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Odds to Post Best 2019 NFL Regular Season Record – Patriots Listed as Favorites, Rams & Saints Close Behind

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Updated Apr 6, 2020 · 3:55 PM PDT

Julian Edelman
Julian Edelman and the Patriots are favored to win the most regular season games in the NFL in 2019. (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire)
  • You can wager on which NFL team will finish with the best regular season record in 2019
  • The Patriots are the favorites and have finished with at least a share of the best regular season record in three of the past five seasons
  • Who’s the best bet?

The 2019 NFL season kicks off in 15 weeks. We’ve already looked at which NFL team will lose the most games in 2019, so now it’s time to examine which team will finish with the best regular season record.

Odds to Win Most Games in 2019 NFL Regular Season

Which Team Will Win the Most Regular Season Games in 2019? Odds
New England Patriots +600
Los Angeles Rams +700
New Orleans Saints +700
Kansas City Chiefs +900
Indianapolis Colts +1000
Los Angeles Chargers +1000
Philadelphia Eagles +1000
Chicago Bears +1400
Green Bay Packers +1400
Atlanta Falcons +2000
Cleveland Browns +2000
Dallas Cowboys +2000
Minnesota Vikings +2000
Pittsburgh Steelers +2000
Seattle Seahawks +2500
Houston Texans +3300
Tennessee Titans +3300
Baltimore Ravens +4000
Jacksonville Jaguars +4000
San Francisco 49ers +4000
Carolina Panthers +5000
New York Jets +6600
Buffalo Bills +10000
Denver Broncos +10000
Detroit Lions +12500
Oakland Raiders +15000
Washington Redskins +15000
Arizona Cardinals +25000
Cincinnati Bengals +25000
New York Giants +25000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +25000
Miami Dolphins +50000

*Odds taken 05/23/19

Not surprisingly, last year’s final four have the shortest odds with the defending Super Bowl champions leading the way at +600.

The Patriots have finished with at least a share of the best regular season record in three of the past five seasons, and are the only team to lead the league in wins more than once since 2014.

Best NFL Regular Season Record Last Five Years

Year Team Record
2018 New Orleans Saints 13-3
2017 Philadelphia Eagles / New England Patriots 13-3
2016 New England Patriots 14-2
2015 Carolina Panthers 15-1
2014 New England Patriots / Seattle Seahawks 12-4

The Pats play in the softest division in football, with the Bills, Jets, and Dolphins combining for just three playoff appearances since 2010, and according to ESPN’s Mike Clay they have the NFL’s easiest schedule in 2019.

The Pats will face only six teams that finished 2018 with a winning record, and they won’t play a team that made the playoffs last year until Week 9. They’ve won at least 10 games in 16 straight seasons, and everything is shaping up from them to capture an 11th straight AFC East crown and compete for the best record in football again.

If You Need a Reason to Fade the Pats

Every year it seems New England losses a handful of impact players in the offseason but it never seems to set them back. This year could be a different story though given the level of talent that’s departed. Their best pass rusher Trey Flowers signed with the Lions, their starting left tackle, Trent Brown, signed with the Raiders, and the greatest tight end in NFL history decided to retire.

While Flowers and Brown will be tough to replace, Gronk meant more to the Pats and Tom Brady than almost any other player on the roster. Brady’s completion percentage drops from 66% to 62% with Gronk off the field and his yards per attempt falls from 8.0 to 7.0. His QBR is 16 points lower in games without Gronk, and his touchdown to interception ratio plummets from 5.29 to 2.95.

That’s not to say New England won’t succeed without Gronk, they just might not be the juggernaut we’re used to seeing year in and year out.

Fly Eagles Fly

The Eagles are only a season removed from their Super Bowl run and a busy offseason has them in position to challenge for the league’s top record once again. Carson Wentz will be fully healthy and the addition of DeSean Jackson gives them the deep threat they were sorely missing in 2018.

They made big improvements to their running game, drafting Miles Sanders and signing Jordan Howard, and they added Malik Jackson to what was already the NFL’s number two graded pass rush in 2018.

They’re favored to win the NFC East and the scheduling gods have blessed them with the easiest schedule in their conference. They’re matched up against the woeful AFC East, and only five of their 2019 opponents had a record above .500 last year. Add it all up and it feels like the Eagles are undervalued and could definitely challenge for the NFL’s top record once again.

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