Interception Leader Jameis Winston Favored to Not Commit a Turnover in Week 15 vs Lions

• The odds favor Jameis Winston avoiding an interception in Week 15 (+125)
• Winston has thrown 23 interception’s in 2019 and has only four games without one
• Detroit is last in the league with just five passes intercepted

Jameis Winston has been one of the most turnover-prone passers in the NFL this season, and he’s coming off of a game in which he threw three picks against the Indianapolis Colts.

However, as Week 15 approaches, odds actually favor the Buccaneers’ quarterback not turning the ball over in Week 15.

Odds Which Quarter Jameis Winston Will Turn the Ball Over in Week 15

Odds taken Dec. 11.

Winston has been one of the most inconsistent quarterbacks in the league through 2019. He puts up a ton of yards, and has thrown his fair share of touchdown passes, but has also coupled that with an extremely high interception count. That was perfectly encapsulated in last week’s matchup with Indianapolis.

Against the Colts, Winston went 33-of-45 for 456 yards and 4 touchdowns but also threw 3 picks on the way to a 38-35 Tampa Bay victory.

Season-Long Turnover Problems

Winston’s 2019 numbers display all the highs and lows of this season for the quarterback. He’s connecting on 61.3% of his passes while racking up 4,115 yards and 26 touchdowns, along with 23 interceptions.

There have been just four games this season in which Winston hasn’t thrown an interception. That makes nine in which he has turned it over, and in four of those games, he’s thrown three or more picks.

Winston is such a frustrating passer, due mainly to the fact that he can throw for over 400 yards and four scores, while simultaneously turning the ball over multiple times.

When Does Winston Turn it Over?

Overwhelmingly, Winston throws picks early and late. Into the middle of the game, he settles down a bit, but it’s often pressure situations in which Winston gets erratic.

Of Winston’s 23 interceptions, seven of them have come in the first quarter and nine were in the fourth quarter. He’s thrown just seven picks all year in the second and third quarters combined.

The opening drives of a game, along with crunch time in the fourth quarter, are the two highest-emotion points of a football game. Winston’s turnover numbers indicate that his most trouble comes when emotion and pressure are at their highest points. If he can find the level-headedness of the mid-game, he can certainly slice a chunk out of his interception total in coming seasons.

What’s the Best Bet?

The four games in which Winston avoided a turnover all came on the road. There may be concern about going on the road this weekend, but so far in 2019, Winston’s performances haven’t been adversely affected by traveling. He went to Seattle and did not turn it over for 60 minutes, which indicates that he can do the same at Detroit.

The odds are in favor of Winston this week for a reason. The Lions are dead last in the league at intercepting opponents, with only five picks in the entirety of 2019. At +125, chalk is the way to go here.

Pick: No Turnovers (+125)