

Defensively, the Cowboys did an exceptional job shutting down Jayden Daniels until the final few minutes, forcing three turnovers along they way. That side of the ball is looking more promising by the day, as their top corner is likely set to return. Trevon Diggs is back at practice this week and is trending towards playing versus the G-Men.

Tommy Boy

Diggs should see plenty of stud rookie wideout Malik Nabers, one of the lone bright spots on New York’s roster. Nabers leads the team in every significant receiving category, but has been very critical of the Giants play calling and decision making.

New York cut Daniel Jones, and instead of turning to backup Drew Lock, they opted for Tommy DeVito instead. DeVito didn’t provide much of a spark in the Giants 30-7 Week 12 loss to Tampa Bay, absorbing a ton of hard hits instead.

That beating landed him on the injury report, and now there’s talk he may not be healthy enough to start versus Dallas. If DeVito can’t go, Lock would make his first start as a Giant, but expectations should be kept low.

This is a team that ranks last in scoring, and 24^th in total offense. They haven’t cleared 22 points since Week 5, and have been outscored 109 to 32 in their last three meetings with the Cowboys.

Giants vs Cowboys 2024 Offensive Ranks

New York is especially bad along the offensive line, which is music to the ears of Micah Parson and the rest of the Dallas pass rushers. DeVito absorbed four sacks last week, and was pressured on 17 of his 39 drop backs.

Parsons and Co. got to Daniels four times themselves last week, racking up 14 pressures along the way. If you’re thinking the Giants would be better off to attack the Cowboys rush defense, that didn’t exactly work out in their previous meeting.

Giants vs Cowboys Prediction

Dallas held New York to 26 rushing yards on 24 attempts back in their Week 5 win. The Cowboys limited Washington running backs to 2.9 yards per carry last week, which should give bettors confidence they can handle Tyrone Tracy and an aging Devin Singletary.

This game profiles as an excellent under candidate, but rather than playing the game total, let’s target New York’s team total instead. They’re one of the worst offenses in football and whether it’s DeVito or Lock under center, they’ll struggle to move the ball.

The Giants team total currently sits at 16.5, a number they’ve failed to clear in back-to-back games, and six times overall this season.

• Giants vs Cowboys Pick: Giants Under 16.5 Points (-104)