- The Indianapolis Colts are 1.5-point favorites over the visiting Green Bay Packers in a matchup of division leaders Sunday
- John Perrotto Betting Record: 6-5 (0.5 units won)
- Check the odds, our analysis and betting prediction below
The Indianapolis Colts will look to follow one big win with another when they host the Green Bay Packers at 4:25pm ET Sunday (Nov. 22) at Lucas Oil Stadium.
The Colts notched a 34-17 road victory over the Tennessee Titans in Week 10 as one-point favorites. That drew the Colts into a first-place tie with the Titans in the AFC South at 6-3.
Coming off such a significant victory, the Colts are small favorites for their matchup with the NFC North-leading Packers. Indianapolis has won three of its past four games.
Packers vs Colts Odds
|Green Bay Packers||+100||+1.5 (-112)||Over 51.5 (-110)|
|Indianapolis Colts||-118||-1.5 (-108)||Under 51.5 (-110)|
Odds taken Nov. 21 from FanDuel
At 7-2, the Packers are atop their division but are coming off a sluggish 24-20 victory at home over the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 10 as 13.5-poimt favorites.
Green Bay has also won three of its last four games.
Big Test For Colts D
The Colts have ridden their defense into playoff contention.
Indianapolis leads the NFL in total defense at 290.4 yards a game. It is also second in pass yards allowed (198.7 ppg) and fourth in rushing defense (91.8 ypg) and scoring defense (19.7 ppg).
Linebacker Darius Leonard has a team-high 60 tackles, including four for losses, and one sack.
Matt Eberflus' Colts' defense 9 games in:
· fewest yards per game allowed (290.4)
· fewest missed tackles in the NFL
· 2nd fewest chunk plays (20+ yds) allowed
· 3rd vs. the run (91/gm)
· 3rd fewest passing TDs allowed (11)
· 4th most passes broken up
· 4th in points (19.7)
— Zak Keefer (@zkeefer) November 18, 2020
However, the Colts will be tested by Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers.
Rodgers has 26 touchdown passes and just three interceptions this season. It is just the second time in league history that a QB has had as many as 26 TD passes and as few as three picks through the first nine games of a season.
Rodgers also pulled off the feat in 2011 when he had 28 touchdown throws and three interceptions.
Aaron Rodgers with the 78-yard DIME for the TD 😯
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) November 15, 2020
The Packers are also the first NFL team ever to average at least 30 points a game with five turnovers or fewer through nine games.
The Colts, too, have a distinguished veteran quarterback in Philip Rivers. Adjusting to a new environment after spending his first 16 years with the Chargers, he has been playing better lately after a slow start to his first season in Indianapolis.
In his last four games, Rivers has completed 66.7% of his passes for 1,158 yards, seven touchdowns and three interceptions. He also is keeping things loose.
— NFL Films (@NFLFilms) November 12, 2020
Compare that to his first five games, where despite a 70.8 completion percentage, Rivers had just four TDs passes against five picks.
Look for the Colts to also try to establish the running game early with Nyheim Hines and Jonathan Taylor. The Packers have allowed 337 yards rushing in their last three games and two 100-yard rushers in that span.
Top Of The Lines
Rivers is 38 years old and has the fifth-most passing yards in league history. Rodgers is 36 and ranks 11th on the career passing yards list.
Despite their advanced ages, both quarterbacks are still performing at a high level.
A share of the credit goes to the offensive lines. The Colts have allowed a league-low nine sacks this season while Rodgers has been taken down just 11 times.
The Colts can run block, too.
The Colts have a versatile offensive line and an all around defense and it's very different from what I'm used to https://t.co/cklxsQK1Ti
— Chris Crawford (@WDBO580CC) November 14, 2020
Both teams have their entire interior lines intact now. Most notably, Packers left tackle David Bakhtiari returned last week. He missed three games with a broken rib.
The teams last met in 2016 with the Colts notching a 31-26 victory at Green Bay in Week 9.
Rodgers threw for 297 yards and three touchdowns with one interception. Andrew Luck led the Colts to an upset as 7.5-point underdogs by throwing for 281 yards.
This will be Green Bay’s fifth visit to Indianapolis since the Colts moved from Baltimore in 1983. The Packers have lost in each of their previous four visits.
Look for that trend to continue as the Colts’ defense slows Rodgers enough to get the win.
Pick: Colts -1.5 (-108)