These NFL Players Could Get Traded Before Deadline, According to Prediction Market

By Brady Trettenero in NFL News
Published:

- Breece Hall leads Kalshi’s NFL trade deadline predictions with a 74% chance of being moved
- Three Jets players rank in the top 5 most likely trade targets
- Check out the complete predictions table and analysis below
The NFL trade deadline hits November 4th at 4 PM ET, and Kalshi’s prediction market is showing which players are most likely to switch teams.
The Jets dominate the board with three players in the top five. That’s just what happens when you’re 0-7 and facing a complete teardown. But some of these odds look off based on the latest reporting and NFL trade rumors I’ve been tracking.
Let’s break down the numbers and see which players are actually likely to move before the NFL trade deadline.
2025 NFL Trade Deadline Predictions
Probabilities as of October 22 at Kalshi. Sign up to trade on the NFL with the Kalshi promo code.
Market volume: $54,565. The market resolves based on official reports from ESPN, Fox Sports, Bleacher Report, and the NFL.
NFL Trade Targets Who Should Get Moved
Breece Hall (74% Probability)
- (Yes 74¢ / No 81¢)
The market has this one right. Hall’s in a contract year, and the Jets haven’t given him an extension while teammates Sauce Gardner and Garrett Wilson got paid this offseason. Owner Woody Johnson basically confirmed they’re moving on when he sidestepped questions about Hall’s future.
Hall ranks 12th in rushing yards, even though he plays for the worst offense in the league. According to the latest NFL trade rumors, the Chargers, Chiefs, and Bears are all interested.
The Jets are being stubborn about their demands because backup Braelon Allen is hurt for the season. But they’d be foolish not get something for Hall before he leaves for free agency.
Head coach Aaron Glenn keeps saying he wants to keep Hall, but I think that’s just posturing to drive up the price. Teams are offering fourth or fifth-round picks. The Jets want more, but they’ll probably blink first. Hall could help a contender’s Super Bowl odds immediately.
Jakobi Meyers (61% Probability)
- (Yes 61¢ / No 48¢)
Meyers literally said “oh, for sure” when asked if he still wants a trade. He requested one before the season after the Raiders refused to give him a new deal. Now Vegas is 2-5 and finally “open” to moving him.
Meyers has 329 yards on 29 catches this season. He’s playing out the final year of his deal and will hit free agency. An acquiring team would pay about $6 million of his $10.5 million salary.
The Jaguars are a logical landing spot given their connection to former Raiders WR coach Edgar Bennett. The Steelers and Bills have also been mentioned in NFL trade deadline predictions. This feels like it happens before November 4th.
Riq Woolen (31% Probability)
- (Yes 31¢ / No 79¢)
I think the market is undervaluing this one. Woolen has been benched and is grading out as one of the worst corners in football this season. He’s in a contract year and doesn’t fit new coach Mike Macdonald’s scheme.
Multiple teams are reportedly monitoring Woolen as an NFL trade target. The Raiders could reunite him with Pete Carroll. The Dolphins have been mentioned in trade talks. ESPN’s Bill Barnwell even proposed swapping Woolen for Eagles corner Kelee Ringo.
Seattle is 5-2 and NFC West contenders in the NFL Divisional odds. However, if the team thinks Woolen won’t re-sign anyway, getting a fifth-round pick beats nothing. His 31% probability seems low to me.
Players Who Won’t Get Traded
Quinnen Williams (55% Probability)
- (Yes 41¢ / No 69¢)
I believe the market is too high on this one. Williams is the Jets’ best player. He’s 27 years old and under contract through 2027 after signing a four-year, $96 million extension in 2023. He could be in the Defensive Player of the Year conversation when healthy.
The Jets are listening to offers, but moving an All-Pro defensive tackle with three years left on his contract would signal total organizational chaos. The Jets have been stubborn about Breece Hall’s price for a reason. They’re not giving away their best players for nothing.
ESPN’s Rich Cimini noted the team didn’t plan to trade Joe Flacco or Greg Newsome either, yet both were dealt. But those were fringe players. Williams is different. I’d put his real probability closer to 15%.
Maxx Crosby (20% Probability)
- (Yes 37¢ / No 97¢)
Jerry Jones called the Raiders to check on Crosby’s availability. The Raiders immediately shut it down and met with Crosby on Tuesday to tell him they’re not shopping him. Crosby doesn’t want to leave either.
He’s under contract through 2027 after signing a three-year, $106.5 million extension. He’s the face of the franchise and only 26 years old. The Cowboys, 49ers, and Eagles have all inquired, but Vegas views him as untouchable.
The only way Crosby moves is if he requests a trade himself. That’s not happening based on the reporting I’ve seen. The 20% probability is still too high.
Trey Hendrickson (23% Probability)
- (Yes 30¢ / No 90¢)
Hendrickson’s odds dropped 9 points in 24 hours for good reason. The Bengals are 3-4 after beating Pittsburgh, and they just traded for Joe Flacco to stay competitive while Joe Burrow recovers.
The AFC North division title is not dead for Cincinnati yet. Cincy has publicly stated they’re not shopping Hendrickson, who’s their best defensive player with four sacks through six games.
Teams like the 49ers desperately need pass-rush help and keep calling, according to NFL trade rumors. But the Bengals would need to collapse big-time over the next two weeks to consider it. After a contentious contract dispute this offseason, they’re not giving him away now.
Market Trends and What They Mean
The biggest mover is Quinnen Williams, up 24 points in 24 hours. That surge came after reports that the Jets are taking calls on everyone. But taking calls and making deals are different things.
Maxx Crosby dropped 22 points after the Raiders met with him to confirm he’s staying. Chris Olave fell 16 points as the Saints engage in contract extension talks with their star receiver.
The Jets dominate the board because they’re 0-7 and owner Woody Johnson is cleaning house. But I think the market’s overreacting. Teams don’t typically trade All-Pro players under long-term contracts like Williams.
Meanwhile, players on expiring deals like Hall, Meyers, and Phillips should have higher probabilities. These are my NFL trade deadline predictions that make sense for teams that are trying to rebuild.
Final Word on NFL Trade Deadline Betting
If you’re betting these markets, I’d focus on contract situations. Players in their final year get traded, whereas stars with multiple years left usually don’t.
Hall and Meyers are the safest bets to move. Woolen’s 31% seems low given his benching and expiring deal. Williams at 55% and Crosby at 20% both feel too high based on their contract status and team statements.
The NFL trade deadline is on November 4 at 4 PM ET. Based on past trends, you can expect 10 to 15 trades to happen, with most of them happening in the last 48 hours. These NFL trade targets should shake up the playoff picture and NFL Playoff Bracket.
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.