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Lamar Jackson Listed as +125 Favorite to Win NFL MVP After Week 11

Lamar Jackson is in the MVP race
For the first time this season, Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is the favorite to be the NFL MVP. Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire
  • For the first time this season, Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is the chalk to win the NFL MVP award
  • BetOnline has established Jackson as the +125 favorite to be the 2019 NFL MVP
  • The last six winners of the NFL MVP award were all QBs

Is Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson going to be the 2019 NFL MVP?

His teammates certainly think so.

“The man, the myth, the legend, the MVP front-runner,” Ravens running back Mark Ingram told reporters about Jackson following Sunday’s 41-7 rout of the Houston Texans. “If anybody else got to say something different about that, then come see me.”

The online betting houses are also beginning to fall in line with Ingram’s assessment. BetOnline dropped their 2019 NFL MVP odds on Wednesday and Jackson is the +125 chalk.

2019 NFL MVP Odds

Player (Team) Odds at BetOnline
Lamar Jackson (Ravens) +125
Russell Wilson (Seahawks) +200
Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) +1200
Aaron Rodgers (Packers) +1200
Deshaun Watson (Texans) +1200
Christian McCaffrey (Panthers) +1600
Dak Prescott (Cowboys) +1800
Jimmy Garoppolo (49ers) +2500
Dalvin Cook (Vikings) +3300
Kirk Cousins (Vikings) +3300
Tom Brady (Patriots) +5000
Drew Brees (Saints) +5000
Michael Thomas (Saints) +5000

Odds taken on Nov. 20

It’s the first time all season that Jackson has been the MVP favorite.

Shaking up the MVP Race

The Ravens destroyed the Texans on Sunday, and Jackson destroyed the MVP hopes of Houston QB Deshaun Jackson. A week ago, BetOnline pegged Watson as the third betting choice for the award. At +600, Watson wasn’t far off the pace being set by Wilson (+125) and Jackson (+200).

This week, the race has been reduced to a two-player competition. Watson is still third in this betting market but he’s fallen to +1200 and shares third spot with Green Packers QB Aaron Rodgers and Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes, the reigning MVP.

The NFL MVP is going to be either Jackson or Wilson.

The Case for Jackson

Jackson has passed for 2,258 yards this season. His completion percentage is 66.3 percent. Jackson’s 19 touchdown passes are tied for fourth in the NFL.

Where he really separates himself from the field is when he pulls down the ball and runs with it. Jackson is 10th in the NFL in rushing with 788 yards. His 6.9 yards per carry lead the league.

He’s also at the helm of a historic NFL offense.

Research done by the Elias Sports Bureau shows that the Ravens’ 54-percent scoring rate would be the highest recorded since the NFL adopted the 16-game regular-season schedule in 1978.

The Case for Wilson

Statistically, almost every number points to Wilson over Jackson. He leads the NFL in TD passes (23), passer rating (114.9) and total TDs (26). He’s eighth overall in passing yards (2,737). Jackson is 19th.

And he’s doing it all behind an offensive line that Pro Football Focus grades out to be 27th-best in the NFL. Baltimore’s line rates #1.

Who’s the MVP?

A big edge in Jackson’s corner is that when he went head-to-head with Wilson and the Seahawks, Baltimore won 30-16 at Seattle. That’s the first tiebreaker for a playoff spot. How much credence should it hold in an MVP vote?

In the past four weeks, Jackson’s matched wits with Wilson, Watson and three-time MVP Tom Brady of the New England Patriots and beaten all of them.

On the other hand, Wilson is on pace to throw for well over 4,000 yards and close to 40 TDs. He’s tied with Rodgers this season for the fewest interceptions thrown by a qualifying QB (two).

Both Wilson (San Francisco 49ers) and Jackson (Patriots) took down the last unbeaten teams in their conference.

Both QBs are enjoying monumental seasons but Wilson’s been an MVP in waiting for several years. This year, his time is finally going to arrive.

Pick: Russell Wilson (+200)

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