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NFL Props for Week 3 – Best Player Props to Bet on Sunday

Matt McEwan

by Matt McEwan in NFL Football

Sep 24, 2021 · 5:25 PM PDT

Taylor Heinicke delivers a pass
Washington Football Team quarterback Taylor Heinicke (4) throws the ball against the Los Angeles Chargers during the first half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Sept. 12, 2021, in Landover, Md. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)
  • Week 3 NFL player props are available in for Sunday’s games
  • There are plenty of players missing or attempting to play through injuries on Sunday
  • See all the NFL player props for Week 3 and our best bets below

Week 3 of the 2021 NFL season continues on Sunday, September 26 with another 14 games on the schedule. Sportsbooks have opened up their player props for the Sunday games—we’re still waiting on some injury news for certain games—and we’ve gathered them all here and broken down my best player props to bet for Week 3.

Last week was rough! In two weeks I’ve now lost 3.5 units because Raheem Mostert, Tyrod Taylor, and Carson Wentz have all gotten hurt—not to mention the lost profit I should be counting from these bets. We’re not going to stick on last week’s horrors too long, though. Let’s shake the bad injury luck and move on to Week 3

You can quickly jump to a section using the links below:

Passing | Rushing | Receiving | Best Bets | Touchdown Props

Week 3 NFL Player Props

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Justin Fields (CHI) 18.5 (Ov -130 | Un -125) 210.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) 1.5 (Ov +140 | Un -245)
Baker Mayfield (CLE) 20.5 (Ov -120 | Un -135) 245.5 (Ov -130 | Un -125) 1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -155)
Lamar Jackson (BAL) 18.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 219.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140)
Jared Goff (DET) 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 265.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150)
Kyler Murray (ARI) 24.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 282.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -205 | Un +150)
Trevor Lawrence (JAX) 22.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 250.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140)
Justin Herbert (LAC) 27.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 302.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -200 | Un -145)
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 26.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 306.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Jameis Winston (NO) 18.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 218.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +175 | Un -240)
Mac Jones (NE) 22.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 240.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) 20.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 247.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Taylor Heinicke (WAS) 21.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 235.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +125 | Un -165)
Josh Allen (BUF) 23.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) 262.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -185 | Un +140)
Matt Ryan (ATL) 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 279.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Daniel Jones(NYG) 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 256.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Joe Burrow (CIN) 22.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 248.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130)
Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) 23.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) 258.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105)
Zach Wilson (NYJ) 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 213.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +195 | Un -270)
Teddy Bridgewater (DEN) 22.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 245.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -165 | Un +120)
Jacoby Brissett (MIA) 20.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 226.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +125 | Un -165)
Derek Carr (LV) 23.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 279.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 1.5 (Ov -235 | Un +170)
Tom Brady (TB) 26.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 310.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +120 | Un -160)
Matt Stafford (LAR) 26.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) 310.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +145 | Un -200)
Russell Wilson (SEA) 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 282.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -230 | Un +170)
Kirk Cousins (MIN) 24.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) 280.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -160 | Un +120)
Player Rush Attempts Rush Yards Rushing + Receiving Yards
David Montgomery (CHI) 15.5 (Ov -140 | Un -120) 61.5 (Ov -125 | Un -130) 85.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Kareem Hunt (CLE) 9.5 (Ov -110 | Un -150) 36.5 (Ov -125 | Un -130) 59.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Nick Chubb (CLE) 15.5 (Ov -125 | Un -130) 74.5 (Ov -130 | Un -130) 90.5 (Ov -130 | Un -130)
Lamar Jackson (BAL) 11.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 75.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Ty’Son Williams (BAL) 13.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 71.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
D’Andre Swift (DET) 39.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 76.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Chase Edmonds (ARI) 10.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) 46.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 78.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
James Robinson (JAX) 11.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 44.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 72.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Austin Ekeler (LAC) 12.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 55.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 97.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) 14.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 57.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 74.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Alvin Kamara (NO) 15.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130) 58.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 96.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Damien Harris (NE) 15.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) 59.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 69.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Jonathan Taylor (IND) 15.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 63.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 79.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Derrick Henry (TEN) 24.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130) 96.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 120.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Antonio Gibson (WAS) 14.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 61.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 81.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Devin Singletary (BUF) 11.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105) 49.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 68.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Mike Davis (ATL) 13.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) 49.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 75.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Saquon Barkley (NYG) 15.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 61.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 87.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Joe Mixon (CIN) 17.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 96.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Najee Harris (PIT) 17.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) 67.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 100.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Ty Johnson (NYJ) 8.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 31.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 42.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Melvin Gordon III (DEN) 10.5 (Ov -150 | Un +115) 50.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 66.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Myles Gaskin (MIA) 9.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 40.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 66.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Leonard Fournette (TB) 11.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 34.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 71.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Chris Carson (SEA) 67.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 90.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Player Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Allen Robinson II (CHI) 4.5 (Ov -150 | Un -110) 59.5 (Ov -125 | Un -130) 21.5 (Ov -130 | Un -125)
Cole Kmet (CHI) 2.5 (Ov -105 | Un -160) 21.5 (Ov -125 | Un -130) 12.5 (Ov -135 | Un -120)
Odell Beckham Jr. (CLE) 3.5 (Ov -120 | Un -140) 45.5 (Ov -125 | Un -130) 20.5 (Ov -120 | Un -135)
Marquise Brown (BAL) 4.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130) 58.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
TJ Hockenson (DET) 5.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 61.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Chase Edmonds (ARI) 3.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 27.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 13.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
DJ Chark Jr (JAX) 4.5 (Ov +130 | Un -175) 53.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Laviska Shenault Jr (JAX) 4.5 (Ov -150 | Un +115) 48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Marvin Jones (JAX) 4.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 64.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 23.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Keenan Allen (LAC) 6.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110) 80.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Mike Williams (LAC) 5.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 70.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Travis Kelce (KC) 7.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 89.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Tyreek Hill (KC) 6.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125) 79.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 25.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Alvin Kamara (NO) 4.5 (Ov +120 | Un -160) 33.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 14.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Marquez Callaway (NO) 2.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110) 35.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 18.5 (Ov -115)| Un -115)
Jakobi Meyers (NE) 4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150) 48.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 20.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Jonnu Smith (NE) 3.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) 30.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 15.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Hunter Henry (NE) 2.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) 26.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 14.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Michael Pittman Jr (IND) 4.5 (Ov +125 | Un -170) 48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Zach Pascal (IND) 3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150) 40.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 19.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
AJ Brown (TEN) 5.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 72.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Julio Jones (TEN) 4.5 (Ov -140 | Un -105) 64.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Logan Thomas (WAS) 3.5 (Ov -170 | Un +125) 40.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Terry McLaurin (WAS) 5.5 (Ov -190 | Un +135) 74.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 24.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Cole Beasley (BUF) 4.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130) 46.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Stefon Diggs (BUF) 6.5 (Ov -105 | Un +125) 79.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 24.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Calvin Ridley (ATL) 6.5 (Ov +120 | Un -160) 81.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 25.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Kyle Pitts (ATL) 4.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) 51.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 19.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Kenny Golladay (NYG) 3.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -125 | Un -110)
Sterling Shepard (NYG) 5.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) 61.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) 4.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105) 63.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Tyler Boyd (CIN) 5.5 (Ov +120 | Un -160) 57.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Chase Claypool (PIT) 4.5 (Ov -160 | Un +120) 61.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT) 5.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105) 56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Corey Davis (NYJ) 3.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 44.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Courtland Sutton (DEN) 4.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 57.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Tim Patrick (DEN) 3.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 44.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 19.5 (Ov -125 | Un -110)
Noah Fant (DEN) 4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150) 43.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
DeVante Parker (MIA) 3.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) 45.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 19.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Jaylen Waddle (MIA) 3.5 (Ov -150 | Un +115) 44.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 19.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Bryan Edwards (LV) 2.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 35.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Darren Waller (LV) 6.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130) 75.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Chris Godwin (TB) 5.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 70.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Rob Gronkowski (TB) 3.5 (Ov -150 | Un +110) 40.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Mike Evans (TB) 4.5 (Ov -150 | Un +115) 65.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Robert Woods (LAR) 5.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125) 63.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Cooper Kupp (LAR) 6.5 (Ov -185 | Un +130) 85.5 (Ov -115 | Un -120) 25.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Van Jefferson (LAR) 2.5 (Ov -180 | Un +135) 37.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
DK Metcalf (SEA) 5.5 (Ov -150 | Un +110) 75.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 25.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Tyler Lockett (SEA) 5.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105) 75.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 25.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Adam Thielen (MIN) 5.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 68.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Justin Jefferson (MIN) 5.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105) 77.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 25.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)

Odds as of September 24

Tom Brady and Matthew Stafford are tied for the biggest passing totals of the week, each seeing a line of 310.5 in their head-to-head matchup on Sunday. Justin Fields, in his first career start, has the lowest passing total of the week at 210.5.

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As usual, the biggest rushing line of the week is Derrick Henry’s over/under of 96.5. Travis Kelce has the biggest receiving line at 89.5 when his Chiefs take on the Chargers.

Best NFL Player Props to Bet

Here are the player props I’ll be betting for Sunday of Week 3:

1) Taylor Heinicke Goes Over on Passing Props

This is a very bad line. I understand that the Bills have allowed the second-fewest passing yards this season, but (a) it’s been two games, and (b) they played Ben Roethlisberger and Jacoby Brissett.

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Washington apparently does not want to lean on Antonio Gibson and the ground game with Ryan Fitzpatrick out. Taylor Heinicke attempted 46 passes last week against the Giants, completing 34 of them for 336 yards. That was a game that was very close throughout.

Washington is currently 7.5-point underdogs in Buffalo in Week 3. Expected to face a negative game script, I love Heinicke to go over his 235.5 line for passing yards.

Pick: Taylor Heinicke over 235.5 passing yards (-115) – 1 unit

2) Ty’Son Williams Racks Up Yards on the Ground in Week 3

Ty’Son Williams has earned the lead back duties in Baltimore. As much as the Ravens have tried to work in Latavius Murray, and a little bit of Devonta Freeman, Williams has done the most with his opportunities.

The undrafted rookie is averaging 6.5 yards per carry and out-touched Murray 13-9 last week. Williams also turned his 13 carries into 77 yards, while Murray only logged 36.

Even if Murray continues to eat into Williams’ workload, I foresee the Ravens dealing with a  positive game script the majority of the afternoon. Baltimore is 7.5-point favorites against the Lions on Sunday, who are also coming off a short week.

There will be plenty of carries to go around, especially if Lamar Jackson is still feeling a little under the weather come Sunday.

Pick: Ty’Son Williams over 56.5 rushing yards (-115) – 0.5 units

3) D’Andre Swift Continues Shining as Receiving Back

As mentioned above, I expect the Lions to play from behind the majority of Week 3, as they have the two previous weeks. In those two games, Swift has seen 11 and five targets, turning them into eight receptions for 65 yards and four receptions for 41 yards.

He has cleared this receiving total in both games this season. Meanwhile, the Ravens have allowed 12 receptions and 112 receiving yards to running backs this season. The receiving yards are the fifth-most allowed to running backs in the NFL.

As long as Swift suits up, he’ll have his opportunities through the air.

Pick: D’Andre Swift over 29.5 receiving yards (-114) – 0.5 units

Week 3 Touchdown Props

Team Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD
David Montgomery (CHI) +1000 +150
Justin Fields (CHI) +1100 +200
Allen Robinson II (CHI) +1400 +210
Nick Chubb (CLE) +550 -125
Kareem Hunt (CLE) +900 +140
Odell Beckham Jr (CLE) +1000 +165
Lamar Jackson (BAL) +650 -105
Marquise Brown (BAL) +850 +115
Sammy Watkins (BAL) +1000 +150
D’Andre Swift (DET) +1000 +150
T.J. Hockenson (DET) +1100 +165
Quintez Cephus (DET) +1600 +260
DeAndre Hopkins (ARI) +700 -110
Kyler Murray (ARI) +700 -110
Chase Edmonds (ARI) +1000 +130
AJ Green (ARI) +1300 +190
Christian Kirk (ARI) +1800 +290
James Robinson (JAX) +1000 +150
Marvin Jones Jr (JAX) +1200 +165
Laviska Shenault Jr (JAX) +1600 +240
Austin Ekeler (LAC) +1000 +120
Mike Williams (LAC) +1200 +150
Keenan Allen (LAC) +1300 +170
Jared Cook (LAC) +1400 +190
Tyreek Hill (KC) +650 -140
Travis Kelce (KC) +650 -140
Patrick Mahomes (KC) +1800 +240
Alvin Kamara (NO) +550 -120
Marquez Callaway (NO) +1600 +290
Taysom Hill (NO) +2200 +400
Damien Harris (NE) +750 +125
Jakobi Meyers (NE) +1200 +210
Hunter Henry (NE) +1600 +290
Jonathan Taylor (IND) +750 +100
Michael Pittman Jr (IND) +1300 +200
Zach Pascal (IND) +1600 +240
Parris Campbell (IND) +3000 +450
Derrick Henry (TEN) +400 -215
AJ Brown (TEN) +850 +125
Julio Jones (TEN) +1100 +165
Antonio Gibson (WAS) +900 +150
Terry McLaurin (WAS) +1200 +210
Logan Thomas (WAS) +1600 +270
Stefon Diggs (BUF) +650 +100
Josh Allen (BUF) +850 +125
Devin Singletary (BUF) +1000 +160
Cole Beasley (BUF) +1200 +190
Calvin Ridley (ATL) +850 +120
Mike Davis (ATL) +1000 +150
Kyle Pitts (ATL) +1000 +150
Saquon Barkley (NYG) +750 +100
Kenny Golladay (NYG) +850 +125
Daniel Jones (NYG) +1300 +200
Joe Mixon (CIN) +750 +115
Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) +900 +150
Tee Higgins (CIN) +1000 +175
Tyler Boyd (CIN) +1200 +220
Najee Harris (PIT) +550 -125
JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT) +900 +150
Chase Claypool (PIT) +900 +165
Michael Carter (NYJ) +1200 +220
Ty Johnson (NYJ) +1200 +240
Corey Davis (NYJ) +1400 +280
Melvin Gordon (DEN) +600 +105
Courtland Sutton (DEN) +700 +130
Javonte Williams (DEN) +700 +140
Noah Fant (DEN) +1100 +230
Tim Patrick (DEN) +1200 +280
Myles Gaskin (MIA) +1100 +175
DeVante Parker (MIA) +1300 +220
Jaylen Waddle (MIA) +1500 +250
Mike Gesicki (MIA) +1600 +270
Darren Waller (LV) +750 +115
Kenyan Drake (LV) +850 +140
Peyton Barber (LV) +1000 +175
Bryan Edwards (LV) +1400 +230
Mike Evans (TB) +1000 +125
Chris Godwin (TB) +1100 +140
Rob Gronkowski (TB) +1200 +150
Ronald Jones II (TB) +1800 +240
Cooper Kupp (LAR) +750 -120
Darrell Henderson (LAR) +900 +105
Robert Woods (LAR) +900 +110
Chris Carson (SEA) +700 -125
DK Metcalf (SEA) +750 -120
Tyler Lockett (SEA) +750 -120
Dalvin Cook (MIN) +550 -175
Adam Thielen (MIN) +850 +105
Justin Jefferson (MIN) +900 +105

The player with the best odds to score a touchdown in Week 3 is Derrick Henry, with -215 odds to find the endzone against the Colts. He also has the best odds to score his game’s first touchdown of any player, seeing +400 odds there.

Anytime Touchdown Picks

Here’s who I like to find the end zone and why:

  1. Justin Fields anytime touchdown (+200): Even when Fields was not the Bears’ starting quarterback, they had red zone packages for him to use his legs. The rookie scored on one of these in Week 1, and is an absolute steal at +200 odds. (0.5 units)
  2. Nick Chubb anytime touchdown (-125): Chubb has three touchdowns through two games this season. He is the lead back in a very run-heavy offense. Chubb should start seeing Derrick Henry-like touchdown odds. Until then, I’ll be betting him. (0.5 units)
  3. Chris Godwin anytime touchdown (+140): When it really matters, Tom Brady is looking for Chris Godwin. This is evident by the 14 targets Godwin saw in Week 1. In a huge matchup with likely the team standing in the way of Tampa Bay returning to the Super Bowl, I like Godwin to see plenty of targets, especially in the red zone. (0.25 units)
  4. Terry McLaurin anytime touchdown (+210): I like Heinicke to toss the ball around again this weekend, and McLaurin is clearly his favorite target. The third-year receiver saw 14 targets in Week 2, and is in a good spot to see just as many as Washington tries to keep up with a high-powered Bills offense. (0.25 units)
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