The Most Trustworthy Team & Player Trends to Put Your Money Behind for NFL Conference Championships

I have uncovered four extremely compelling trends – one team trend and three player trends – for the NFL Conference Championships. I dove deep into these trends to put context behind each game included, with the intent of confirming whether they’re legit trends or just sound fun. All four of them passed the test, and that is why I am putting my trust in them – in this case, my trust equals my hard-earned money.

I, of course, do have other reasons to like these picks below, but for the sake of simplicity, I chose to just dissect the trend and not get into too much other justification. Check out these team and player trends below, where you will also find the best sportsbook for tailing each one.

Mile High Magic Against Good Competition

The Denver Broncos are 7-1 (.875) at home against opponents with a winning record over their last 8 games.

There is no better homefield advantage in the NFL than the Broncos at Mile High. Not only is it loud, but their opponents are forced to play in thin air when they’re not used to it. The result has been the Broncos being able to overcome good competition consistently.

Here’s a look at those last eight games:

1. ✅ W 33-30 vs BUF (12-5) – Jan 17, 2026 (Playoffs)
2. ✅ W 19-3 vs LAC (11-5) – Jan 4, 2026
3. ❌ L 20-34 vs JAX (10-4) – Dec 21, 2025 (only loss)
4. ✅ W 34-26 vs GB (9-3-1) – Dec 14, 2025
5. ✅ W 22-19 vs KC (5-4) – Nov 16, 2025
6. ✅ W 28-3 vs CIN (2-1) – Sep 29, 2025
7. ✅ W 38-0 vs KC (15-1) – Jan 5, 2025
8. ✅ W 38-6 vs ATL (6-4) – Nov 17, 2024

The lone loss during this timeline came to the Jaguars, who were able to pick apart their man-coverage with Parker Washington. I do, however, think it’s fair to be honest about the games against the Chargers, when LA didn’t play their starters in Week 18, Bengals, who were playing without Joe Burrow, and Chiefs back on Jan 5, 2025, when KC rested their starters as well.

Even with those three wins not being overly impressive, the trend still stands and for the main reason that Denver is tough at home. In spite of Jarrett Stidham starting his first game since the 2023 season, the Broncos are going to still be tough at home.

Drake Maye Blows Away Expectations on the Road

Drake Maye has exceeded 227.5 passing yards in 8 of his last 9 games on the road, posting an impressive 271.9 passing yards per game average in those outings.

When Drake Maye heads on the road, he consistently racks up passing yards. Here’s a look at those games:

Drake Maye’s Game Logs on the Road

While there are a few pushovers on the list (in terms of passing defenses), Maye has also had to face some tough pass defenses during this trend. He managed 273 passing yards against the Bills’ top-ranked pass defense, and 261 against the Saints, who finished the season ranked fifth. Even the Jets (16th) and Dolphins (18th) were decent.

Maye is not facing an elite pass defense this weekend in Denver either – the Broncos rank 11th in gross passing yards allowed, and just gave up 283 to Josh Allen last week. I don’t think the Patriots will have the same success running the ball against Denver as Buffalo did a week ago. So, Maye might be forced to put the ball in the air even more than Allen did.

The best place to bet this trend is bet365, where you can get -110 odds on him going over 223.5 yards.

Pat Bryant’s Consistent Receptions

Pat Bryant has exceeded 2.5 receptions in 6 straight games, maintaining a solid 4.0 receptions per game average over that span.

This consistency reflects Bryant’s emerging role within Denver’s passing attack, where he’s become a reliable outlet.

Through the first five weeks of the season, Bryant was only playing 26.3% of Denver’s offensive snaps, while seeing just 0.8 targets per game. Those numbers have slowly progressed to playing 69.2% of Denver’s snaps and seeing 5.5 targets per game from Weeks 13-18.

Pat Bryant’s Recent Games

Not only is he consistently going over 2.5 receptions, but he’s hauled in 4+ in four of his last six. I don’t believe the offense is going to change with Jarrett Stidham under center this Sunday.

When it comes to betting this trend, you can take over 2.5 receptions with -200 odds, or go a little more bold with over 3.5 at +125 odds. Either way, bet365 has the best odds for both.

Kyren Williams Thrives vs Good Defenses

Kyren Williams has exceeded 53.5 rushing yards in an impressive 11 straight games against top 10 scoring defenses, averaging 80.9 rushing yards in those matchups.

This trend considers the defense’s ranking at the end of the season, to be clear. It is not their ranking at the time of the game. I believe this makes the streak more impressive. Here’s a look at those games:

Kyren Williams vs Top 10 Defenses

What’s really encouraging about this trend is that his past two games that fall within this situation were against the same Seahawk defense Williams will play this weekend. And he didn’t just go over 53.5 rushing yards by a little bit in either of them, he went well over, posting 70 and 91 yards, respectively.

This is a great boost of confidence to backing this trend, since Seattle allowed the fewest yards per rushing attempt this season as well.

The best odds you will find for tailing this trend are over 53.5 at -110 odds on bet365.