- You can wager on which NFL team will finish with the best regular season record in 2019
- The Patriots are the favorites and have finished with at least a share of the best regular season record in three of the past five seasons
- Who’s the best bet?
The 2019 NFL season kicks off in 15 weeks. We’ve already looked at which NFL team will lose the most games in 2019, so now it’s time to examine which team will finish with the best regular season record.
Odds to Win Most Games in 2019 NFL Regular Season
|Which Team Will Win the Most Regular Season Games in 2019?||Odds|
|New England Patriots||+600|
|Los Angeles Rams||+700|
|New Orleans Saints||+700|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+900|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+1000|
|Green Bay Packers||+1400|
|San Francisco 49ers||+4000|
|New York Jets||+6600|
|New York Giants||+25000|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+25000|
*Odds taken 05/23/19
Not surprisingly, last year’s final four have the shortest odds with the defending Super Bowl champions leading the way at +600.
— NFL (@NFL) February 4, 2019
The Patriots have finished with at least a share of the best regular season record in three of the past five seasons, and are the only team to lead the league in wins more than once since 2014.
Best NFL Regular Season Record Last Five Years
|2018||New Orleans Saints||13-3|
|2017||Philadelphia Eagles / New England Patriots||13-3|
|2016||New England Patriots||14-2|
|2014||New England Patriots / Seattle Seahawks||12-4|
The Pats play in the softest division in football, with the Bills, Jets, and Dolphins combining for just three playoff appearances since 2010, and according to ESPN’s Mike Clay they have the NFL’s easiest schedule in 2019.
The NFL schedule releases tonight, but we already know the opponents. Here is 2019 Strength of Schedule based on current rosters (not 2018 records): pic.twitter.com/fU78e0KfU2
— Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) April 17, 2019
The Pats will face only six teams that finished 2018 with a winning record, and they won’t play a team that made the playoffs last year until Week 9. They’ve won at least 10 games in 16 straight seasons, and everything is shaping up from them to capture an 11th straight AFC East crown and compete for the best record in football again.
If You Need a Reason to Fade the Pats
Every year it seems New England losses a handful of impact players in the offseason but it never seems to set them back. This year could be a different story though given the level of talent that’s departed. Their best pass rusher Trey Flowers signed with the Lions, their starting left tackle, Trent Brown, signed with the Raiders, and the greatest tight end in NFL history decided to retire.
BREAKING: Rob Gronkowski has announced he will retire from the NFL. pic.twitter.com/5KJkcafQ5R
— Complex Sports (@ComplexSports) March 24, 2019
While Flowers and Brown will be tough to replace, Gronk meant more to the Pats and Tom Brady than almost any other player on the roster. Brady’s completion percentage drops from 66% to 62% with Gronk off the field and his yards per attempt falls from 8.0 to 7.0. His QBR is 16 points lower in games without Gronk, and his touchdown to interception ratio plummets from 5.29 to 2.95.
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) May 23, 2019
That’s not to say New England won’t succeed without Gronk, they just might not be the juggernaut we’re used to seeing year in and year out.
Fly Eagles Fly
The Eagles are only a season removed from their Super Bowl run and a busy offseason has them in position to challenge for the league’s top record once again. Carson Wentz will be fully healthy and the addition of DeSean Jackson gives them the deep threat they were sorely missing in 2018.
DeSean Jackson’s game has always been about speed, and he’s still got wheels. pic.twitter.com/JvmWnxFqOh
— Johnny Kinsley (@Brickwallblitz) May 22, 2019
They made big improvements to their running game, drafting Miles Sanders and signing Jordan Howard, and they added Malik Jackson to what was already the NFL’s number two graded pass rush in 2018.
Malik Jackson can push the pocket and adds a big pass-rushing threat to the interior of the Eagles defensive line
— Pro Football Focus (@PFF) March 14, 2019
They’re favored to win the NFC East and the scheduling gods have blessed them with the easiest schedule in their conference. They’re matched up against the woeful AFC East, and only five of their 2019 opponents had a record above .500 last year. Add it all up and it feels like the Eagles are undervalued and could definitely challenge for the NFL’s top record once again.