Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction, Picks & Odds for NFL Week 7
- The Chiefs are 1.5-point road favorites over the 49ers on Sunday
- The teams last met in Super Bowl XIV following the 2019 season
- A look at the Chiefs vs 49ers matchup and odds can be found below with a pick
Meeting for the first time since Super Bowl XIV, the Kansas City Chiefs visit the San Francisco 49ers at 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif.
The Chiefs (4-2/2-1 road) are coming off a 24-20 loss to the visiting Buffalo Bills last Sunday. The 49ers (3-3/2-0 home) also lost, falling 28-14 to the Falcons in Atlanta.
Chiefs vs 49ers Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | -125 | -1.5 (-110) | Over 48.5 (-110) |
| San Francisco 49ers | +105 | +1.5 (-110) | Under 48.5 (-110) |
Odds as of October 22nd at BetMGM. Take advantage of the BetMGM promo code for NFL this weekend.
The Chiefs are listed as -125 favorites on the moneyline, meaning they have 55.6% implied win probability. The total is set at 48.5 for this
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Chiefs vs 49ers Recent History
The Chiefs rallied from a 10-point deficit in the fourth quarter to beat the 49ers 31-20 in Super Bowl XIV on Feb. 2, 2020 in Miami. Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for 286 yards and two touchdowns and San Francisco counterpart Jimmy Garoppolo had 219 passing yards and one TD.
Mahomes led the Chiefs to a 38-27 victory in the teams’ last regular season meeting in 2018 at home. Garoppolo sustained a season-ending knee injury in that game.
Chiefs Offense vs 49ers Defense
The Chiefs lead the NFL in scoring with 29.8 points a game and are fifth in total offense. The 49ers top the league in total defense, allowing 255.8 yards a game, and are second in points allowed.
The highest-graded offensive players on 3rd & 4th down this season:
♦️ Patrick Mahomes – 91.8
♦️ Travis Kelce – 91.3 pic.twitter.com/5ndfjzohIL— PFF (@PFF) October 21, 2022
Mahomes was unflappable in rallying the Chiefs to victory over the 49ers in the Super Bowl. However, he hasn’t been as consistent this season, throwing four interceptions, including two late in games in the Chiefs’ losses to the Indianapolis Colts and Bills.
Mahomes, though, is third in the NFL with 1,736 passing yards.
The Chiefs have had at least 300 total yards in 11 straight games. The team record is 18 during the 2017-18 seasons.
The 49ers have four players with at least three sacks through six games – led by defensive end Nick Bosa’s six — for the fourth time in team history. Bosa in second in the NFL in that category to the Pittsburgh Steelers’ Alex Highsmith, who has 6.5.
49ers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
The 49ers are 18th in the NFL in total offense and 19th in scoring offense. The Chiefs are fifth in points allowed but just 20th in yards given up.
Garoppolo threw for a season-high 296 yards last week against the Falcons but much of that came as the 49ers were trying to rally. He completed 29 of 41 attempts with two touchdowns and two interceptions but his receivers dropped two deep balls.
This might be one of the best deep ball throws I have ever seen from 49ers Jimmy Garoppolo pic.twitter.com/R9w5hwcSqU
— Brad (@Graham_SFN) October 18, 2022
So far this season, Garoppolo has 1,153 yards through the air and seven TDs while being picked three times.
The 49ers have scored on just 29.2% of their drives, ranking 28th among the league’s 32 teams.
Chiefs defensive tackle Chris Jones gave the 49ers fits in the Super Bowl when he batted down three passes. This season, he has three sacks and seven quarterback hits.
Chiefs vs 49ers Injury Report
Cornerback Trent McDuffie (hamstring), the Chiefs’ first-round draft pick this year, is expected to play for the first time since being injured in the season opener.
Cornerback Rashad Fenton (hamstring) has been ruled out. Listed as questionable are defensive end Michael Danna (calf) and guard Joe Thuney (ankle).
After sitting out last week, Bosa (groin), left tackle Trent Williams (ankle) and safety Jimmie Ward (hand) are in line to play Sunday.
“I feel pretty good. I’m pretty optimistic.” Nick Bosa on playing Sunday pic.twitter.com/ocl3LXo7Xm
— Tracy Sandler (@TracyFGSN) October 20, 2022
Defensive tackle Arik Amstead (foot/ankle) is out. Safety Talanoa Hufanga (concussion) and cornerback Charvarius Ward (groin) are questionable.
Chiefs vs 49ers Prediction
The all-time series is tied 7-7 but the Chiefs have only won once in San Francisco – and that was back in 1971. The 49ers defense figures to harass Mahomes enough to give San Francisco the opportunity to avenge that painful Super Bowl defeat.
Pick: 49ers ML (+105)
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John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
