NFL Player Props Week 16 – Sunday’s Best NFL Prop Bets (Dec. 22)

By John Hyslop in NFL Football
Published:

- It’s never too early to lock in for the NFL Week 16 slate on December 22nd, 2024
- The best way I know how to get in on the action is by betting NFL player props
- Getting bets in on Friday is my favorite strategy, and it’s no different for this week
I really don’t know what happened to all of our winnings from the Friday NFL Player Prop releases. There was a time when we were literally bathing in cash. I actually burned some in the fireplace to heat my home. Now, we’re looking at being basically even for the season. Sure, when we factor in all the fun we had, we’re way up. But as far as actual cash, we’re flatlined.
But here’s the thing about gambling. All we have to do is lock-in, and we’re back. The only way I know how to do it is to scan the market on Friday for two easy bangers for Sunday. The books never see it coming. This week, we’ve got two of the most incredible opportunities ever, the first of which is in the Detroit Lions/Chicago Bears game. Then, when they’re done, we’ll hit the San Francisco 49ers/Miami Dolphins matchup. This could easily be the greatest Sunday of our entire lives.
Week 16 NFL Player Props and Odds
Player | Completions | Passing Yards | Pick |
---|---|---|---|
Jared Goff (Lions) | 23.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) | 252.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100) | Under 23.5 Completions (-120) |
Player | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Pick |
Jauan Jennings (49ers) | 4.5 (Ov -136 / Un +100) | 58.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | Over 58.5 Receiving Yards (-115) |
Odds as of December 20 at BetMGM. Check out the best NFL betting apps for player prop wagering.

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Jared Goff Won’t Be Needed Sunday
I hate taking the under. Everyone knows that. There’s just something about the under that makes me sick. It feels negative, and I’m a positive person. I want people to do well. I’m a dreamer.
But here’s the thing about people doing well: sometimes they don’t. And when we know someone won’t do well, we should bet on it.
Jared Goff at Soldier Field 🐻⬇️
• 1-3 W/L
• 4 TD’s
• 6 INT’s
• 13 Sacks
• 73.0 Rating pic.twitter.com/IX4og8ziRj— JAY🤘🏽🐻⬇️ (4-10) (@Directhim) December 19, 2024
Let’s get clear about something really quickly: Jared Goff is good. In fact, this bet really doesn’t have a lot to do with him. Sure, Goff is an indoor cat, and this game is outside in the cold where indoor cats can’t survive, but still. This bet is about just how the game will flow.
One thing we know about the Detroit Lions is, they operate differently based on who they play. If they need Goff to throw the ball 1000 times, they will do that. If they think they can win a rock fight where the ball stays on the ground, then that’s what will happen. It’s how winners win to be honest.
This game with the Bears feels like one of those games where the ball will just stay on the ground. We already know Goff is an indoor cat, but on top of that, the Bears are a team that can be attacked on the ground. The haters are going to say that David Montgomery is out, but the Lions can just use the “next man up” approach. This feels easy.
- The Pick: Jared Goff Under 23.5 Passing Completions (-120) – BetMGM
Jauan Jennings Is The Guy Now
We all saw the memes after the last San Francisco game. Deebo Samuel was clowned like I’ve never seen. People were using Grok to make AI images on Twitter, and honestly, it was very funny. Mean, but funny.
But here’s the thing: I think Brock Purdy has caught the scent of another stag in his nostrils. The fantasy guys have noticed it, too.
19. Jauan Jennings at MIA
Not worried after disappointing Week 14 Fantasy output.
7+ Targets in every game since Week 10 excluding Buffalo blizzard.
Clear Niners’ WR1 and lead target for Purdy.
Good game environment- Miami can force SF to score.
— Joe Orrico (@NoExpertFF) December 20, 2024
That stag has a name, and it’s Jauan Jennings. Over the last six weeks, Jennings has been a target magnet for Purdy. The man has been targeted at least seven times in five of those six games. The only time he wasn’t was against Buffalo in a literal severe weather situation. Jerry Rice wouldn’t have been able to work in that kind of environment.
Sunday will be a lot different for Jauan. He’s in sunny Florida, just soaking up rays and balls. We’re talking weather in the mid-70s with barely any wind to speak of—perfect passing weather.
The haters are going to say that Jauan is looking at a Dolphins secondary that is pretty good. The way to shut the haters up is to ask them about a couple of weeks ago when both Davante Adams and Garrett Wilson went 100+ on this same Dolphins secondary. Case closed. Jauan is going way over 58.5 receiving yards. Feels right.
- The Pick: Jauan Jennings Over 58.5 Receiving Yards (-115) – BetMGM
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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.