- The Bills (13-3) are 3-point favorites vs the Baltimore Ravens (11-5) in an AFC Divisional Playoff game Saturday at Buffalo’s New Era Field
- Betting Record: 7-10-1, -3.20 Units
- The odds, lines, and spread for Ravens-Bills can be found below along with an analysis of the game
The Buffalo Bills might have to overcome their history and snowy conditions Saturday when they attempt to beat the Baltimore Ravens and advance to the AFC championship game for the first time in 27 years in Saturday’s Ravens vs Bills game.
The Bills are 3-point favorites heading into their divisional playoff home game Saturday (8:30 pm, EST). Buffalo fans haven’t seen their team win two playoff games in a single season since 1993 when Marv Levy’s Bills reached the Super Bowl and lost to the Cowboys.
These two teams are both 11-6 against the spread this season, making them two of the NFL’s top three most consistent teams in that category this season.
Ravens vs Bills Odds
|Baltimore Ravens||+128||+3 (-117)||O 49.5 (-108)|
|Buffalo Bills||-148||-3 (-105)||U 49.5 (-113)|
Odds taken Jan. 15 from DraftKings
Weather Forecast Favors Baltimore
Saturday night’s weather forecast calls for the possibility of one to three inches of snow, plus winds up to 20 mph. That doesn’t take into account the lake effect, which could add more inches of the white stuff.
The lake effect, which occurs regularly in Buffalo winter, is a weather phenomenon in which cold winds pick up water vapor from the warmer Great Lakes and turns it into snow. The Buffalo area can get blizzards and heavy snowfalls that were unanticipated.
Not much change to Bills game forecast.
8pm: Passing snow shower risk with temps in low 30s and winds gusting to around 20mph, not too much of an impact.
— Dan Russell (@Dan_Weather_Man) January 15, 2021
No one can know for sure what the conditions will be. But snow would certainly impact Buffalo’s strong passing game and would offer an advantage to the Ravens who are the NFL’s No. 1 rushing team this season. Baltimore’s average of 194.5 yards per game is 33 yards more than second-place Tennessee. Over the past three games, the Ravens averaged 296 yards per game.
Inclement weather could also make Baltimore quarterback/1,005-yard rusher Lamar Jackson more dangerous. By contrast, the Buffalo rushing game ranks 20th, averaging 107 yards per game.
Classic Offense vs Defense Showdown
It’s easy to boil down Ravens vs Bills to a concept easy to understand: The Bills’ exceptional offense will attempt to get the better of the Ravens’ exceptional defense and vice versa.
The Bills offense ranks second in the NFL with an average of 31.3 points per game. Baltimore’s aggressive defense ranks second with an average of yielding only 18.9 points per game. Both units can’t have a great game on Saturday.
Josh Allen passing in clean pocket
🔹 25 TDs
🔹 4 INTs pic.twitter.com/C9lf2j4xPT
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) January 8, 2021
The catalyst of Buffalo’s point explosion this season is QB Josh Allen who ranked fifth in the NFL in both passing yardage (4,544) and passing touchdowns (37). In last week’s victory against Indianapolis, Allen became the first quarterback in NFL history to post at least a 70% completion rate (74.29%), 300+ passing yards (324), and 50+ rushing yards (54) in a single postseason game
The Ravens know they have to slow receiver Stefon Diggs who led the NFL with 127 catches and 1,545 yards. But Baltimore has a top-flight secondary, finishing second in the NFL in allowing just 6.2 yards per pass attempt.
Ravens/Bills Injury Report
Both teams are relatively healthy. However, Ravens cornerback Marcus Peters (back) is questionable for Saturday’s game. When a team is facing the Bills’ passing attack, they don’t want to lose any cornerbacks. Offensive tackle DJ Fluker is also questionable.
The Bills announced this week that running back Zack Moss is out for the season and then added former New York Giants running back Devonta Freeman. Buffalo defensive end Darryl Johnson didn’t practice this week, leaving him “questionable” for Saturday’s game.
Bigger loss for the bills than it seems like. Moss has been a good short yardage back and the weather in Buffalo could call for a lot of tough running https://t.co/R7PJF4O5Bt
— RavensNews (@baltimoreraven) January 12, 2021
Ravens vs Bills Best Bet
Allen has been the right guy all season. No reason to believe he’s not the right guy to end this long stretch of Bills’ ineptitude. Even in the snow, Allen will find his way to success.
Pick: Bills -3 (-105)
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