Odds in Favor of Packers Winning a Road Game in 2018

• Can the Packers, who are 0-6 away from Lambeau, win a road game this season?
• Get a breakdown of their final two opponents, the Bears and Jets. 
• Is there any value in betting no?

It hasn’t been a great year for the Green Bay Packers.

At 0-6 away from Lambeau, the Pack have already matched the 1958 team that went 0-6 for the season. Is it possible that they could be the franchise’s first 0-8 road team in the Super Bowl era?  Sportsbooks have posted a prop on just that. Let’s get you on the right side of these odds.

Will Green Bay Win a Road Game in 2018?

Amazingly, at 4-6-1, Green Bay still has a chance at making the playoffs, but it would likely require running the table in their final five games. That means two road wins are a must: Dec. 16 in Chicago and Dec. 23 in New York against the Jets.

Historically, Aaron Rodgers has been a schoolyard bully in Chicago. Even as the NFC North-leading Bears transform into a team no one wants to face, the Windy City may still be a welcome sight for Rodgers.

Aaron Rodgers in 20 career regular season starts against the Bears

16-4
67.67 comp %
4,882 yards
45 TD
9 INT
7.7 Y/A
7.10 TD% (!!!!!)
1.42 INT%

Retire, dude. Please.

— Tom Fornelli (@TomFornelli) September 11, 2018

They will definitely be underdogs at Soldier Field, but they already have a scintillating Rodgers-led comeback over the Bears in a memorable Week 1 win.

If they can’t break through in Chicago, they’ll have one last game to avoid complete road futility when they visit the Jets at MetLife Stadium.

That matchup is considerably easier than facing the Bears at Soldier Field, as the statistics below show.

The Bears are better than the Jets in every statistical category save one: passing yards allowed.

Packers Final Two Road Opponents

Is There Any Value in Betting “No”?

Barring injury to Rodgers (and even if he is out), the Packers should enter the Jets game as a favorite, and they are 4-1 in that role this season. Of course, all those wins are at home.

Jordan Poyer ends Aaron Rodgers' streak of 150 consecutive passes without an INT. Packers still in firm control, though. #GoPackGo #BUFvsGB pic.twitter.com/h16GbkEomS

— LastWordOnNFL (@LastWordOnNFL) September 30, 2018

If it does come down to the game in the Big Apple, what can the Jets truly offer as resistance? We don’t know if it’s a good or bad thing that rookie QB Sam Darnold is injured – as he currently leads the NFL in interceptions.

Sam Darnold is participating in individual drills today early in Jets practice. A sign of progress. He didn’t do any of these drills last week. pic.twitter.com/li3RNwVCQP

— Andy Vasquez (@andy_vasquez) November 28, 2018

The Jets have just two wins at home through Week 11 and have scored 17 points or less in all of their losses.

Assuming the Pack handle Arizona and Atlanta these next two weeks, that Bears game will have a lot on the line. Despite Rodgers’ success against the Bears, Green Bay will still have to deal with game-changing force Khalil Mack leading a legit defense that ranks first in DVOA.

If that results in a dispiriting loss and Green Bay has nothing left to play for, then there’s a path for you to bet the “NO.”

The Pick

If you’re feeling frisky, then you’re betting Green Bay has nothing to play for by the time they play the Jets. No harm in that, there’s good value there. Still, it’s a conservative play for me: I still hate betting against Aaron Rodgers, so this is a stay away for me, though I would bet “Yes” if I had to.