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NFL Picks for Sunday of Divisional Round: Best Bets & Score Predictions for NFL Playoffs

Matt McEwan

By Matt McEwan in NFL Football

Published:


Ray David being tackled by a swarm of Baltimore Ravens
Sep 29, 2024; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Buffalo Bills running back Ray Davis (22) is tackled by Baltimore Ravens linebacker Adisa Isaac (50) and Ravens linebacker Malik Harrison (40) at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
  • Two more Divisional Round games of the 2025 NFL playoffs are scheduled for Sunday, January 19
  • My SBD formula has predicted the scores for both the Rams at Eagles and Ravens at Bills games
  • See the best NFL playoff bets to make based on the score predictions

We’re halfway through the Divisional Round of the 2025 NFL Playoffs, leaving us with two more games today. The first sees the Rams take on the Eagles, and the second is the Ravens at Bills. My SBD formula has used the data it has collected on all four of these teams this season to predict the scores for both games. I am taking those score predictions and putting together my NFL Divisional Round picks.

I will also share a little extra insight into how my SBD formula has performed with these four teams below.

NFL Divisional Round Score Predictions

Divisional Round Matchup Predicted Score
LA Rams at Philadelphia Eagles PHI 27 – 12.1
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills BAL 27.5 – 25.7

My SBD formula is predicting the Eagles to beat the Rams by two scores, and the Ravens to beat the Bills by less than a field goal. It’s calling for the under in Rams at Eagles and the over in Ravens at Bills.

In a regular season, I would tail everything my SBD formula had above. However, it hasn’t been the best against the spread when it comes to the four teams listed above. Here’s its ATS record in their respective games:

  • LA Rams: 6-12 ATS | 5-9 ATS picking against them | 1-7 ATS in their road games
  • Philadelphia Eagles: 7-11 ATS | 6-5 ATS picking them | 3-7 ATS in their home games
  • Baltimore Ravens: 5-12-1 ATS | 3-4 ATS picking them | 3-6 ATS in their road games
  • Buffalo Bills: 8-10 ATS | 0-3 ATS picking against them | 4-5 ATS in their home games

I would also like to note that my formula incorrectly picked the Bills to cover in their Week 4 matchup with the Ravens, but did have the Eagles to cover in their Week 12 matchup with the Rams, which did cash.

Looking away from ATS, though, it has a pretty good feel for the over/under in Ravens games, going 12-5-1 against the total. It has been even more impressive/profitable when picking the over in Baltimore games, going 9-2 when doing so. It gets even better when you isolate just the Ravens road games too, as it is 7-1 against the total in those games.

My formula is also 10-8 against the total in Eagles games, and a very impressive 8-2 when Philadelphia is playing at home. It’s a solid 8-5 when predicting the total to go under.

NFL Divisional Round Picks

In making my picks for Sunday of the NFL Divisional Round, I am considering my SBD formula’s score predictions, but also keeping in mind its performance when it comes to these teams. Here’s my favorite bet for each of Sunday’s NFL playoff games!

*All of the lines below were available at the time of writing this. Check our NFL odds tool before locking in any bets to make sure you’re getting the best line available. 

Rams at Eagles Picks

If the Vikings had any quarterback not named Sam Darnold under center last week, I would likely be giving the Rams a lot more credit for their dominant win. But Darnold has a history of this and the tape from last week looks really bad for him.

Jalen Hurts is not going to fold the way Darnold did, but I also don’t believe Hurts will be forced to throw the ball too much. LA cannot stop the run – they allow 4.6 yards per carry (26th) – and the Eagles are not a team you can give up yards on the ground to. When these two met in Week 12, Philadelphia rushed for 314 yards on 45 attempts, which is nearly seven yards per carry.

I think we see the Eagles build a lead early and don’t look back. (

  • Pick: Eagles -6 (-110) at bet365
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Ravens at Bills Picks

What the Ravens did to the Steelers last week was more or less what I expected to see from them all season. Derrick Henry carried the ball 26 times and racked up 186 rushing yards with two touchdowns, one of which was a vintage King Henry dagger from 44 yards out. Lamar Jackson ran the ball 15 times as well, totaling 81 rushing yards of his own, and the two gave Pittsburgh’s defense fits all night as they tried to protect against both rushing threats.

That performance came against a defense that ranked fifth in yards per carry allowed, and allowed the sixth-fewest rushing yards in the regular season. The Bills rank 19th in yards allowed per rushing attempt, and I think it’s fair to say their defense is just objectively not as good as Pittsburgh’s.

Buffalo’s defense only allowed seven points to the Broncos last week, and the touchdown came on the opening drive of the game, but that was a rookie quarterback in his first playoff game and his rookie wide receivers dropped a lot of balls on him. The Ravens are a completely different challenge, and I don’t think Buffalo’s defense is going to be able to slow the duo of Henry and Lamar, just as they couldn’t in Week 4 when Baltimore ran for 271 yards on 34 attempts.

Josh Allen is incredible and has put together an amazing season, but I don’t believe he has the receivers to consistently beat an improving Ravens pass defense, or to play from behind against one of the league’s best teams.

  • Pick: Ravens -1 (-110) at Caesars
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Matt McEwan
Matt McEwan

Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert

With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.

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