Newton, Winston, and Dalton Free Agency Odds – Where Will 3 Remaining QBs Sign?
- Cam Newton, Jameis Winston and Andy Dalton are all expected to be changing team as NFL free agency rolls along
- Where are the ideal landing spots in the game of quarterback musical chairs?
- See the updated odds on where each player could land for the 2020 season
The NFL league year is only a day old and the flurry of trades and signings is dizzying, with veteran signal callers Tom Brady and Philip Rivers finding new homes as well as Teddy Bridgewater, Nick Foles and Marcus Mariota also packing their bags for new addresses.
The odds have been frequently changing with quarterbacks being snatched up or dealt, which leaves Cam Newton, Jameis Winston and Andy Dalton as pivots who should benefit from a change of scenery.
It appears all but a certainty that the #1 pick in the 2011 draft has his days numbered in Carolina following the reported signing of Teddy Bridgewater to a three-year deal.
A logical landing spot that was not reflective of his odds two days ago is Washington, despite the team investing a first round pick in Dwayne Haskins last year. His odds were set at +750 but he’s now the favorite to land in DC.
Odds on Cam Newton’s Team for Game 1 of 2020 NFL Regular Season
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Washington Redskins | +150 |
| New England Patriots | +200 |
| Miami Dolphins | +250 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +900 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +1600 |
| Denver Broncos | +1600 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +2800 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +4000 |
All odds taken March 19th
New Head Coach Ron Rivera had Cam as his QB in Carolina for his entire tenure, so it only makes sense that Washington would be a perfect landing spot for Newton.
There is, of course, the possibility that Rivera knows Newton so well and doesn’t like what he’s seen over the course of his career. With just one year left on his deal, it wouldn’t destroy Washington’s future to bring him into town.
Pick: Washington Redskins (+150)
Odds on Jameis Winston’s Team for Game 1 of 2020 NFL Regular Season
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Miami Dolphins | +100 |
| Washington Redskins | +300 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +700 |
| New England Patriots | +700 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +800 |
| New Orleans Saints | +1400 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +2000 |
Handicapping where the 2015 first overall pick will go is difficult as well, for the simple fact he shows flashes of brilliance but has a penchant for soul crushing interceptions.
He led the league in passing yards (5,109) last season and threw for 33 TD passes so there’s immense talent there – but with the caveat of his 30 interceptions as well.
Winston is a free agent which might muddy the waters with teams trying to assess his value in both term and dollars given his up-and-down play. He might be forced to sign a one-year prove it deal to rebuild his stock ahead of next year’s offseason.
Chargers would rather ride with Tyrod Taylor than sign Jameis Winston
I disagree with their stance completely, but speaks volumes about how Winston is considered around the league. Don't know where he lands, but it doesn't look like any team considers him a starting option
— Jon Ledyard (@LedyardNFLDraft) March 18, 2020
One team considering Winston surely could’ve been the Chargers, but multiple sources have said that they aren’t interested in Winston. Enter Jacksonville. They just dealt Nick Foles to the Bears and Gardner Minshew is hardly a lock to be the franchise quarterback. Why not sign Winston on a one-year deal and have him compete with Minshew Mania?
Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars (+800)
Odds on Andy Dalton’s Team for Game 1 of 2020 NFL Regular Season
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Miami Dolphins | +175 |
| Washington Redskins | +225 |
| New England Patriots | +600 |
| Carolina Panthers | +900 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +900 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +1000 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +1200 |
| New Orleans Saints | +1600 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +1600 |
With Joe Burrow likely the first overall pick in the upcoming draft, Andy Dalton is a potential trade candidate for the Bengals. While he hasn’t lit the world on fire in his career, he has made the Pro Bowl three times.
Dalton has 86 more touchdown passes in his career than interceptions (204-118) and doesn’t turn the ball over nearly as much as someone like Winston, which would drive Bill Belichick crazy.
He has just one year left on his contract, so the Patriots could very interested in bringing him in to bridge the gap to either Jarrett Stidham or a rookie quarterback.
Trade idea for Patriots: Offer 2020 1st rounder, '20 3rd rounder, '21 2nd or 3rd to Bengals for A.J. Green/Andy Dalton. Reunite Dalton with Sanu/Burkhead, who jelled well with Red Rifle. Bengals use 1st (23) on a WR – maybe Justin Jefferson. Use 3rd on LB.
— Andrew Perloff (@andrewperloff) March 17, 2020
If they get one year out of him and he walks, they pick up a compensatory pick for the following draft – something that New England covets.
Keep an eye out also for a darkhorse team like Jacksonville (+1600), who has Jay Gruden as their offensive coordinator. He held the same role in Dalton’s first three years in Cincinnati.
Pick: New England Patriots (+600)
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 16 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.
