Jaguars vs Chiefs Props – Best Player Props to Bet for Saturday
- Divisional Round Jaguars vs Chiefs player props are live for their playoff tilt on Saturday
- Can Travis Etienne exceed 18.5 receiving yards? Will Patrick Mahomes exceed 2.5 TD passes?
- Check out the odds for all the available Jaguars vs Chiefs props below, plus our best bets
The NFL’s Divisional Round gets underway Saturday in KC, as the AFC’s top ranked Chiefs host the Jaguars. These two teams met earlier this season, with Kansas City prevailing 27-17.
Online sportsbooks made the Chiefs a 9.5-point favorite in that contest, and the line is just a hair shorter for Saturday’s matchup. That means Jacksonville is expected to be playing catchup for most of the afternoon, and if that does in fact happen Travis Etienne is going to be a busy man.
The Jags RB is the first target on our Jaguars vs Chiefs player props card, while we’re also interested in backing the MVP favorite Patrick Mahomes.
Jaguars vs Chiefs Props
| Quarterbacks | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence (JAX) | 23.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 242.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) |
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | 26.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) | 310.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 2.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) |
| Running Backs | Attempts | Rush Yards | Rush + Rec Yards |
| Travis Etienne (JAX) | 15.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) | 70.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 92.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Isiah Pacheco (KC) | 12.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 59.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Jerick McKinnon (KC) | OFF | 25.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 63.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Wide Receivers + Tight Ends | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
| Christian Kirk (JAX) | 5.5 (Ov -105 | -125) | 62.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 21.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) |
| Evan Engram (JAX) | 5.5 (Ov +130 | -160) | 44.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | OFF |
| Jamal Agnew (JAX) | OFF | 5.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | OFF |
| Marvin Jones Jr. (JAX) | OFF | 29.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 16.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
| Zay Jones (JAX) | 4.5 (Ov -140 | +110) | 52.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 19.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC) | 4.5 (Ov -130 | +100) | 54.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Justin Watson (KC) | OFF | 15.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | OFF |
| Kadarius Toney (KC) | OFF | 31.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Maquez Valdes-Scantling (KC) | 2.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) | 32.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Travis Kelce (KC) | 6.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 79.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 23.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
Odds as of January 19 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings promo code to bet on your Jaguars vs Chiefs props.
Etienne is favored to lead this game in rushing, boasting an over/under rushing yards prop of 70.5 in the Jaguars vs Chiefs odds. However, it’s not his run game prowess we’re looking to target, it’s his pass catching chops.
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Jaguars vs Chiefs Props: Travis Etienne Over 18.5 Receiving Yards
Etienne played on 64 of 74 offensive snaps last week against the Chargers, running a route on 40 of Trevor Lawrence’s dropbacks. That’s a big increase from his regular season numbers, but the Jags clearly realize their best chance to win is with him on the field.
Etienne caught three balls for 28 yards in his first meeting with KC, and has at least 24 receiving yards in three of his past five games. Game script should be going against Jacksonville for most of the game, and the Chiefs generate a ton of pressure which is going to force Lawrence to check the ball down more often than he’d like.
First-year RBs to average better than 5 yards per carry & 9 yards per catch
(min 200 rush attempts, 30 catches)Ezekiel Elliott
Clinton Portis
Travis Etienne— Heath Cummings (@heathcummingssr) January 2, 2023
That’s where Etienne can shine, and it also doesn’t hurt that the KC defense allowed the fourth most receiving yards to enemy running backs this season.
Pick: Travis Etienne Over 18.5 Receiving Yards (-115), 1 unit
Jaguars vs Chiefs Props: Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 TD Passes
Mahomes led the league in touchdown passes this season with 41 and eclipsed 2.5 TD throws eight times. One of those performance was against the Jags, when he lit them up for 331 passing yards and four scores.
Patrick Mahomes Stats – Last 3 Playoff Games
| Opponent | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals | 275 | 3 | 2 |
| Buffalo Bills | 378 | 3 | 0 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 404 | 5 | 1 |
Mahomes has thrown 28 touchdown passes in 11 career playoff starts, including 11 last year in only three postseason games. Jacksonville’s defense ranks ninth against the run, but 30th versus the pass according to DVOA.
Pick: Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 TD Passes (+100), 1 unit
Jaguars vs Chiefs Props – Touchdowns
| Player | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce (KC) | +550 | -150 |
| Jerick McKinnon (KC) | +700 | -110 |
| Isiah Pacheco (KC) | +700 | -105 |
| Travis Etienne (JAX) | +950 | -125 |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC) | +1100 | +170 |
| Kadarius Toney (KC) | +1300 | +210 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling (KC) | +1500 | +235 |
| Christian Kirk (JAX) | +1500 | +155 |
| Zay Jones (JAX) | +1900 | +205 |
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | +2000 | +320 |
| Evan Engram (JAX) | +2200 | +225 |
| Chiefs Defense | +2800 | +400 |
| Justin Watson (KC) | +2800 | +500 |
| Noah Gray (KC) | +2800 | +500 |
| Marvin Jones Jr. (JAX) | +2800 | +360 |
| Trevor Lawrence (JAX) | +3000 | +350 |
| Jaguars Defense | +4000 | +550 |
As far as the anytime TD market goes, Chiefs star tight end Travis Kelce is the favorite despite having zero touchdowns since November 27th. Jaguars tight end Evan Engram on the other hand, is a nice value to find the end zone.
Jaguars vs Chiefs Props: Evan Engram Anytime TD
Engram scored in last weekend’s win over the Chargers, and earned 11 targets. He’s seen double-digit looks in three of his last five games, scoring three times in his past seven outings.
The Jaguars were panned for the price they paid to acquire Christian Kirk, Zay Jones and Evan Engram in free agency last March. Their lines from last night’s playoff win:
Engram: 7 catches, 93 yards, TD
Kirk: 8 catches, 78 yards, TD
Jones: 8 catches, 74 yards, TD— Field Yates (@FieldYates) January 15, 2023
We mentioned how Jacksonville struggles against the pass, and while that’s true, it’s also true that no team gave up more touchdown passes than Kansas City. The Chiefs surrendered 33 scores through the air, four more than any other squad.
Pick: Evan Engram Anytime TD (+235), 0.5 units
Last Week’s Player Props Record: 3-3, +0.17 units
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As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
