- The Ravens take on the Bills in the NFL Divisional Round on Saturday night at 8:15pm ET
- The public is backing the Bills to cover the spread
- See the breakdown of bets and money percentages for the moneyline, spread, and total
Knowing where the public money is going is one of the many bits of info every sports bettor should know before locking in their own bets. You shouldn’t make decisions solely off the public bet percentages and money percentages, but they should factor in.
You’ll find these figures below for the Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills Divisional Round matchup of the 2021 NFL playoffs. I’ve broken it down by the bet type below, so you’ll find the bet percentage and money percentage for the moneyline, spread, and total.
Moneyline Betting Trends
|Team||Moneyline Odds||% of Bets||% of Money|
*Odds and betting trends as of 6:15pm ET on January 16.
The opening moneyline had Buffalo at -142 and Baltimore at +118 odds. The juice sportsbooks are charging on the game has just come down a little bit with the small movement we’ve seen in the Bills’ moneyline odds.
You don’t see the public bets or money split so evenly very often. But these are two teams the public is very high on. The Bills currently have the slight advantage in both bet percentage and money percentage, garnering 51% of the public bets placed on the moneyline, and 52% of the money wagered.
The Ravens have won six straight games entering the Divisional Round, while the Bills have won seven straight and ten of their last 11.
ATS Betting Trends
|Team||Spread||% of Bets||% of Money|
|Baltimore Ravens||+2.5 (-109)||32%||32%|
|Buffalo Bills||-2.5 (-112)||68%||68%|
The spread opened at Buffalo -3 on Sunday night, but had been bet down to 2.5 by Monday morning, 2 by Monday afternoon, and even dropped to 1.5 for a brief period on Monday night. It has since been bet back up to Bills -2.5 and has even hit 3 again at certain books during the week.
SNOW in Buffalo! ❄️
— #DivisionalRound on NBC (@SNFonNBC) January 16, 2021
The bets and money placed on the spread isn’t as evenly split as the moneyline. The Bills are seeing 68% of both the bets and money as home favorites.
Both of these teams have also been hot against the spread. The Ravens have covered seven straight spreads entering this one, and the Bills have covered in eight of their last nine, failing to cover last week against the Colts for the first time since November 1. Both teams are 11-6 against the spread this season.
Over/Under Betting Trends
|Over/Under||Total||% of Bets||% of Money|
The total opened at 49.5 and was quickly bet up to 50, and even 50.5 at some sportsbooks. But the total started heading the other way once we learned heavy winds and snow were being forecasted in Orchard Park on Saturday night. It has come down to 49.5 now.
Despite the weather concerns, 71% of the bets and 73% of money is on the over.
The over is just 7-10 in Baltimore games this season and each of their last three games have gone under the total. The over is 11-5-1 in Bills games, on the other hand, and has cashed in three of Buffalo’s last four games.
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