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Opening 2019 NFL MVP Odds: Mahomes Listed as Favorite, Brees Given 7-1 Odds, Rodgers & Luck 8-1

Patrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes has opened as the favorite to win the 2019 NFL MVP. (Photo by Jordon Kelly/Icon Sportswire)
  • Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes has the shortest odds to win the 2019 NFL MVP Award
  • Mahomes won the award last season after throwing for more than 5,000 yards and 50 touchdown passes
  • Only five players in NFL history have won consecutive NFL MVP Awards

Following a historic offensive season, Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes finds himself as the early front-runner to win the MVP award as the NFL’s top player for potentially a second straight year.

MyBookie released its opening future NFL MVP Odds with Mahomes sitting as a +400 favorite.

The 23-year-old Mahomes is coming off a sensational sophomore season in which he threw for more than 5,000 yards and 50 touchdown passes. He had 11 more touchdown passes than second-place Andrew Luck, who finished with 39.

Only two other QBs in NFL history have gone on to throw 50 or more TD passes — Tom Brady (2007) and Peyton Manning (2013). Mahomes was also the youngest most valuable player recipient since 1984.

2019 NFL MVP Odds

Player 2019 NFL MVP Odds at MyBookie
Patrick Mahomes +400
Drew Brees +700
Aaron Rodgers +800
Andrew Luck +800
Tom Brady +1000
Baker Mayfield +1400
Russell Wilson +1600
Carson Wentz +2000
Philip Rivers +2200
Deshaun Watson +2500
Matt Ryan +2800
Jared Goff +3300
Alvin Kamara +3300
Todd Gurley +4000
Ben Roethlisberger +4000

*Odds taken 03/31/19

History Not on Mahomes’s Side

Although Mahomes is definitely considered to be a legitimate contender to reclaim the MVP award, history is certainly not on the side of the Chiefs quarterback.

Only five players in NFL history have been able to win back-to-back NFL MVP Awards.

Before placing your money on Mahomes to repeat, it’s crucial to note that no player has won the NFL MVP award in consecutive seasons since 2008 and 2009 when Manning accomplished the feat. In fact, only five players in NFL history have been able to win back-to-back NFL most valuable player awards.

Along with that, Mahomes is coming off a monster season and expecting another 50-touchdown season from the rising star may be difficult. Mahomes may not have Tyreek Hill as a throwing option heading into the 2019 NFL season either as the wide receiver awaits word on child abuse allegations.

Brees Next in Line

Drew Brees may not have the same offensive numbers as he did five years ago, but his efficiency still makes the Saints quarterback a viable choice to win MVP honors. Brees’s passing yards have declined, but his yards per pass attempt (8.17) ranked seventh overall among starting quarterbacks. Brees is a +700 favorite to win an MVP award, but he’ll be 41 in January and his offensive stats continue to decline.

MyBookie has Colts quarterback Andrew Luck and Packers pivot Aaron Rodgers at +800. Following a season in which Luck racked up 4,600 yards and completed 67% of his passes, taking the Indianapolis Colts QB just may be a value pick this early.

Wentz Worth the Money

If you’re looking for a true value pick at this point, don’t search any further than Carson Wentz.

Let’s not forget Wentz’s masterful 2017 season in which the Eagles quarterback threw for 3,296 yards, 33 TDs and just seven interceptions to lead Philly to an 11-2 start before suffering a season-ending knee injury. If Wentz can put together those numbers going into the 2019 campaign, taking the Eagles QB at +2000 could be an absolute steal.

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