- The Kansas City Chiefs and Tennessee Titans meet in Nashville, Tennessee at 1:00 pm ET on Sunday, October 24th
- Both teams are coming off wins but none bigger than the Titans 34-31 win over the Buffalo Bills Monday night
- See the best prop bets for this Week 7 matchup below
It’s hard to believe but the Tennessee Titans (4-2) are coming into this game with a better record after six games than the Kansas City Chiefs (3-3). Kickoff from Nissan Stadium is scheduled for 1:00 pm ET on CBS. Temperatures are expected to be in the upper 70s with moderate winds but nothing that will affect the game.
The Chiefs went to the nation’s capital last week and waxed the Washington Football Team 31-13. Patrick Mahomes almost went for 400 yards passing in the victory finishing the day with 397 yards through the air. Mahomes wasn’t the only superstar to go off in Week 6 as the Titans’ Derrick Henry ran for 143 yards and three touchdowns in their 34-31 win over the Buffalo Bills.
The Chiefs are 4.5-point favorites at the moment but that line has come all the way down from 5.5 on Wednesday. The total has reached 58 and could go even higher as 57s were littering the board as late as Tuesday.
As always, there are plenty of player props to consider and that is what we will talk about here.
Chiefs vs Titans Player Props
|Passer||Longest Completion||Passing Yards||Passing TDs|
|Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)||39.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||324.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||2.5 (Ov -155 / Un +115)|
|Ryan Tannehill (Titans)||35.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||250.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||1.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)|
|Rusher||Longest Rush||Rushing Yards||Total Yards|
|Darrel Williams (Chiefs)||12.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||57.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||79.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)|
|Derrick Henry (Titans)||19.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)||118.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||142.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)|
|Jerick McKinnon (Chiefs)||NA||8.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)||23.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)|
|Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)||12.5 (Ov -105 / Un -130)||18.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)||NA|
|Ryan Tannehill (Titans)||10.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)||17.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||NA|
|Receiver||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Byron Pringle (Chiefs)||1.5 (Ov -160 / Un +120)||19.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||13.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)|
|Darrel Williams (Chiefs)||2.5 (Ov -150 / Un +110)||18.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)||10.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)|
|Demarcus Robinson (Chiefs)||1.5 (Ov -165 / Un +125)||18.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)||12.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)|
|Derrick Henry (Titans)||2.5 (Ov -135/ Un +105)||19.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)||10.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100)|
|Jerick McKinnon (Chiefs)||1.5 (Ov -145 / Un +110)||11.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)||8.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)|
|Mecole Hardman (Chiefs)||4.5 (Ov +130 / Un -170)||44.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||18.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)|
|Travis Kelce (Chiefs)||6.5 (Ov -135 / Un +110)||83.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)||23.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)|
|Tyreek Hill (Chiefs)||6.5 (Ov -145/ Un +110)||85.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||25.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)|
Odds as of Oct. 22 at DraftKings
Mecole Hardman is Undercover Good
Everyone thought Mecole Hardman was going to be the next Tyreek Hill when he came out of Georgia in 2019. Hardman was fast and could catch anything within a 20-foot radius. He hasn’t exactly turned into Tyreek Hill at this point, but that doesn’t mean he’s a bust. He has just taken a little longer to break out.
One thing is for sure, the Titans don’t think Hardman is a bust after what he did to them in his rookie year.
— NFL (@NFL) November 10, 2019
So far this season Hardman has had a pretty quiet 26 receptions for 261 yards. The thing is, he’s only been targeted 35 times and almost half of those targets have been in the last two weeks. In that span he’s caught 13 balls for 138 yards. His uptick in usage is coming at a great time because this week’s opponent is a sieve.
No team in the NFL has given up more receiving yards to the wide receiver position than the Tennessee Titans. On top of that, no team has given up more receptions to the position and no one has given up more touchdowns. It stands to reason that if Tyreek Hill gets too much attention, Hardman could go wild.
With how bad the Chiefs’ defense has been and how good Derrick Henry has looked this season, Kansas City may not sit on the ball much this game. In a four quarter game that goes back and forth, we should expect Hardman to be involved. Although, he doesn’t need to break any reception records to go over his receiving yardage prop.
- The Pick: Mecole Hardman Over 44.5 receiving yards (-115) wager 0.115 units to win 0.1 unit
- SBR 2021 NFL Player Props Record: 8-12, -2.98 Units
Chiefs vs Titans Scoring Props
|Player||First Touchdown Scorer||Anytime Touchdown Scorer|
|Derrick Henry (Titans)||+500||-225|
Tyreek Hill (Chiefs)
Travis Kelce (Chiefs)
|Darrel Williams (Chiefs)||+850||-105|
|AJ Brown (Titans)||+1200||+140|
|Mecole Hardman (Chiefs)||+1300||+165|
|Julio Jones (Titans)||+1800||+200|
|Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)||+2200||+290|
|Demarcus Robinson (Chiefs)||+2200||+310|
|Jerick McKinnon (Chiefs)||+2800||+380|
|Ryan Tannehill (Titans)||+2800||+350|
We’ll definitely need a touchdown scorer prop and I would say we look at someone higher than +300. Obviously we won’t be able to go with any of the Chiefs’ big name guys but one guy a lot of people forget about is Demarcus Robinson.
He’s been catching touchdowns for Kansas City for years.
Demarcus Robinson holy cow. Wow!pic.twitter.com/vfAwZHt1Ph
— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) September 22, 2019
Robinson has caught two touchdowns already this season, so he is involved in the red zone. Of course Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce can be expected to be involved in the money part of the field but at +310, Robinson seems like the best value. He just caught a touchdown last week. Why not again?
- Pick: Demarcus Robinson – Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+310) – Wager 0.1 unit to win 0.31 units
- SBR 2021 Touchdown Scorer prop record: 9-11, +0.25 units